本文關(guān)鍵詞：產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整對(duì)我國(guó)運(yùn)輸服務(wù)貿(mào)易的影響研究　出處：《廣東外語(yǔ)外貿(mào)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類(lèi)型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 運(yùn)輸服務(wù)貿(mào)易逆差額 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu) 初級(jí)產(chǎn)品 工業(yè)制成品

【摘要】：2012年，我國(guó)貨物貿(mào)易進(jìn)出口總額為38679億美元，位居世界第二位。而當(dāng)年同期，我國(guó)運(yùn)輸服務(wù)貿(mào)易的逆差額為46949.44億美元，與貨物貿(mào)易大國(guó)的地位極其不符。我國(guó)運(yùn)輸服務(wù)貿(mào)易長(zhǎng)期處于逆差狀態(tài)，對(duì)于我國(guó)對(duì)外貿(mào)易乃至國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展都是極其不利的。一國(guó)的交通運(yùn)輸服務(wù)業(yè)是國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的基礎(chǔ)，良好的交通運(yùn)輸體系能夠?yàn)樯鐣?huì)發(fā)展和人民生活水平的提高提供重要物質(zhì)保障。影響交通運(yùn)輸服務(wù)業(yè)的因素很多，產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)是其中最為重要的一個(gè)因素之一。國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)不同的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)，會(huì)在質(zhì)與量上對(duì)運(yùn)輸服務(wù)貿(mào)易提出不同需求。當(dāng)一國(guó)運(yùn)輸服務(wù)貿(mào)易的發(fā)展無(wú)法滿(mǎn)足上述質(zhì)與量的需求變化時(shí)，運(yùn)輸服務(wù)貿(mào)易逆差就此產(chǎn)生。因此，分析產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整對(duì)我國(guó)運(yùn)輸服務(wù)貿(mào)易逆差的影響具有重要的理論價(jià)值與實(shí)際意義。 本文首先梳理了國(guó)內(nèi)外關(guān)于產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整及運(yùn)輸服務(wù)貿(mào)易的研究成果，為后續(xù)研究奠定理論基礎(chǔ)。其次，在前文理論研究的基礎(chǔ)上，構(gòu)建了以運(yùn)輸服務(wù)貿(mào)易逆差額為因變量，初級(jí)產(chǎn)品及工業(yè)制成品進(jìn)、出口額為自變量的多元回歸分析模型。接著，利用Eviews5.0軟件對(duì)所構(gòu)建的多元回歸模型進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析，結(jié)果表明：我國(guó)初級(jí)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口額和工業(yè)制成品出口額與運(yùn)輸服務(wù)貿(mào)易逆差額之間存在顯著相關(guān)性，，而初級(jí)產(chǎn)品出口額和工業(yè)制成品進(jìn)口額與運(yùn)輸服務(wù)貿(mào)易逆差額之間不存在明顯的相關(guān)性，即初級(jí)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口額和工業(yè)制成品出口額的增長(zhǎng)是導(dǎo)致我國(guó)運(yùn)輸服務(wù)貿(mào)易逆差額逐年增長(zhǎng)的主要影響因素。最后，在實(shí)證研究結(jié)果的基礎(chǔ)上，本文針對(duì)如何優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)，縮小運(yùn)輸服務(wù)貿(mào)易逆差提出了合理建議。
[Abstract]:In 2012, the total value of China's import and export of goods was three tillion eight hundred and sixty-seven billion nine hundred million US dollars, ranking the second in the world, while in the same period of that year, the reverse difference of China's trade in transport services was four tillion six hundred and ninety-four billion nine hundred and forty-four million US dollars. It is very inconsistent with the status of a big country in goods trade. China's transport service trade has been in deficit for a long time. It is extremely disadvantageous to the development of our country's foreign trade and even the national economy. The transportation service industry of a country is the foundation of the national economy development. A good transportation system can provide important material guarantee for the development of society and the improvement of people's living standard. There are many factors that affect the transportation service industry. Industrial structure is one of the most important factors. Different industrial structure of national economy. When the development of transport services trade in a country can not meet the demand changes of quality and quantity, the trade deficit of transport services will arise. It is of great theoretical and practical significance to analyze the influence of industrial structure adjustment on China's trade deficit in transport services. This paper firstly combs the domestic and foreign research results on industrial structure adjustment and transport service trade to lay a theoretical foundation for the follow-up study. Secondly, on the basis of the previous theoretical research. A multivariate regression model with the inverse difference of transport services trade as dependent variable, primary products and manufactured goods as independent variables, and exports as independent variables is constructed. Eviews5.0 software is used to analyze the multivariate regression model. The results show that there is a significant correlation between the import volume of primary products and the export value of manufactured goods and the reverse balance of trade in transport services. However, there is no significant correlation between the export value of primary products and imports of manufactured goods and the inverse balance of trade in transport services. That is to say, the increase of primary product import and the export of manufactured goods are the main factors that cause the reverse balance of China's trade in transport services to increase year by year. Finally, on the basis of empirical research results. This paper puts forward some reasonable suggestions on how to optimize the industrial structure and reduce the trade deficit in transport services.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：廣東外語(yǔ)外貿(mào)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F121.3;F512;F752.68

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