本文選題：海運服務貿易 + 貨物貿易�。� 參考：《大連海事大學》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：2001年12月11日,中國正式成為WTO第143個成員。加入WTO以來,便利的貿易條件為我國對外貿易提供了良好的發(fā)展環(huán)境,我國對外貿易發(fā)展迅速,到2011年,貨物貿易和服務貿易規(guī)模均增長6倍以上,年均增速超過了20%。 我國對外貿易結構極不協調,服務貿易的發(fā)展遠遠滯后于貨物貿易發(fā)展,中國是世界貨物貿易大國,貨物貿易在我國對外貿易結構中一直處于主導地位。我國一方面維持著巨額貨物貿易順差,同時伴隨著同樣巨大巨額的服務貿易逆差,不合理的貿易結構嚴重制約了中國對外貿易健康、持續(xù)發(fā)展。 運輸、旅游等傳統服務貿易仍是我國服務貿易的主體,運輸服務貿易額占我國服務貿易額的比重常年維持在25%以上,運輸服務貿易逆差額占整個服務貿易逆差額的一半以上。海運服務是運輸服務中最重要的一種方式,其份額占整個運輸服務貿易的70%以上。在全球化背景下,國與國、大陸與大陸之間最便宜的運輸就是海運,靠飛機、火車解決不了全球運輸。隨著入世承諾的履行,我國運輸服務貿易對外開放程度逐漸加深,中國海運企業(yè)被推上了世界舞臺,在更公平的環(huán)境下與世界各國海運公司展開競爭。海運服務貿易作為國際貿易往來的紐帶與橋梁,在國際貿易中發(fā)揮著重要作用。因此,我國應利用貨物貿易競爭優(yōu)勢,促進海運服務貿易與貨物貿易協同發(fā)展,提升我國對外貿易整體競爭力。 本文通過對文獻資料的搜集整理,闡述了中國海運服務貿易面臨的外部環(huán)境,對比分析了中國入世以來海運服務貿易與貨物貿易的發(fā)展狀況,認為海運服務貿易和貨物貿易在發(fā)展過程中存在相關性。本文應用Eviews5.0統計軟件,建立VAR模型,分析海運服務貿易與貨物貿易總量的長期均衡關系。通過分析模型結果,發(fā)現貨物貿易的發(fā)展對海運服務業(yè)有明顯的促進作用,反過來,海運服務貿易的發(fā)展又能給貨物貿易內部結構升級提供強力支撐,降低貨物貿易運輸成本,增加貨物貿易競爭優(yōu)勢。在維持我國貨物貿易競爭優(yōu)勢的前提下,應加強海運企業(yè)合作,增加海運服務貿易競爭力,促進海運服務貿易與貨物貿易協同發(fā)展,同時積極參與國際貿易規(guī)則制定,增加我國政府在國際貿易中的話語權,以更主動的姿態(tài)參與國際貿易活動。
[Abstract]:On December 11, 2001, China officially became the 143rd member of WTO.Since China's entry into WTO, the convenient terms of trade have provided a good development environment for China's foreign trade. China's foreign trade has developed rapidly. By 2011, the scale of trade in goods and services has increased by more than 6 times, and the average annual growth rate has exceeded 20%.China's foreign trade structure is extremely uncoordinated, and the development of service trade lags far behind the development of goods trade. China is a big country in the world trade in goods, and goods trade has always been in the leading position in the foreign trade structure of our country.On the one hand, China maintains a huge trade surplus in goods, and at the same time, with the same huge trade deficit in services, the unreasonable trade structure seriously restricts the healthy and sustainable development of China's foreign trade.Traditional service trade, such as transportation and tourism, is still the main body of service trade in China. The proportion of trade volume of transport services to the trade volume of services in our country is kept above 25% all the year round, and the reverse balance of trade in transport services accounts for more than half of the total reverse balance of trade in services.Shipping service is the most important way of transport service, its share accounts for more than 70% of the total trade in transport services.In the context of globalization, the cheapest transport between countries and between the mainland and the mainland is sea transport, which cannot be solved by air or train.With the implementation of China's WTO commitments, the degree of opening up to the outside world of China's transport service trade has gradually deepened, and Chinese shipping enterprises have been pushed onto the world stage to compete with the shipping companies of other countries in a fairer environment.As the link and bridge of international trade, maritime service trade plays an important role in international trade.Therefore, China should take advantage of the competitive advantage of goods trade, promote the coordinated development of maritime trade in services and goods trade, and promote the overall competitiveness of China's foreign trade.Based on the collection and arrangement of literature, this paper expounds the external environment that China's maritime transport service trade is facing, and compares and analyzes the development of China's seaborne service trade and goods trade since China's entry into WTO.It is considered that there is a correlation between trade in marine services and trade in goods in the course of development.In this paper, Eviews5.0 statistical software is used to establish VAR model to analyze the long term equilibrium relationship between maritime trade in services and total volume of trade in goods.Through the analysis of the results of the model, it is found that the development of the goods trade has an obvious promoting effect on the marine services industry. In turn, the development of the maritime trade in services can provide strong support for the upgrading of the internal structure of the trade in goods and reduce the transport costs of the trade in goods.Increase the competitive advantage of goods trade.On the premise of maintaining the competitive advantage of China's goods trade, we should strengthen the cooperation of maritime transport enterprises, increase the competitiveness of maritime trade in services, promote the coordinated development of maritime trade in services and trade in goods, and take an active part in the formulation of international trade rules.Increase our government's voice in international trade and participate in international trade more actively.
【學位授予單位】：大連海事大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F752.6;F552;F224

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