China, inland waters, LNG, vessel, fuel, economical efficien
本文關(guān)鍵詞:LNG在我國(guó)內(nèi)河水運(yùn)領(lǐng)域的應(yīng)用探討,由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。
LNG在我國(guó)內(nèi)河水運(yùn)領(lǐng)域的應(yīng)用探討
Prospect of LNG application to inland water transportation in China
[1] [2] [3] [4] [5]
Zhou Shuhui, Shen Xin, Liu Xiaojuan, Li Guang, Yang Yi (PetroChina Petroleum Planning& Engineering Institute, Beijing 100083, China)
中國(guó)石油天然氣股份有限公司規(guī)劃總院
文章摘要:發(fā)展LNG動(dòng)力船舶對(duì)于我國(guó)內(nèi)河航運(yùn)的節(jié)能減排具有十分重要的意義。為此,在對(duì)我國(guó)水運(yùn)行業(yè)發(fā)展趨勢(shì)、燃料消費(fèi)情況及需求潛力分析預(yù)測(cè)的基礎(chǔ)上,結(jié)合對(duì)LNG資源供應(yīng)價(jià)格、LNG替代燃油的經(jīng)濟(jì)性及水運(yùn)氣代油發(fā)展進(jìn)程的分析判斷,對(duì)LNG在內(nèi)河水運(yùn)領(lǐng)域的應(yīng)用前景進(jìn)行了分析。結(jié)論認(rèn)為:①LNG替代船用燃料油沒有競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力,而替代柴油則具有較好的經(jīng)濟(jì)性;②未來我國(guó)LNG資源供應(yīng)可以滿足水運(yùn)氣代油的需求,船上供應(yīng)價(jià)格也在航運(yùn)企業(yè)承受范圍之內(nèi);③從技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)角度考慮,內(nèi)河和沿海船舶氣化應(yīng)當(dāng)首選貨運(yùn)船,其次是工程船,漁船由于噸位小、年行駛時(shí)間短且享受政府燃油補(bǔ)貼,一般不適合改造;④鑒于LNG動(dòng)力船舶在法規(guī)、技術(shù)、LNG水上供應(yīng)等方面仍有許多問題待解決,總體看水運(yùn)氣代油市場(chǎng)需要經(jīng)過2~3年的試驗(yàn)示范期、2~3年的啟動(dòng)期,然后才能進(jìn)入規(guī)模發(fā)展期;⑤考慮替代的可能性及市場(chǎng)培育過程,預(yù)測(cè)2015年較為現(xiàn)實(shí)的水運(yùn)氣代油最大市場(chǎng)需求量約為6×10^8m^3,2020年則接近40×10^8m^3。最后建議政府主管部門及相關(guān)企業(yè)統(tǒng)籌規(guī)劃,合理把握項(xiàng)目推進(jìn)的節(jié)奏。
Abstr:The development of LNG-powered vessels is of great significance to energy saving and emission reduction in inland waters shipping in China. In view of this, this paper first analyzes and predicts the shipping business trend, fuel consumption and LNG demand potential in China. Then, this paper makes an investigation into supply price of LNG resources, economical efficiency of LNG's being substitute for fuel oils, and the process of gas-powered vessels development. The following conclusions are drawn of the prospect of LNG as an alternative fuel for shipping vessels in China. (1) LNG is less competitive than fuel oils but more cost-effective than diesel. (2) In the future, LNG supply will satisfy the need of LNG as a vessel fuel and its price will be acceptable in the shipping business in China. (3) From both technical and economic points of view, LNG is a good alternative fuel for inland and offshore cargo ships and engineering ships, but not for fishing boats due to its small tonnage, short shipping time as well as fuel subsidies. (4) There are still many problems to solve in terms of legislation, technology, LNG supply on waters, etc. In general, the replace- ment of shipping vessel fuels by LNG will first go through a trial period of 2 - 3 years, then a start-up period of 2 - 3 years, and finally come into the business development. (5) With the possibility of this replacement and the process of market cultivation taken into account, it is predicted that the maximum demand volume of LNG as an alternative vessel fuel will be about 0.6 billion m3 in 2015 and nearly 4 billion m3 in 2020. In the end, this paper suggests that government departments in charge and the related enterprises
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Keyword::China, inland waters, LNG, vessel, fuel, economical efficiency, market potential, developing proposals
作者信息:會(huì)員可見
本文關(guān)鍵詞:LNG在我國(guó)內(nèi)河水運(yùn)領(lǐng)域的應(yīng)用探討,由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。
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