本文選題：風(fēng)險態(tài)度　切入點(diǎn)：風(fēng)險因素識別　出處：《首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：自京津冀一體化提出“要優(yōu)先發(fā)展區(qū)域交通建設(shè)”以來,三地一直共同致力于建設(shè)“軌道上的京津冀”。京津冀交通建設(shè)項(xiàng)目涉及到京、津、冀三個省區(qū),這些省區(qū)之間制度和政策安排上的不協(xié)調(diào)往往會導(dǎo)致該區(qū)域交通項(xiàng)目在可行性研究、融資、規(guī)劃、建設(shè)、運(yùn)營等階段出現(xiàn)諸多不確定性,導(dǎo)致所面臨的風(fēng)險十分復(fù)雜。這些風(fēng)險往往貫穿于項(xiàng)目的整個壽命周期,而且會涉及到眾多的利益相關(guān)者,例如各地政府部門、投資人、業(yè)主、金融機(jī)構(gòu)、設(shè)計、施工、監(jiān)理、保險、環(huán)保及當(dāng)?shù)鼐用�。這些利益相關(guān)者既是風(fēng)險損失的承擔(dān)者和風(fēng)險收益的獲得者,也是項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險管理活動的決策者,在項(xiàng)目各個階段發(fā)生的風(fēng)險必然與利益相關(guān)者相關(guān)聯(lián),而項(xiàng)目各利益相關(guān)者對待風(fēng)險的不同態(tài)度和他們之間的利益關(guān)系,使得風(fēng)險處置和管理變得更加復(fù)雜困難。鑒于京津冀交通項(xiàng)目涉及眾多利益相關(guān)者,建設(shè)過程中面臨的風(fēng)險因素復(fù)雜繁多,因此,有效的風(fēng)險因素識別和合理的風(fēng)險分擔(dān)模式至關(guān)重要。本文首先對京津冀交通項(xiàng)目建設(shè)階段的主要利益相關(guān)者進(jìn)行識別和分析,調(diào)查他們在項(xiàng)目建設(shè)階段的風(fēng)險態(tài)度。然后通過構(gòu)建施工階段風(fēng)險因素識別框架,從利益相關(guān)者風(fēng)險態(tài)度的視角出發(fā)對京津冀交通建設(shè)階段的風(fēng)險因素進(jìn)行識別,采用調(diào)查問卷的形式對風(fēng)險發(fā)生的可能性及嚴(yán)重性程度開展調(diào)查數(shù)據(jù)分析,運(yùn)用風(fēng)險重要性指數(shù)劃分風(fēng)險等級,確定影響項(xiàng)目的關(guān)鍵風(fēng)險因素,進(jìn)一步生成具有針對性的風(fēng)險因素清單。最后基于各利益相關(guān)者對于關(guān)鍵風(fēng)險因素的態(tài)度,結(jié)合風(fēng)險分擔(dān)原則構(gòu)建京津冀交通建設(shè)各利益相關(guān)者的風(fēng)險分擔(dān)模式。本文從利益相關(guān)者風(fēng)險態(tài)度的視角出發(fā)對風(fēng)險因素進(jìn)行識別,提高了風(fēng)險識別的準(zhǔn)確性,也更具有針對性,而基于此構(gòu)建的風(fēng)險分擔(dān)模式更有利于各利益相關(guān)者明確自身責(zé)任。本研究提出的風(fēng)險分擔(dān)模式及對策建議,可以為京津冀交通項(xiàng)目建設(shè)各利益相關(guān)者,特別是政府和企業(yè)之間的合理分擔(dān)風(fēng)險提供理論基礎(chǔ)和實(shí)踐應(yīng)用指南,為京津冀交通建設(shè)施工階段的風(fēng)險管理工作提供支持。
[Abstract]:Since Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei integration put forward "priority to develop regional traffic construction", the three places have been working together to build "Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei on track".Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei transportation construction projects involve three provinces and regions, namely, Beijing, Tianjin, and Hebei. The incoordination of systems and policy arrangements between these provinces and autonomous regions often leads to the feasibility study, financing, planning, and construction of regional transport projects.Operation and other stages appear many uncertainties, resulting in the risk is very complex.These risks often span the life cycle of the project and involve a wide range of stakeholders, such as local government departments, investors, owners, financial institutions, design, construction, supervision, insurance, environmental protection, and local residents.These stakeholders are both the stakeholders of risk loss and the winners of risk gains, and also the decision makers of project risk management activities. The risks that occur at all stages of the project are necessarily associated with stakeholders.The different attitudes of project stakeholders towards risk and their interest relationship make risk management more complex and difficult.Because the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei transportation project involves many stakeholders and the risk factors in the construction process are complex and numerous, it is very important to identify effective risk factors and reasonable risk sharing model.In this paper, the main stakeholders in the construction phase of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei transportation project are identified and analyzed, and their risk attitude in the construction phase is investigated.Then through the construction stage risk factor identification frame, from the stakeholder risk attitude angle of view, carries on the identification to the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei transportation construction stage risk factor.The questionnaire is used to analyze the probability and severity of the risk, and the risk importance index is used to classify the risk and determine the key risk factors that affect the project.Further generate a targeted list of risk factors.Finally, based on the attitude of the stakeholders to the key risk factors, combined with the principle of risk sharing, this paper constructs the risk sharing model of the stakeholders in the traffic construction of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei.In this paper, the risk factors are identified from the perspective of stakeholders' risk attitude, which improves the accuracy of risk identification and is more targeted, and the risk-sharing model based on this is more helpful for the stakeholders to clarify their own responsibilities.The risk sharing model and countermeasures proposed in this study can provide the theoretical basis and practical application guide for the reasonable risk sharing among the stakeholders in the construction of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei transportation projects, especially between the government and the enterprises.To provide support for the risk management in the construction phase of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F512.7

