航班計(jì)劃短期調(diào)整的因素分析
本文關(guān)鍵詞: 層次分析法 短期航班 航班調(diào)整 出處:《華南理工大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:隨著國(guó)內(nèi)民航運(yùn)輸業(yè)的不斷發(fā)展壯大,各航空公司機(jī)隊(duì)規(guī)模的不斷增長(zhǎng),如何更好的盈利成為各大航空公司的共同課題。航班計(jì)劃是航空公司一切生產(chǎn)活動(dòng)的基礎(chǔ)和核心,其它任何生產(chǎn)計(jì)劃都是圍繞航班計(jì)劃來制定,并為航班計(jì)劃的順利實(shí)施提供保障。而航班計(jì)劃的短期調(diào)整是航班計(jì)劃維護(hù)工作的重要一環(huán)。由于市場(chǎng)環(huán)境瞬息萬(wàn)變,航空公司內(nèi)部的各種資源也在不斷變化,由航季開始前制定的長(zhǎng)期航班計(jì)劃也會(huì)再不斷地變化過程中變得不合時(shí)宜。因此,航空公司如何在不斷變化的環(huán)境中制定出最有利于公司運(yùn)營(yíng)的航班調(diào)整方案顯得尤為重要。 本文以專家調(diào)查法的形式,,通過調(diào)查問卷咨詢影響短期航班調(diào)整方案的因素,并在此分析的基礎(chǔ)上,構(gòu)建影響航班計(jì)劃短期調(diào)整因素的指標(biāo)體系。并通過采用層次分析法(AHP),建立一個(gè)4層5個(gè)一級(jí)指標(biāo)、20個(gè)二級(jí)指標(biāo)以及4個(gè)短期航班調(diào)整方案的綜合評(píng)價(jià)體系,從市場(chǎng)因素、飛機(jī)維修、飛機(jī)機(jī)組、運(yùn)行批復(fù)以及政府行為等角度對(duì)機(jī)型調(diào)整、時(shí)刻調(diào)整、新增航班以及取消航班等4種航班調(diào)整方案進(jìn)行綜合評(píng)價(jià),以選取最優(yōu)方案。 本文采用專家打分法對(duì)4種調(diào)整方案進(jìn)行打分,同時(shí)結(jié)合市場(chǎng)銷售水平,最終計(jì)算出在不同銷售水平下分值最高的航班計(jì)劃短期調(diào)整方案。從最終的計(jì)算結(jié)果可以得到,只有在市場(chǎng)銷售水平較低的情況下才可以采取取消航班的措施以降低成本,當(dāng)市場(chǎng)銷售水平上升后,則應(yīng)主要采取機(jī)型調(diào)整(機(jī)型改大或改小)的手段為航空公司降低成本或增加收入。再結(jié)合日常工作的實(shí)際,分別計(jì)算出包含政府行為因素和不包含政府行為因素影響下的方案評(píng)價(jià),為航空公司短期航班計(jì)劃維護(hù)工作人員提供了一套合理、有效的調(diào)整方案指引。希望通過本文的分析,能夠給航空公司日常短期航班調(diào)整行為提供指導(dǎo)性建議,降低調(diào)整行為的隨意性。
[Abstract]:With the continuous development of the domestic civil aviation transportation industry and the continuous growth of the fleet size of the airlines, how to make a better profit becomes a common topic for the major airlines. Flight planning is the basis and core of all the production activities of the airlines. Any other production plan is built around flight planning and provides guarantees for the smooth implementation of flight plans. The short-term adjustment of flight plans is an important part of flight plan maintenance. The resources within the airline are also constantly changing, and the long-term flight plans drawn up before the start of the season will become anachronistic in the process of further changes. It is very important for airlines to make the most favorable flight adjustment in the changing environment. In the form of expert investigation, this paper consults the factors that affect the short-term flight adjustment scheme through questionnaire, and based on the analysis, This paper constructs the index system of influencing the short-term adjustment factors of flight plan, and through adopting the analytic hierarchy process (AHP), establishes a comprehensive evaluation system of 4 layers of 5 first-grade indexes, 20 second-class indexes and 4 short-term flight adjustment schemes, which is based on the market factors. In order to select the optimal scheme, the aircraft maintenance, flight crew, operation approval and government behavior are comprehensively evaluated to adjust the model, adjust at all times, add new flights and cancel flights. In this paper, the expert scoring method is used to score the four adjustment schemes, and at the same time, combined with the market sales level, the short-run adjustment scheme of the flight plan with the highest score at different sales levels is finally calculated, which can be obtained from the final calculation results. Cancellations of flights can be taken to reduce costs only when the market level of sales is low, and when the level of market sales rises, Then we should mainly adopt the means of model adjustment (larger or smaller) for the airlines to reduce their costs or increase their income, and then combine with the reality of their daily work. The program evaluation which includes the government behavior factor and does not include the government behavior factor separately has provided a set of reasonable and effective adjustment plan guidance for the airline short-term flight plan maintenance staff. I hope that through the analysis of this article, Can provide guidance to airline daily short-term flight adjustment behavior and reduce the randomness of adjustment behavior.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:華南理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2012
【分類號(hào)】:F562.6
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