【摘要】：城市軌道交通作為當(dāng)代社會的重要交通工具,與傳統(tǒng)公交運輸設(shè)施相比具有運載量大、污染率低、高速安全、節(jié)約能源等特點,是目前世界各地用于緩解城市擁堵與空氣污染的主要手段。同時,國內(nèi)外眾多學(xué)者發(fā)現(xiàn),軌道交通不僅能為城市居民提供交通便利,還能帶動沿線地區(qū)房地產(chǎn)業(yè)、商業(yè)以及廣告業(yè)等的發(fā)展和繁榮,產(chǎn)生明顯的社會效益和外部經(jīng)濟效益。而作為城市大型公共基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施,軌道交通在我國目前仍由政府主導(dǎo)投資建設(shè),并廣泛存在項目投資金額大、軌道交通營運期間虧損嚴(yán)重以及財政持續(xù)投入負(fù)擔(dān)重等問題。定量分析城市軌道交通對沿線房地產(chǎn)價值的影響,對促進城市軌道交通實現(xiàn)外部效益內(nèi)部化,開辟城市軌道交通投融資創(chuàng)新模式,減輕政府財政負(fù)擔(dān),促進城市軌道交通與房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)商的雙贏合作,都具有非常重要的意義。本論文從理論分析與總結(jié)回顧國內(nèi)外相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)入手,以西安地鐵3號線為例,對城市軌道交通對沿線住宅房地產(chǎn)價值的影響機制進行了較為深入的分析和研究。1)以西安地鐵3號線為例,在對西安市城市軌道交通與房地產(chǎn)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀的分析基礎(chǔ)上,對城市軌道交通對房地產(chǎn)價值的影響進行了定性分析,得出城市軌道交通可以提高周邊房地產(chǎn)項目的可達(dá)性;改變沿線土地的利用性質(zhì)和開發(fā)強度;促進城市的區(qū)域經(jīng)濟繁榮,從而刺激軌道交通沿線及周邊區(qū)域房地產(chǎn)價值的上升的研究結(jié)論。2)以2017年2月為研究時點,通過可達(dá)性理論對西安地鐵3號線對沿線住房價值的影響半徑進行了計算分析;并選取沿線2.5km為研究范圍,利用特征價格模型就西安地鐵3號線對沿線住房價值的平均影響效應(yīng)與站點不同距離圈層的住房增值影響效應(yīng)分別進行了定量分析,發(fā)現(xiàn):西安地鐵3號線各站點的影響半徑橫跨0.571~2.684km,距離市中心較遠(yuǎn)的邊緣站點影響半徑較大,而距離市中心較近站點影響半徑相對較小,半徑趨勢曲線近似呈現(xiàn)“倒U”形;3號線對沿線商品住房單價的均值增值百分占比為10.62%;此外,還發(fā)現(xiàn)3號線對沿線站點1500m以內(nèi)的住房價值影響較為顯著,其對站點周邊500m及1000~1500m圈層內(nèi)的住房單價平均增值幅度約為9%和8%。3)并基于以上研究,對未來西安市城市軌道交通建設(shè)項目實行創(chuàng)新性市場化投融資提出建議,如與房地產(chǎn)進行聯(lián)合開發(fā)、引入民間資本進行PPP項目融資以及設(shè)立軌道交通專項基金等投融資方式。通過建立多元化的投融資創(chuàng)新機制,以助我市緩解城市軌道交通建設(shè)發(fā)展之困境,促進城市軌道交通建設(shè)項目的可持續(xù)健康發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:As an important means of transportation in contemporary society, urban rail transit has the characteristics of large transportation capacity, low pollution rate, high speed and safety, energy saving and so on, compared with the traditional public transport facilities. Is the world's main means of reducing urban congestion and air pollution. At the same time, many scholars at home and abroad have found that rail transit can not only provide convenient transportation for urban residents, but also promote the development and prosperity of real estate, commerce and advertising industry in the areas along the route, resulting in obvious social and external economic benefits. As a large public infrastructure, rail transit is still invested by the government in our country, and there are many problems, such as large investment amount, serious losses during the operation of rail transit and heavy financial burden. Quantitative analysis of the impact of urban rail transit on the real estate value along the line, to promote the internalization of the external benefits of urban rail transit, to open up innovative modes of investment and financing of urban rail transit, and to lighten the financial burden of the government. It is of great significance to promote the double-win cooperation between urban rail transit and real estate developers. Based on the theoretical analysis and review of the relevant literature at home and abroad, this paper takes Xi'an Metro Line 3 as an example. The influence mechanism of urban rail transit on the value of residential real estate along the line is analyzed and studied. 1) taking Xi'an Metro Line 3 as an example, on the basis of analyzing the present situation of Xi'an urban rail transit and real estate development, The impact of urban rail transit on real estate value is analyzed qualitatively, and it is concluded that urban rail transit can improve the accessibility of real estate projects. Changing the nature of land use and development intensity along the route; The conclusion of the study on promoting the prosperity of the city's regional economy and thus stimulating the rise of the real estate value along the rail transit line and surrounding areas. 2) taking February 2017 as the time point for the study, The influence radius of Xi'an Metro Line 3 on housing value is calculated and analyzed by accessibility theory. The 2.5km along the line is chosen as the research scope, and the average effect of Xi'an Metro Line 3 on the housing value along the line and the effect of housing increment at different distances on the housing value are quantitatively analyzed by using the characteristic price model. It is found that the influence radius of each station of Xi'an Metro Line 3 spans 0.571km and 2.684km, the influence radius of the edge station is larger than that of the center of the city, but the influence radius of the station near the center of the city is relatively small. The curve of radius trend approximately shows "inverted U" shape; The average increment of the unit price of commodity housing along Line 3 is 10.62%; In addition, it is found that Line 3 has a significant impact on the housing value within 1500 m of the stations along the route, and it has an average increment of 9% and 8.3% for the housing unit prices in the 500m and 1000m circles around the stations, and based on the above research, Some suggestions on innovative market-oriented investment and financing of Xi'an urban rail transit construction project in the future are put forward, such as joint development with real estate, introduction of private capital for PPP project financing and establishment of rail transit special fund and other investment and financing methods. Through the establishment of diversified investment and financing innovation mechanism, this paper aims to help our city alleviate the plight of urban rail transit construction development and promote the sustainable and healthy development of urban rail transit construction projects.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：長安大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F572.88;F299.23

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