基于博弈理論的城市公共交通定價(jià)方法研究
本文選題:公交定價(jià) 切入點(diǎn):博弈 出處:《華中科技大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文
【摘要】:隨著我國經(jīng)濟(jì)的持續(xù)發(fā)展、城市化進(jìn)程的快速推進(jìn),越來越多的人口向大城市和以大城市為核心的周邊區(qū)域聚集。城市人口的持續(xù)增長帶來了更多的交通出行需求,但由于城市規(guī)劃落后、道路資源有限,以及車輛數(shù)量的高速增長,城市交通面臨巨大的壓力,突出表現(xiàn)為城市道路擁堵、居民出行困難和環(huán)境污染,而優(yōu)先發(fā)展公共交通是緩解城市交通擁堵的非常有效的方法。根據(jù)我國目前城市公共交通發(fā)展的現(xiàn)狀和相關(guān)政策,要優(yōu)先發(fā)展城市公交,就必須對公交企業(yè)制定合理的票價(jià),因?yàn)樵诠步煌ǚ⻊?wù)水平一定的情況下,票價(jià)影響著出行者的選擇,從而影響到公共交通的分擔(dān)率,并最終影響著公交企業(yè)的生存和城市交通的可持續(xù)發(fā)展。本論文從交通出行需求考慮,分析影響公共交通需求的經(jīng)濟(jì)因素,從信息博弈理論的角度考察票價(jià)的機(jī)制,研究科學(xué)合理的城市公共交通最優(yōu)定價(jià)的理論和模型,,為公共交通定價(jià)提供科學(xué)的理論指導(dǎo)。 本文先以公共交通定價(jià)的基本理論為基礎(chǔ),對公共交通行業(yè)的特性進(jìn)行分析,探討如何實(shí)現(xiàn)信息資源的最大化。隨后從出行者消費(fèi)的角度對合理票價(jià)進(jìn)行分析,最后以完全但不完美信息博弈為基礎(chǔ),討論政府定價(jià)的激勵問題。本文的創(chuàng)新點(diǎn)在于對公共交通定價(jià)中信息判斷以及激勵相容博弈理論的應(yīng)用,并結(jié)合經(jīng)濟(jì)理論的方法分析公交定價(jià)策略,使得研究成果和結(jié)論具有很強(qiáng)的理論性和實(shí)用性,以期達(dá)到科學(xué)定價(jià)并最終實(shí)現(xiàn)公共交通系統(tǒng)效率最優(yōu)的目的。
[Abstract]:With the sustainable development of our economy and the rapid development of urbanization, more and more people gather to the big cities and the surrounding areas with the big cities as the core.The sustained growth of urban population has brought more traffic travel demand, but due to the backward urban planning, limited road resources, and the rapid growth of the number of vehicles, urban traffic is facing enormous pressure, which is highlighted as urban road congestion.Residents travel difficult and environmental pollution, and priority to develop public transport is a very effective way to alleviate urban traffic congestion.According to the current situation and relevant policies of urban public transport development in China, in order to give priority to the development of urban public transport, it is necessary to set reasonable fares for public transport enterprises, because in the case of a certain level of public transport services,The ticket price affects the choice of passengers, thus affects the share rate of public transport, and ultimately affects the survival of public transport enterprises and the sustainable development of urban transportation.This paper analyzes the economic factors that affect the public transport demand from the point of view of travel demand, investigates the mechanism of ticket price from the angle of information game theory, and studies the scientific and reasonable theory and model of the optimal pricing of urban public transport.To provide scientific theoretical guidance for public transport pricing.Based on the basic theory of public transport pricing, this paper analyzes the characteristics of public transport industry and discusses how to maximize the information resources.Then it analyzes the reasonable ticket price from the perspective of traveler consumption, and finally discusses the incentive problem of government pricing based on the complete but imperfect information game.The innovation of this paper lies in the application of information judgment and incentive compatible game theory in public transport pricing, and the analysis of bus pricing strategy combining with economic theory, which makes the research results and conclusions very theoretical and practical.In order to achieve the goal of scientific pricing and public transport system efficiency optimization.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:華中科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2012
【分類號】:F572;F224
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