【摘要】：低碳是未來城市發(fā)展的趨勢。有數(shù)據(jù)表明：社會總排碳量中，有不少的一部分是來自于交通行業(yè)，因此交通低碳化的研究十分必要。城市公交化，是當(dāng)今城市交通發(fā)展的主流，也是交通低碳化的重要途徑。它是一種排碳率較低的交通形式。同樣的客運(yùn)量，使用公共交通，會比使用其他交通方式，產(chǎn)生更少的二氧化碳排放量。因此，提高城市中公共交通的客運(yùn)比例，可以有效減少城市交通系統(tǒng)的總排碳量，使城市實現(xiàn)交通的低碳化。那么城市公共交通的客運(yùn)量需要滿足什么樣的比例，才可以滿足低碳城市的發(fā)展要求呢？對于具體的城市，又需要采取什么樣的措施才能實現(xiàn)合理的公共交通客運(yùn)比例呢？本文就是通過對公共交通與低碳城市減排指標(biāo)之間的定量研究，來確定城市公共交通的發(fā)展規(guī)模，并且對于如何提高公共交通的客運(yùn)比例進(jìn)行了研究。 首先，本文從城市交通的角度出發(fā)，通過引入公共交通承擔(dān)率這一概念，結(jié)合我國的排碳指標(biāo)，定量研究了公共交通在未來城市交通中的合理比重，探索了公共交通承擔(dān)率的計算方法，以及該值對交通發(fā)展的意義。 其次，以公共交通承擔(dān)率數(shù)據(jù)為基礎(chǔ)，研究了如何提高公共交通客運(yùn)比例這一問題，從宏觀上研究了適應(yīng)大多數(shù)城市的公共交通發(fā)展策略。 最后，基于上述公共交通承擔(dān)率的研究方法，以武漢市為例，通過具體地分析武漢市歷年的交通數(shù)據(jù)和能源數(shù)據(jù)，定量研究了滿足低碳城市要求的武漢市未來的公共交通承擔(dān)率，并且計算了滿足要求的最低公共交通承擔(dān)率值；基于該計算數(shù)據(jù)，對武漢市公共交通的具體發(fā)展策略和發(fā)展方案進(jìn)行了探索研究。 通過本文的研究，確定了最低公共交通承擔(dān)率的計算思路和方法，，通過該方法，可以大致計算某城市基于減排目標(biāo)的最低公交承擔(dān)比例；本文還從運(yùn)營資金、城市中心規(guī)劃、客運(yùn)換乘、私家車的限制4個方面提出了公共交通發(fā)展的宏觀策略；研究結(jié)果表明：武漢市的公共交通承擔(dān)比例較高，但是距離我國的減排目標(biāo)還有一定的距離，需要適當(dāng)提高公共交通的客運(yùn)承擔(dān)率；然后基于武漢市的現(xiàn)狀，提出了建議策略，對武漢市公共交通的發(fā)展和低碳城市的實現(xiàn)，有一定的參考價值。
[Abstract]:Low carbon is the trend of urban development in the future. Some data show that a lot of the total carbon emission comes from the transportation industry, so it is necessary to study the low carbonization of traffic. Urban transit is the mainstream of urban traffic development and an important way of low carbonization. It is a form of transport with low carbon emission rates. The same amount of passengers, using public transport, produces less carbon dioxide than other modes of transport. Therefore, increasing the proportion of public transport in the city can effectively reduce the total carbon emission of urban transportation system and make the city realize the low carbonization of traffic. So what proportion of urban public transport needs to be met in order to meet the development requirements of low-carbon cities? For specific cities, what measures need to be taken to achieve a reasonable proportion of public transport passenger transport? This paper is to determine the development scale of urban public transport through the quantitative study between public transport and emission reduction targets of low-carbon cities, and how to improve the proportion of public transport passenger transport is studied. First of all, from the point of view of urban traffic, by introducing the concept of public transport commitment rate and combining the carbon emission index of our country, this paper quantitatively studies the reasonable proportion of public transport in the future urban transportation. This paper probes into the calculation method of the public transport acceptance rate and the significance of the value to the traffic development. Secondly, based on the data of public transport commitment rate, this paper studies how to improve the proportion of public transport passenger transport, and studies the development strategies of public transport adapted to most cities from a macro perspective. Finally, based on the research method of the public transportation rate mentioned above, taking Wuhan as an example, the paper analyzes the traffic data and energy data of Wuhan over the years. This paper quantitatively studies the future public transport acceptance rate of Wuhan city, which meets the requirements of low-carbon cities, and calculates the minimum public transport acceptance rate to meet the requirements. This paper probes into the specific development strategy and development plan of Wuhan public transportation. Through the study of this paper, the paper determines the calculation ideas and methods of the lowest public transport commitment rate. Through this method, we can roughly calculate the minimum public transport burden ratio based on emission reduction targets in a certain city; this paper also from the operating funds, urban center planning, The macro strategies for the development of public transport are put forward in four aspects of passenger transport transfer and private car restriction. The results show that the proportion of public transport in Wuhan is high, but there is still a certain distance from the emission reduction target of our country. Based on the present situation of Wuhan, the paper puts forward some suggestions, which has certain reference value for the development of public transport and the realization of low-carbon city in Wuhan.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華中科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F572

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