【摘要】：高校管理是一項涉及多層面、多要素變量的復(fù)雜系統(tǒng),教育部建立高校評價指標(biāo)體系對各高�，F(xiàn)發(fā)展水平進(jìn)行評價,促進(jìn)國家教育發(fā)展.如何建立科學(xué)的評價指標(biāo)體系?如何提高評價效應(yīng)已有很多研究.但,未來發(fā)展仿真研究很少,因此,進(jìn)行依據(jù)評價指標(biāo)建立仿真方程、建立可靠性高的仿真模型研究很有意義.本文運(yùn)用逐樹設(shè)撤關(guān)聯(lián)數(shù)結(jié)構(gòu)行為檢驗建模法,基于教育部高校評價指標(biāo)體系建立6個流位流率對構(gòu)成的流位流率系;分別應(yīng)用流率歷史枝、主撐枝、條件枝法構(gòu)建6棵流率入樹基本結(jié)構(gòu),基于歷史數(shù)據(jù)建立流率歷史枝變量仿真方程;基于教育部高校評價指標(biāo)的內(nèi)涵等式建立刻畫未來發(fā)展的主撐枝變量的仿真方程,基于表函數(shù)、延遲函數(shù)等建立條件枝變量仿真方程;通過設(shè)撤關(guān)聯(lián)數(shù)分別進(jìn)行T1(t)、T1(t)T2(t)、…、T1(t)T2(t)T3(t)…T6(t)各入樹組合的結(jié)構(gòu)行為檢驗,提高模型的可靠性,構(gòu)建了高校管理系統(tǒng)的系統(tǒng)動力學(xué)(SD)評價仿真模型.通過高校最重要人力資源教師發(fā)展規(guī)劃實施調(diào)控函數(shù)的不同調(diào)控參數(shù)下分別進(jìn)行全系統(tǒng)仿真,分別揭示十二五、十三五期間各年滿足教育部評價指標(biāo)的教師數(shù)、在校生數(shù)、校建面積、教學(xué)設(shè)備、專業(yè)、收支差的數(shù)據(jù)復(fù)雜定量變化結(jié)果.為典型高校未來發(fā)展提供了具普遍意義的決策依據(jù),為基于評價指標(biāo)建立仿真方程,為提高仿真模型可靠性提供了新方法.
[Abstract]:The management of colleges and universities is a complex system involving multi-level and multi-factor variables. The Ministry of Education has established an evaluation index system to evaluate the present development level of colleges and universities to promote the development of national education. How to establish a scientific evaluation index system? There have been many studies on how to improve the evaluation effect. However, there is little research on simulation in the future. Therefore, it is meaningful to establish simulation equations and establish simulation models with high reliability according to the evaluation index. In this paper, based on the evaluation index system of colleges and universities of the Ministry of Education, six stream potential flow rate systems are established by using tree-by-tree correlation number structure behavior test modeling method, which are respectively applied to flow rate historical branch, main support branch, and so on. Based on the conditional branch method, the basic structure of 6 flow rate trees is constructed, the simulation equations of historical branch variables are established based on historical data, and the simulation equations of main branch variables describing the future development are established based on the connotation equation of the evaluation index of colleges and universities of the Ministry of Education. Based on table function, delay function and so on, the simulation equations of conditional branch variables are established, and T1 (t) / T1 (t) T2 (t),. T 1 (t) T 2 (t) T 3 (t). In order to improve the reliability of T6 (t), the system dynamics (SD) evaluation simulation model of the university management system is constructed by testing the structure behavior of each tree combination of T6 (t) and improving the reliability of the model. Through the full system simulation under the different regulation parameters of the most important human resources teachers' development planning in colleges and universities, it is revealed that the number of teachers and students who meet the evaluation index of the Ministry of Education in each year during the 12th and 13th Five-Year Plan period, and the number of students in the school. School area, teaching equipment, professional, income and expenditure data complex quantitative change results. It provides a general decision basis for the future development of typical colleges and universities, establishes simulation equations based on evaluation indexes, and provides a new method for improving the reliability of simulation models.
【作者單位】： 石家莊幼兒師范高等專科學(xué)校;南昌大學(xué)系統(tǒng)工程研究所;河北師范大學(xué)信息技術(shù)學(xué)院;
【基金】：國家自然科學(xué)基金(71261018,71461010,71463037) 河北省教育科學(xué)研究規(guī)劃課題(1503013)
【分類號】：G647;N941.3

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