本文關(guān)鍵詞： 高速客運 競爭關(guān)系 協(xié)同發(fā)展 雙層規(guī)劃 多目標規(guī)劃　出處：《大連海事大學》2012年博士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：根據(jù)高鐵和民航規(guī)劃,未來一個時期我國高鐵和民航將呈現(xiàn)快速發(fā)展勢頭,在中東部地區(qū)形成密集的高速客運網(wǎng)絡(luò)。這兩種運輸方式均以實現(xiàn)旅客快速運輸為目的,運輸產(chǎn)品的高度一致性,決定了兩者在客運方面存在相互替代的關(guān)系,-并由此產(chǎn)生高度競爭的空間關(guān)系。從目前已經(jīng)運營線路高鐵和民航的經(jīng)營狀況來看,惡性競爭的態(tài)勢已經(jīng)凸顯,如果繼續(xù)維持這種各自為政、失衡發(fā)展的局面,勢必造成巨大的人力、物力、財力的浪費。本文綜合運用了運輸經(jīng)濟學、技術(shù)經(jīng)濟學、博弈論等相關(guān)理論對高速鐵路與民航客運相互競爭和協(xié)同發(fā)展等若干問題進行了深入研究。本文主要研究內(nèi)容如下： (1)與本文研究相關(guān)的基礎(chǔ)理論闡述。從交通運輸業(yè)的屬性,交通運輸需求兩個方面,對高速客運業(yè)的產(chǎn)業(yè)屬性、社會屬性、經(jīng)濟屬性和高速客運的市場需求進行理論概述。在此基礎(chǔ)之上,結(jié)合交通運輸市場的含義、特征、作用和壟斷市場行為,對高速客運市場的相關(guān)內(nèi)涵進行分析,并詳細敘述了高鐵和民航這兩種方式的技術(shù)經(jīng)濟特點。 (2)不同因素影響下的高速鐵路與民航競爭關(guān)系分析。根據(jù)非集計的相關(guān)理論和計算方法,通過對影響旅客進行交通方式選擇的宏觀因素和微觀因素的描述,選取影響因素,建立描述武廣高鐵沿線高速鐵路與民航客運競爭的Binary Logit模型,設(shè)計調(diào)查問卷實地調(diào)查獲得統(tǒng)計數(shù)據(jù),根據(jù)因素間的相關(guān)性對影響數(shù)據(jù)進行剔除,對模型的參數(shù)進行標定。在此基礎(chǔ)上,綜合分析票價、旅程距離、程前程后時間和程前程后費用變化時,高速鐵路與民航客運競爭關(guān)系的相應(yīng)變化。 (3)以博弈論思想為核心的高速客運協(xié)同定價研究。以運輸價格的形成因素、運輸價格制定和均衡價格作為理論基礎(chǔ),根據(jù)斯坦科爾伯格模型對協(xié)同定價的過程進行分析,利用雙層規(guī)劃模型建立描述協(xié)同定價過程的定價模型,選擇靈敏度分析的方法,結(jié)合武廣兩地高鐵和民航的實際運營數(shù)據(jù),在原始客流和誘發(fā)客流兩種限制條件下,對武廣兩地高鐵和民航進行協(xié)同定價分析。 (4)以廣義建設(shè)費用最低和高速客運網(wǎng)絡(luò)效率作為優(yōu)化目標,對高鐵與民航的協(xié)同布局進行研究。以高速鐵路和民航客運實際建設(shè)成本作為分析數(shù)據(jù),選取高速客運網(wǎng)絡(luò)結(jié)構(gòu)和高速客運服務(wù)質(zhì)量評價的部分指標,建立雙目標協(xié)同布局模型；以石家莊-廣州高鐵途經(jīng)省份為研究區(qū)域,使用遺傳算法對雙目標函數(shù)進行加權(quán)求解,探討不同目標權(quán)重下研究區(qū)域內(nèi)擬建機場的布局,提出高鐵與民航客運協(xié)同發(fā)展的相關(guān)建議。
[Abstract]:According to the high-speed rail and civil aviation plan, China's high-speed rail and civil aviation will show a rapid development momentum in the coming period. Intensive high-speed passenger transport network is formed in the central and eastern part of the country. Both of these two modes of transport are designed to realize rapid passenger transport. The high consistency of transport products determines the relationship between them in passenger transport. -and the resulting highly competitive spatial relationship. Judging from the current operating conditions of high-speed rail and civil aviation, the trend of vicious competition has been highlighted, and if this kind of separation continues to be maintained. The unbalanced development situation is bound to cause a huge waste of manpower, material resources and financial resources. Some related theories, such as game theory, have carried on the thorough research to the high-speed railway and the civil aviation passenger transport mutual competition and the coordinated development and so on several questions. The main research contents of this paper are as follows: From the attributes of transportation industry, transportation demand, the industrial attributes of high-speed passenger transport industry, social attributes. Economic attributes and high-speed passenger transport market demand theoretical overview. On this basis, combined with the meaning of the transport market, characteristics, role and monopoly market behavior, the high-speed passenger transport market related connotations are analyzed. And detailed description of high-speed rail and civil aviation these two ways of technical and economic characteristics. Analysis of the competitive relationship between high-speed railway and civil aviation under the influence of different factors. According to the relevant theory and calculation method of disaggregate. Through the description of macro and micro factors which affect the choice of traffic mode for passengers, select the influencing factors. A Binary Logit model was established to describe the competition between high-speed railway and civil aviation passenger transport along the Wu-Guang high-speed rail line, and a questionnaire was designed to obtain the statistical data. The parameters of the model are calibrated according to the correlation between the factors. On this basis, the changes of ticket price, distance, time and cost are analyzed comprehensively. The corresponding change of competition relation between high speed railway and civil aviation passenger transport. 3) the cooperative pricing of high-speed passenger transport with game theory as the core, taking the formation factor of transport price, the formulation of transport price and equilibrium price as the theoretical basis. Based on the Steinkelberg model, the process of collaborative pricing is analyzed. A pricing model describing the process of collaborative pricing is established by using a bilevel programming model, and a sensitivity analysis method is selected. Combined with the actual operation data of high-speed rail and civil aviation in Wuhan and Guangzhou, the cooperative pricing analysis of high-speed rail and civil aviation in Wuhan and Guangzhou is carried out under the two restriction conditions of original passenger flow and induced passenger flow. 4) taking the lowest construction cost and high speed passenger transport network efficiency as the optimization goal, the cooperative layout of high-speed railway and civil aviation is studied. The actual construction cost of high-speed railway and civil aviation passenger transportation is taken as the analysis data. Selecting some indexes of high-speed passenger transport network structure and quality of service evaluation of high-speed passenger transport, a two-objective cooperative layout model is established. Taking Shijiazhuang-Guangzhou high-speed rail transit province as the study area, the genetic algorithm is used to solve the double objective function weighted, and the layout of the proposed airport in the study area under different target weights is discussed. This paper puts forward some suggestions on the coordinated development of high-speed rail and civil aviation passenger transport.
【學位授予單位】：大連海事大學
【學位級別】：博士
【學位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：F532;F562

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