【摘要】：隨著農(nóng)村交通基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施不斷完善、公共服務(wù)逐步延伸,農(nóng)村客運(yùn)發(fā)展迅速。作為農(nóng)村客運(yùn)重要組成部分,鎮(zhèn)村公交發(fā)展?jié)摿薮?然而其在發(fā)展初期面臨著票制票價(jià)不合理等現(xiàn)實(shí)問(wèn)題。本文選取鎮(zhèn)村公交票制票價(jià)為研究對(duì)象,通過(guò)構(gòu)建數(shù)學(xué)模型對(duì)其進(jìn)行定量研究,并結(jié)合實(shí)例提出適合鎮(zhèn)村公交的票制模式及定價(jià)模型。首先,本文分析了鎮(zhèn)村公交發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀及實(shí)際表現(xiàn)的客流特征,對(duì)鎮(zhèn)村公交運(yùn)營(yíng)特性進(jìn)行深入研究。根據(jù)鎮(zhèn)村公交實(shí)際特征和運(yùn)營(yíng)特點(diǎn),對(duì)鎮(zhèn)村公交票制票價(jià)的發(fā)展要求和存在問(wèn)題進(jìn)行總結(jié)探討。其次,對(duì)常見(jiàn)的公共票制類型的優(yōu)劣及適用條件進(jìn)行具體分析。從企業(yè)、社會(huì)、乘客三方面分析鎮(zhèn)村公交票制的影響因素,并結(jié)合鎮(zhèn)村公交票制模式選擇目的及影響因素構(gòu)建指標(biāo)體系,構(gòu)建鎮(zhèn)村公交票制模式選擇模型,并以現(xiàn)階段發(fā)展的鎮(zhèn)村公交為例對(duì)模型進(jìn)行驗(yàn)證。再次,結(jié)合影響因素,運(yùn)用系統(tǒng)動(dòng)力學(xué)的方法和原理,確定鎮(zhèn)村公交定價(jià)模型中各結(jié)構(gòu)、變量之間的因果關(guān)系,構(gòu)造鎮(zhèn)村公交基本運(yùn)價(jià)的因果關(guān)系圖和流圖,確定模型中的方程,構(gòu)建完整的鎮(zhèn)村公交定價(jià)模型。最后,以江蘇省溧陽(yáng)市鎮(zhèn)村公交為例,利用系統(tǒng)動(dòng)力學(xué)仿真軟件vensim進(jìn)行模擬運(yùn)算,初步確定未來(lái)年度票價(jià)水平和相關(guān)因素變化情況。為鎮(zhèn)村公交定價(jià)提供更具針對(duì)性、更合理的理論建議和實(shí)踐論證。
[Abstract]:With the continuous improvement of rural transport infrastructure and the extension of public services, rural passenger transport is developing rapidly. As an important part of rural passenger transportation, town and village public transportation has great potential, but it faces some practical problems in the early stage of its development, such as unreasonable ticket price and so on. This paper selects the ticket system of the town village bus as the research object, carries on the quantitative research by constructing the mathematical model, and proposes the ticket system model and the pricing model suitable for the town village public transportation. First of all, this paper analyzes the current situation of the development of town village public transport and the actual performance of passenger flow characteristics, and carries on in-depth research on the characteristics of town village public transport operation. According to the actual characteristics and operation characteristics of town and village public transportation, this paper summarizes the development requirements and existing problems of town village bus ticket system. Secondly, the advantages and disadvantages and applicable conditions of common public ticket system are analyzed in detail. From three aspects of enterprise, society and passengers, this paper analyzes the influencing factors of the bus ticket system in the town village, and constructs the model of the bus ticket system in the town village by combining the purpose of selecting the bus ticket system in the town village and the influencing factors to construct the index system. The model is verified by the current development of the town and village bus as an example. Thirdly, combining the influencing factors, using the method and principle of system dynamics, determining the causality between the structure and variables in the pricing model of the town village public transportation, constructing the causality diagram and the flow diagram of the basic transportation rate of the town village public transportation. Determine the equation in the model, build a complete town and village bus pricing model. Finally, taking Zhencun bus in Liyang City, Jiangsu Province as an example, the system dynamics simulation software vensim is used to carry out simulation calculation to determine the future annual fare level and the change of related factors. To provide more targeted, more reasonable theoretical advice and practical demonstration for town and village bus pricing.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：東南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：F572.5

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本文編號(hào)：2195773