高速鐵路和既有線客流分擔率研究
發(fā)布時間:2018-06-28 15:14
本文選題:高速鐵路 + 既有線 ; 參考:《北京交通大學》2012年碩士論文
【摘要】:高速鐵路的建成和投入運營,緩解了鐵路運輸能力緊張的局面,進一步完善了鐵路客運產(chǎn)品,更好地滿足了旅客多層次、多方位的客運需求。在運輸通道中,為提高能力利用率,增強鐵路運輸?shù)氖袌龈偁幜?高速鐵路和既有線面臨著如何合理分工的問題。研究高速鐵路和既有線的客流分擔率,對實現(xiàn)高速鐵路和既有線的合理分工,優(yōu)化運力資源配置,方便旅客出行等都具有重要意義。 本文在分析高速鐵路和既有線客流分擔率影響因素的基礎上,分析旅客出行選擇特征,將客流分為高、中、低三類,并結合不同列車的服務屬性,將高速鐵路和既有線的分擔率轉化為計算分客流類型的列車分擔率。 從旅客出行意愿的角度,由于不同類型客流的選擇行為特征和不同鐵路運輸通道在客流結構方面的差異,并結合不同等級列車的服務屬性,構建了分客流類型的不同等級列車、不同席別的客流分擔率計算模型;根據(jù)相應通道的客流結構,得出基于旅客出行意愿的不同等級列車的客流分擔率。 考慮到鐵路運輸產(chǎn)品供給在一定程度影響旅客的選擇行為,所以從鐵路運輸供給的角度,重點分析了列車開行方案對客流分擔率的影響,給出了基于列車開行方案的客流分擔率修正方法,得到受鐵路運輸供給影響的不同等級列車的客流分擔率,進而結合各等級列車在高速鐵路和既有線的開行情況,得出整個通道內(nèi)高速鐵路和既有線的客流分擔率 在此基礎上,進一步分析客流分擔率對旅客時間價值、通道的客流結構和票價的敏感性,計算出不同方案下高速鐵路和既有線的分擔率變化情況,為高速鐵路和既有線合理分工方案的確定提供依據(jù),也為鐵路相應政策的制定和實施提供參考。 論文以武廣通道為例,根據(jù)構建的模型計算出的武廣通道內(nèi)高速鐵路和既有線的客流分擔率結果與實際情況較為接近,驗證了模型的合理性和實用性;從旅客時間價值、通道客流結構和票價三個方面分析客流分擔率的敏感性,計算得出各等級列車的分擔率變化趨勢并分析其敏感性,為武廣通道列車開行方案的制定提供參考。
[Abstract]:The completion and operation of high-speed railway alleviates the shortage of railway transport capacity, further improves the railway passenger transport products, and better meets the multi-level and multi-directional passenger transport demand of passengers. In order to improve the utilization ratio of capacity and enhance the market competitiveness of railway transportation, high-speed railway and existing railway are faced with the problem of rational division of labor. It is of great significance to study the passenger flow sharing rate of high-speed railway and existing railway, to realize the rational division of labor between high-speed railway and existing railway, to optimize the allocation of transportation capacity resources, and to facilitate passenger travel. Based on the analysis of the factors affecting the passenger flow sharing rate of the high-speed railway and the existing railway, this paper analyzes the characteristics of passenger travel selection, classifies the passenger flow into three categories: high, middle and low, and combines the service attributes of different trains. The share rate of high speed railway and existing railway is transformed into the train share rate of passenger flow type. From the point of view of passenger travel intention, because of the different behavior characteristics of different types of passenger flow and the differences in passenger flow structure of different railway transport channels, and combined with the service attributes of different grade trains, the different grade trains with different passenger flow types are constructed. According to the passenger flow structure of the corresponding channel, the passenger flow sharing rate of different class trains based on passenger travel intention is obtained. In view of the fact that the supply of railway transport products affects the behavior of passengers to some extent, from the point of view of railway transport supply, the influence of train operation scheme on passenger flow sharing rate is analyzed emphatically. In this paper, the method of correcting passenger flow sharing rate based on train operation scheme is given, and the passenger flow sharing rate of different grade trains affected by railway transportation supply is obtained, and then combined with the operation of each grade train on high-speed railway and existing railway line, On the basis of this, the paper further analyzes the sensitivity of the passenger flow sharing rate to the passenger time value, the passenger flow structure and the ticket price of the passage. The variation of the sharing rate of high-speed railway and existing railway under different schemes is calculated, which provides the basis for the determination of rational division of labor between high-speed railway and existing railway, and also provides a reference for the formulation and implementation of the corresponding policies of railway. This paper takes Wuguang Channel as an example, according to the constructed model, the result of passenger flow sharing rate of high-speed railway and existing railway in Wuguang Channel is close to the actual situation, which verifies the rationality and practicability of the model. This paper analyzes the sensitivity of passenger flow sharing rate from three aspects of channel passenger flow structure and ticket price, calculates the variation trend of each grade train's share rate and analyzes its sensitivity, which provides a reference for the formulation of Wuguang channel train operation plan.
【學位授予單位】:北京交通大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2012
【分類號】:U293.13
【參考文獻】
相關期刊論文 前10條
1 四兵鋒,高自友;城市間旅客列車的票價與流量的靈敏度分析[J];北方交通大學學報;2001年02期
2 陳月秀;;個人所得稅指數(shù)化的立法思考[J];法學雜志;2009年05期
3 陳月秀;;我國個人所得稅指數(shù)化的必要性和可行性思考[J];廣州大學學報(社會科學版);2009年09期
4 陳建華,高自友;鐵路票價制定策略和線路提速方案的優(yōu)化分析[J];管理科學學報;2004年04期
5 李友好,劉曉佳,施其洲;基于網(wǎng)絡的運輸通道客運流量分配模型[J];交通運輸工程與信息學報;2005年02期
6 張貽民;梁明;;數(shù)學建模的幾種基本預測方法的探討[J];茂名學院學報;2006年06期
7 孫健;;客貨分線后既有線運輸組織研究[J];鐵道運輸與經(jīng)濟;2009年04期
8 陳寬民,羅小強;城市快速軌道交通合理票價的博弈分析[J];長安大學學報(自然科學版);2005年04期
9 朱健梅;競爭性運輸通道選擇的博弈模型研究[J];西南交通大學學報;2003年03期
10 李德剛,羅霞;基于用戶的綜合運輸通道結構配置[J];西南交通大學學報;2005年02期
,本文編號:2078403
本文鏈接:http://sikaile.net/jingjilunwen/jtysjj/2078403.html
教材專著