【摘要】：目前我國汽車數(shù)量增多引發(fā)了交通擁堵和環(huán)境問題。上海、北京、廣州等城市相繼利用汽車牌照作為車輛管理手段,實施私家車及單位用車拍賣等政策限制汽車保有量。而隨著私家車購車難度的提升,出租車、“網(wǎng)約車”等營運類車輛發(fā)揮著越來越重要的作用,其車輛牌照轉(zhuǎn)讓價格飆升。車牌資產(chǎn)屬性及其價值分析成為理論界較為關注的研究對象,對于汽車牌照定價方面的研究也亟待完善。本文從特許權資產(chǎn)屬性入手,將車牌分為營運類車牌及非營運類車牌,并分別對其進行特許權種類界定,進而探究車牌的具體資產(chǎn)屬性及其價值分析。文章運用收益法與市場法針對營運類及非營運類汽車牌照進行汽車牌照價值評估研究。在收益法方面,明確營運類車牌收益額、收益期限及折現(xiàn)率的計算口徑,構建營運類汽車牌照收益法估值模型,并模擬案例進行模型檢驗;在市場法方面,以上海車牌拍賣10年數(shù)據(jù)為基礎,運用市場法中的回歸分析法進行實證回歸,探索非營運類汽車牌照價格變動影響因素,從而提出較為合理的非營運汽車牌照定價模型,并進行市場法評估的模擬案例分析。研究表明,汽車牌照作為一種特許權,具有資產(chǎn)所具有的普遍屬性及其作為車牌這一特許權的特殊屬性,汽車牌照價格也可以從經(jīng)濟學的角度予以解釋;運用收益法與市場法建立營運類及非營運類汽車牌照評估定價模型,能夠為合理評估汽車牌照價值提供參考,并對特許權評估方法體系的豐富和完善提供一定的借鑒。
[Abstract]:At present, the increase in the number of cars in China has caused traffic congestion and environmental problems. Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou and other cities have used vehicle license plates as vehicle management means, and implemented private car and unit car auction policies to restrict vehicle ownership. With the increase of the difficulty of private car purchase, the taxi, "net car" and other operating vehicles play a more and more important role, and the transfer price of vehicle license is soaring. The property of vehicle license plate and its value analysis have become the focus of theoretical research, and the research on vehicle license plate pricing needs to be improved. In this paper, the license plate is divided into the operating license plate and the non-operating license plate, and the license plate is defined respectively, and then the specific property of license plate and its value analysis are explored. This paper applies income and market methods to evaluate the value of vehicle license plates for operating and non-operating vehicles. In the income approach, the operating license plate revenue amount, income period and discount rate calculation caliber, build the operating vehicle license plate income method valuation model, and simulation cases to model test; In the aspect of market method, based on the 10 years' data of Shanghai license plate auction, this paper applies the regression analysis method in the market method to make empirical regression, and explores the influencing factors of the price change of non-operating vehicle license plate. A more reasonable pricing model of non-operating vehicle license plate is put forward, and a simulation case study of market method evaluation is carried out. The research shows that as a kind of concession, automobile license plate has the universal property of assets and its special attribute as license plate concession. The price of vehicle license plate can also be explained from the angle of economics. The use of income method and market approach to establish the operating and non-operating vehicle license plate evaluation pricing model can provide a reference for the reasonable evaluation of vehicle license plate value and the enrichment and improvement of concession evaluation method system.
【學位授予單位】：首都經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F572

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