本文關(guān)鍵詞： 武廣高鐵 生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè) 影響 對(duì)策　出處：《湖南科技大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：近年來(lái)，西方經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)的發(fā)展經(jīng)歷與實(shí)踐經(jīng)驗(yàn)已充分說(shuō)明，作為衡量一個(gè)國(guó)家或地區(qū)現(xiàn)代化發(fā)展水平的重要標(biāo)志，生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)的興起與發(fā)展已是勢(shì)不可擋。生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)在生產(chǎn)要素跨地區(qū)流動(dòng)，產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)與技術(shù)進(jìn)步方面起到了“推進(jìn)器”的作用。湖南生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展已取得一定成果，但由于地域、人才、科研水平等多重因素的限制，其發(fā)展進(jìn)程較為緩慢，產(chǎn)業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力有待進(jìn)一步提升。 高速鐵路作為現(xiàn)代文明與高新科技結(jié)合下的現(xiàn)代化交通工具，具有顯著的技術(shù)與經(jīng)濟(jì)優(yōu)勢(shì)，其通達(dá)性強(qiáng)的突出特征能有效實(shí)現(xiàn)人才流、物資流、技術(shù)流、信息流等要素的合理配置，對(duì)生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)的整體發(fā)展具有重要作用。武廣高鐵于2009年年底正式通車(chē)，作為連接湖南與內(nèi)陸及沿海的重要“紐帶”，其開(kāi)通運(yùn)營(yíng)將改善湖南生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展環(huán)境，對(duì)其發(fā)展產(chǎn)生深遠(yuǎn)影響。因此，研究武廣高鐵對(duì)湖南生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展的影響，利用武廣高鐵加快湖南生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展是很有必要的。 本文的研究?jī)?nèi)容包括以下幾個(gè)部分： 首先，本文通過(guò)對(duì)湖南生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)進(jìn)行全面分析，，概括出其整體及各行業(yè)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀，同時(shí)對(duì)行業(yè)發(fā)展特點(diǎn)及面臨問(wèn)題進(jìn)行闡述。通過(guò)分析可知湖南生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展受到產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展水平低、體制機(jī)制障礙、創(chuàng)新能力不足等因素的制約。 其次，在交替推拉關(guān)系論、相互作用論、外部效果論等相關(guān)理論的指導(dǎo)下，結(jié)合湖南生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展制約因素的分析，再綜合長(zhǎng)沙、株洲、衡陽(yáng)、郴州等高鐵站的調(diào)查結(jié)果，從理論角度探析武廣高鐵對(duì)湖南生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展的影響。 再次，從實(shí)證角度分析武廣高鐵對(duì)湖南生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)的影響。實(shí)證分析由緊密聯(lián)系的三部分構(gòu)成。第一部分是在機(jī)理分析的基礎(chǔ)上，運(yùn)用多元線性回歸模型對(duì)武廣高鐵背景下湖南生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)影響因素進(jìn)行分析；第二部分構(gòu)建雙對(duì)數(shù)模型，分析說(shuō)明鐵路客運(yùn)量的變化對(duì)湖南生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展的影響；第三部分運(yùn)用灰色預(yù)測(cè)模型預(yù)測(cè)出2010、2011年“無(wú)”武廣高鐵情況下鐵路客運(yùn)量，代入雙對(duì)數(shù)模型得出2010、2011年“無(wú)”武廣高鐵情況下湖南生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展?fàn)顩r，將其與“有”武廣高鐵情況下的實(shí)際狀況進(jìn)行對(duì)比，分析出武廣高鐵對(duì)湖南生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展所做的貢獻(xiàn)。 最后，依據(jù)實(shí)證分析得出的結(jié)論，立足湖南省情，把握武廣高鐵快速發(fā)展的機(jī)遇，對(duì)更好地利用武廣高鐵推動(dòng)湖南生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展提出政策建議。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the western economic and social development experience and practical experience has been fully explained, as an important indicator of a country or region's modernization development level. The rise and development of producer services is unstoppable. Industrial upgrading and technological progress have played the role of "propeller". Hunan producer service industry has achieved certain results, but due to the region, talent, scientific research level and other factors constraints. Its development process is relatively slow, the industrial competitiveness needs to be further improved. As a modern vehicle with modern civilization and high technology, high-speed railway has obvious technical and economic advantages, and its outstanding characteristics of strong accessibility can effectively realize the flow of talent, material and technology. The rational allocation of information flow plays an important role in the overall development of producer services. Wuguang high-speed railway was formally opened to traffic at the end of 2009 as an important "link" between Hunan and inland and coastal areas. Its opening and operation will improve the development environment of Hunan producer services, and have a far-reaching impact on its development. Therefore, this paper studies the impact of Wuguang high-speed rail on the development of Hunan producer services. It is necessary to speed up the development of Hunan producer service industry by using high-speed railway. The research content of this paper includes the following parts: First of all, through the comprehensive analysis of Hunan producer services, this paper summarizes the overall development of the industry and its current situation. Through the analysis, we can know that the development of Hunan producer service industry is restricted by such factors as low level of industrial development, obstacles of system and mechanism, insufficient ability of innovation and so on. Secondly, under the guidance of alternative push-pull relationship theory, interaction theory, external effect theory and other related theories, combined with Hunan producer services development constraints analysis, and then integrated Changsha, Zhuzhou, Hengyang. The investigation results of Chenzhou and other high-speed railway stations analyze the influence of Wuguang high-speed railway on the development of Hunan producer service industry from the theoretical point of view. Thirdly, from the perspective of empirical analysis of the impact of Wu-Guang high-speed rail on Hunan producer services. The empirical analysis consists of three parts closely linked. The first part is based on the mechanism analysis. Using multiple linear regression model to analyze the influencing factors of Hunan producer service industry under the background of Wu-Guang high-speed railway. In the second part, a double logarithmic model is built to analyze the influence of railway passenger volume on the development of Hunan producer service industry. The third part uses the grey forecast model to predict the passenger volume of the railway in 2010 and 2011 under the condition of "no" Wu-Guang high-speed railway, and substitute the double logarithmic model to get the 2010. In 2011, the development of producer services in Hunan was compared with the actual situation under the condition of "no" Wu-Guang high-speed railway. This paper analyzes the contribution of Wuguang high-speed railway to the development of Hunan producer service industry. Finally, according to the conclusion of the empirical analysis, based on the situation of Hunan Province, seize the opportunity of rapid development of Wu-Guangzhou high-speed rail, and put forward policy recommendations for better use of Wu-Guangzhou high-speed rail to promote the development of Hunan producer services.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：湖南科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F532;F719

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本文編號(hào)：1484628