我國(guó)股市定向增發(fā)對(duì)短期股價(jià)影響的實(shí)證研究
本文關(guān)鍵詞: 定向增發(fā) 短期股價(jià) 發(fā)行對(duì)象 發(fā)行目的 公司基本面 出處:《復(fù)旦大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:定向增發(fā)是指上市公司安排向特定投資者發(fā)行股份進(jìn)行再融資的行為,自2006年在我國(guó)出現(xiàn)以來發(fā)展迅速,已經(jīng)一躍成為A股市場(chǎng)最受追捧的股權(quán)再融資方式。我國(guó)新興市場(chǎng)的特質(zhì)使得國(guó)外針對(duì)定向增發(fā)的理論學(xué)說不能很好地適用于我國(guó)的國(guó)情,而國(guó)內(nèi)相關(guān)的理論研究也有待拓展和深入。本文欲通過實(shí)證分析來探討定向增發(fā)對(duì)短期股價(jià)表現(xiàn)的影響。首先,筆者將我國(guó)A股市場(chǎng)的定向增發(fā)按照發(fā)行對(duì)象和發(fā)行目的的不同進(jìn)行分類,分別探討不同分類標(biāo)準(zhǔn)下各類定向增發(fā)對(duì)短期股價(jià)的影響;其次,通過回歸模型來探討影響短期定向增發(fā)股票二級(jí)市場(chǎng)股價(jià)波動(dòng)的公司基本面因素;最后,針對(duì)當(dāng)前我國(guó)定向增發(fā)的制度、監(jiān)管以及中小投資者利益保護(hù)等方面給出一定的建議。通過分析針對(duì)不同發(fā)行對(duì)象的定向增發(fā)在董事會(huì)預(yù)案公告前[t-30,t-1]日、公告當(dāng)日t日和公告后[t+1,t+20]日股價(jià)相對(duì)市場(chǎng)指數(shù)超額收益率,得出結(jié)論一針對(duì)大股東及大股東關(guān)聯(lián)方進(jìn)行的定向增發(fā)的公司股票比針對(duì)外部機(jī)構(gòu)投資者進(jìn)行的定向增發(fā)的公司股票具有更高的短期超額收益水平。通過分析不同發(fā)行目的的定向增發(fā)在董事會(huì)預(yù)案公告前[t-30,t-1]日、公告當(dāng)日t日和公告后[t+1.t+20]日股價(jià)相對(duì)市場(chǎng)指數(shù)超額收益率,得出結(jié)論二,項(xiàng)目融資類定向增發(fā)相比非項(xiàng)目融資類定向增發(fā)具有更高的短期超額收益水平。為了更好地解釋公司基本面狀況對(duì)定向增發(fā)股票短期走勢(shì)的影響,本文引入回歸模型,將發(fā)行規(guī)模、資產(chǎn)負(fù)債率、托賓q以及股權(quán)回報(bào)率等指標(biāo)納入考量,得出結(jié)論三,定向增發(fā)股票在短期內(nèi)是否具有超額收益及超額收益的大小受發(fā)行規(guī)模、資產(chǎn)負(fù)債率、托賓q以及股權(quán)回報(bào)率等公司基本面指標(biāo)的影響。按照不同發(fā)行對(duì)象分類來考察,增發(fā)規(guī)模、增發(fā)前公司總股本以及托賓q對(duì)以大股東為發(fā)行對(duì)象的定向增發(fā)股票累計(jì)超額收益率的影響要大于對(duì)機(jī)構(gòu)投資者定向增發(fā)時(shí)對(duì)累計(jì)超額收益率的相應(yīng)影響;而股權(quán)回報(bào)率對(duì)以大股東及其關(guān)聯(lián)方為發(fā)行對(duì)象的定向增發(fā)累計(jì)超額收益率的影響程度則要小于對(duì)機(jī)構(gòu)投資者增發(fā)時(shí)對(duì)累計(jì)超額收益率的相應(yīng)影響;按照不同發(fā)行目的分類來考察,項(xiàng)目融資類定向增發(fā)股票短期超額收益受資產(chǎn)負(fù)債率和發(fā)行規(guī)模這兩項(xiàng)指標(biāo)的影響小于非項(xiàng)目融資類定向增發(fā)所受該指標(biāo)的影響;而就股權(quán)回報(bào)率這一指標(biāo)來看,項(xiàng)目融資類定向增發(fā)的上市公司短期股價(jià)受該指標(biāo)的影響則超過非項(xiàng)目融資類定向增發(fā)所受該指標(biāo)的影響。
[Abstract]:Directional additional issuance refers to the refinancing behavior of listed companies arranging to issue shares to specific investors, which has developed rapidly since 2006 in our country. It has become the most popular way of equity refinancing in A-share market. The characteristics of emerging markets in China make the foreign theory of directional placement can not be well suited to the situation of China. But the domestic related theoretical research also needs to be expanded and deepened. This paper intends to explore the impact of directional placement on short-term stock price performance through empirical analysis. First of all. The author classifies the Chinese A-share market according to the different issuing object and the purpose of issuing, and discusses the influence of various kinds of directional additional offering on the short-term stock price under different classification standards. Secondly, through the regression model to explore the factors that affect the volatility of the stock price in the secondary market. Finally, in view of the current system, supervision and the protection of the interests of small and medium-sized investors in China, some suggestions are given. Through the analysis of the different issuing object, the targeted additional issuance is before the announcement of the board of directors' plan. [T-30 / t-1] day, t day of the announcement and after the announcement. [Excess return on stock price relative to market index on t 1 / t 20] day. A conclusion is drawn that the company shares of a company that is directed to large shareholders and their related parties have a higher level of short-term excess return than that of external institutional investors. Through the analysis, we can see that there is a higher level of short term excess return than that of external institutional investors. Additional directionally issued with the same purpose before the announcement of the board of directors' preliminary plan. [T-30 / t-1] day, t day of the announcement and after the announcement. [T 1. T 20] the excess yield of the stock price relative to the market index is the second conclusion. In order to better explain the influence of the company's fundamental situation on the short-term trend of the private placement, the project financing type of directional additional offering has higher short-term excess return level than the non-project financing type type of private placement. In this paper, regression model is introduced to take the issuance scale, asset-liability ratio, Tobin Q and equity return into consideration, and draw the conclusion three. In the short term, the size of issuance and the ratio of assets and liabilities to the excess return and excess return of the shares are subject to the issuance scale or not. The impact of Tobin Q and return on equity on corporate fundamentals. According to the classification of different issuers, the size of the additional issue. The influence of the total share capital and Tobin Q on the cumulative excess return rate of the listed stock is greater than that on the accumulated excess return rate of the institutional investors. The impact of equity return on the cumulative excess return of directional issuance is less than that of institutional investors. Classification according to the purpose of the issue. The short term excess return of the project financing type of directional additional offering stock is influenced by the asset liability ratio and the issuance scale, which is less than that of the non-project financing type of directional additional issuance index. From the point of view of the return on equity, the short-term stock price of the listed company with the project financing type of directional additional offering is more affected by the index than that of the non-project financing type of the private placement.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:復(fù)旦大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號(hào)】:F832.51
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