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 陳昌智;;以體制機(jī)制改革推動京津冀協(xié)同發(fā)展[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)與管理;2015年06期

2 ;京津冀區(qū)域一體化格局2030年基本形成——訪京津冀協(xié)同發(fā)展領(lǐng)導(dǎo)小組辦公室負(fù)責(zé)人[J];中國經(jīng)貿(mào)導(dǎo)刊;2015年25期

3 鄭武昌;;施工階段工程質(zhì)量監(jiān)理分析與應(yīng)用[J];福建建材;2015年07期

4 祝爾娟;文魁;;推進(jìn)京津冀區(qū)域協(xié)同發(fā)展的戰(zhàn)略思考[J];前線;2015年05期

5 高華;齊浩;朱俊文;;軌道交通BT項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險分擔(dān)研究[J];土木工程學(xué)報;2015年03期

6 何偉怡;徐飛翔;杜亞靈;王倩;;全壽命周期設(shè)計的風(fēng)險分擔(dān)研究[J];工程管理學(xué)報;2014年02期

7 秦旋;荊磊;;綠色建筑全壽命周期風(fēng)險因素評估與分析:基于問卷調(diào)查的探索[J];土木工程學(xué)報;2013年08期

8 蔣衛(wèi)平;張謙;董留群;胡凱;;大型工程項(xiàng)目中內(nèi)部利益相關(guān)者的影響分析[J];武漢理工大學(xué)學(xué)報(信息與管理工程版);2013年03期

9 王家遠(yuǎn);鄒小偉;張國敏;;建設(shè)項(xiàng)目生命周期的風(fēng)險識別[J];科技進(jìn)步與對策;2010年19期

10 劉奇;王蓓;武麗麗;;基于利益相關(guān)者理論的城市軌道交通項(xiàng)目需求分析[J];鐵路工程造價管理;2010年05期

相關(guān)博士學(xué)位論文 前2條

1 何旭東;基于利益相關(guān)者理論的工程項(xiàng)目主體行為風(fēng)險管理研究[D];中國礦業(yè)大學(xué);2011年

2 甘曉龍;基于利益相關(guān)者理論的基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施項(xiàng)目可持續(xù)建設(shè)方案決策模型研究[D];重慶大學(xué);2014年

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前7條

1 陳菁雅;城市軌道交通PPP項(xiàng)目的風(fēng)險分擔(dān)研究[D];北京交通大學(xué);2016年

2 王碩;建筑工程項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險分擔(dān)研究[D];哈爾濱工業(yè)大學(xué);2016年

3 應(yīng)立_";基于利益相關(guān)者理論的大型工程項(xiàng)目建設(shè)方案綜合評價研究[D];西南交通大學(xué);2015年

4 顧曼;PPP模式下城市軌道交通項(xiàng)目公私雙方風(fēng)險管理研究[D];中國礦業(yè)大學(xué);2014年

5 盧亮;基于利益相關(guān)者理論的公路建設(shè)項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險管理[D];青島科技大學(xué);2013年

6 高余;PPP模式下城市軌道交通項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險分擔(dān)研究[D];石家莊鐵道大學(xué);2012年

7 沈濤涌;建筑施工項(xiàng)目利益相關(guān)者合作機(jī)制研究[D];山東大學(xué);2009年

，

本文編號：1693016