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基于Multi-Logit模型的多機場系統(tǒng)航線補貼研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-07-31 20:38
【摘要】:隨著我國民航業(yè)快速發(fā)展,機場密度不斷提高,在一定地域范圍內存在多個機場的現象.然而多機場系統(tǒng)內機場間競爭激烈,其中航線補貼已經成為國內大部分機場激勵航空公司增加運力、開拓更多航線的重要手段.對于機場來說,如何科學的補貼很值得研究.從乘客出行選擇角度著眼,利用Multinomial Logit模型考察了航線補貼對機場及航空公司的市場份額、機場自身利潤及社會總收益的影響,從而給出補貼建議.研究表明:1)多機場系統(tǒng)內,一家航空公司的航線補貼增加時,這家航空公司及所在機場的市場份額增加,其余機場及航空公司市場份額均有所下降.2)多機場系統(tǒng)內大型機場補貼新航班航線時,對市場占有率高的航空公司補貼增加,航空公司市場份額、機場在這條航線上總利潤以及社會總收益都隨之增加.3)多機場系統(tǒng)內兩家鄰近中小機場,根據兩家機場單位航線補貼方案不同,航空公司市場份額、機場在這條航線上總利潤以及社會總收益也相應不同.
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of China's civil aviation industry, the airport density is increasing, and there are many airports in a certain region. However, the competition among the airports in the multi-airport system is fierce. Among them, the airline subsidy has become an important means for most domestic airports to encourage airlines to increase their capacity and open up more routes. For airports, how to subsidize science is worth studying. From the point of view of passenger travel choice, the effects of airline subsidies on the market share, airport profit and total social income of airports and airlines are investigated by using Multinomial Logit model, and the subsidy suggestions are given. The study shows that in the multi-airport system, when airline subsidies increase, the market share of the airline and its airports increases. The market share of other airports and airlines has decreased by .2) when large airports in the multi-airport system subsidize new flight routes, the subsidies to airlines with high market share increase, and the market share of airlines increases. The total profit of the airport on this route and the total social income increase with it.) in the multi-airport system, there are two small and medium-sized airports in the vicinity. According to the different subsidy schemes for unit routes between the two airports, airlines have a market share. The airport's total profits and social benefits on this route are also different.
【作者單位】: 南京財經大學應用數學學院;南京航空航天大學民航學院;南京財經大學管理科學與工程學院;
【基金】:國家自然科學基金青年基金項目(71103034);國家自然科學基金(71171111)
【分類號】:F562.6


本文編號:2156764

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