【摘要】：長(zhǎng)沙望城坡公交樞紐立體停保場(chǎng)工程項(xiàng)目是一個(gè)復(fù)雜的系統(tǒng)過(guò)程，，項(xiàng)目涉及的人力、物力、財(cái)力較大，各方關(guān)系及其管理也較為復(fù)雜。如果管理者不能認(rèn)清項(xiàng)目存在的問(wèn)題并及時(shí)采取措施予以解決，就可能因相應(yīng)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)問(wèn)題而影響正常的規(guī)劃施工。 本文以風(fēng)險(xiǎn)識(shí)別、風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)估及風(fēng)險(xiǎn)應(yīng)對(duì)為研究主線，首先在綜述風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理相關(guān)研究現(xiàn)狀的基礎(chǔ)上對(duì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的概念與特征及風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的本質(zhì)與過(guò)程進(jìn)行了分析；接著對(duì)長(zhǎng)沙望城坡公交樞紐立體停保場(chǎng)施工工程進(jìn)行了簡(jiǎn)單的介紹，從不可控風(fēng)險(xiǎn)與可控風(fēng)險(xiǎn)兩個(gè)維度對(duì)長(zhǎng)沙望城坡公交樞紐立體停保場(chǎng)施工風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的進(jìn)行識(shí)別，其中，不可控制風(fēng)險(xiǎn)包括政治風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、社會(huì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、不可抗力風(fēng)險(xiǎn)；可控制風(fēng)險(xiǎn)包括施工管理風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、環(huán)境風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、人員風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、項(xiàng)目相關(guān)方的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、技術(shù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)；然后通過(guò)綜合比較各種風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)價(jià)方法，分別運(yùn)用層次分析法(AHP)和模糊綜合評(píng)價(jià)方法對(duì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)指標(biāo)的權(quán)重和施工風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的級(jí)別進(jìn)行確定，建立起工程風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)估的指標(biāo)體系；最后針對(duì)由層次分析法和模糊綜合評(píng)價(jià)方法確定的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)影響因素權(quán)重與風(fēng)險(xiǎn)級(jí)別，有重點(diǎn)地對(duì)長(zhǎng)沙望城坡公交樞紐立體停保場(chǎng)施工工程的政治和社會(huì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、不可抗力風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、施工管理風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、環(huán)境風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、人員風(fēng)險(xiǎn)和技術(shù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理，提出相應(yīng)的應(yīng)對(duì)策略。
[Abstract]:It is a complicated system process that the project of three-dimensional stop and guarantee yard of Changsha Wangchengpo public transit hub involves manpower, material resources and financial resources, and the relationship between the parties and its management is also more complicated. If the manager can not recognize the problems existing in the project and take measures to solve them in time, it may affect the normal planning and construction because of the corresponding risk problems. In this paper, risk identification, risk assessment and risk response are the main lines of study. Firstly, the concept and characteristics of risk and the nature and process of risk management are analyzed on the basis of summarizing the current research situation of risk management. Secondly, the paper introduces the construction engineering of the three dimensional stop and guarantee yard of the Wangchengpo public transit hub in Changsha, and identifies the construction risk of the three dimensional stop insurance yard from the two dimensions of the uncontrollable risk and the controllable risk, among which the construction risk of the three dimensional stop and guarantee yard of the Changsha Wangchengpo public transit hub is identified. The uncontrollable risk includes political risk, social risk and force majeure risk; Controllable risk includes construction management risk, environmental risk, personnel risk, project related party risk, technical risk; Then through comprehensive comparison of various risk evaluation methods, using AHP (AHP) and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method to determine the weight of risk index and the grade of construction risk, and establish the index system of engineering risk assessment. Finally, aiming at the weight and grade of risk factors determined by Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, the political and social risks and force majeure risks of the construction project of the three-dimensional stop and guarantee yard of Changsha Wangcheng Slope Public Transit Terminal are focused on. Construction management risk, environmental risk, personnel risk and technical risk management, put forward the corresponding countermeasures.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：湖南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號(hào)】：F572.88;U492.1

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