本文選題：長江航道 + 發(fā)展階段��； 參考：《武漢理工大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：水路運輸因其占地少、耗能低、污染小、運量大的優(yōu)勢在我國綜合運輸體系中具有不可替代的作用,發(fā)展水路運輸符合我國可持續(xù)發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略,是我國經(jīng)濟轉(zhuǎn)型發(fā)展的重要舉措。長江干線全長約2838公里,流經(jīng)七省二市,是我國東中西部的重要運輸通道,是我國第一大河流。長江航道是沿江物流運輸?shù)幕A(chǔ)設(shè)施,是南北文化交流的重要紐帶,它在我國歷史長河中扮演重要角色,走過了相當長的發(fā)展歷程,經(jīng)歷了不同的發(fā)展階段。研究長江航道發(fā)展階段,有利于總結(jié)長江航道發(fā)展經(jīng)驗,揭示長江航道發(fā)展規(guī)律,預(yù)測長江航道發(fā)展態(tài)勢,從而指導(dǎo)長江航道發(fā)展規(guī)劃的制定,并提出長江航道未來發(fā)展策略；同時,長江航道發(fā)展階段劃分方法的研究,填補了定量研究長江航道發(fā)展階段的空白,為今后內(nèi)河航道發(fā)展階段研究提供了參考。 本文以長江航道發(fā)展歷史為主線,內(nèi)河航道發(fā)展特征為理論依據(jù),運用數(shù)理統(tǒng)計方法及計算機軟件定量劃分了長江航道發(fā)展階段,分析了各階段特征,提出了針對性發(fā)展策略。主要研究內(nèi)容包括以下四部分： 1)簡單概述了長江航道從古到今的發(fā)展歷程及長江航道在各歷史時期的歷史地位和作用；分析了長江干線航道的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,并歸納總結(jié)了長江干線航道發(fā)展中存在的問題。 2)研究了內(nèi)河航道發(fā)展階段劃分的理論依據(jù)。首先分析了內(nèi)河航道的特點,總結(jié)出內(nèi)河航道發(fā)展的三大驅(qū)動因素,基于此,確立了內(nèi)河航道發(fā)展階段劃分的基本理論依據(jù),并進一步探析了影響內(nèi)河航道發(fā)展的主要因素。 3)對長江航道發(fā)展階段展開了劃分。首先,確立了長江航道發(fā)展階段的劃分原則和劃分流程；其次,結(jié)合內(nèi)河航道發(fā)展的驅(qū)動因素和影響要素,運用相關(guān)性分析理論和SPSS19.0軟件,選取了長江航道劃分指標,構(gòu)建了長江航道劃分指標體系；再次,利用SPSS19.0軟件擬合長江航道發(fā)展Logistic曲線,得到了長江航道發(fā)展Logistic劃分模型,將1949年以后的長江干線航道劃分為5個發(fā)展階段；最后,分析了不同發(fā)展階段的特征。 4)結(jié)合國家政策和長江航道發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,預(yù)測了長江航道發(fā)展態(tài)勢,在此基礎(chǔ)上提出了長江航道未來發(fā)展策略。
[Abstract]:Waterway transportation plays an irreplaceable role in China's comprehensive transportation system because of its advantages of less land occupation, low energy consumption, low pollution and large volume of transportation. The development of waterway transportation conforms to the sustainable development strategy of our country and is an important measure for the economic transformation and development of our country. The main line of the Yangtze River is about 2838 kilometers long and flows through seven provinces and two cities. It is an important transportation channel in the east, west and west of China and the largest river in China. Yangtze River Channel is the infrastructure of logistics and transportation along the Yangtze River and the important link of cultural exchange between the north and the south. It plays an important role in the long history of our country and has gone through a long process of development and experienced different stages of development. The study of the development stage of the Yangtze River channel is beneficial to summing up the experience of the Yangtze River channel development, revealing the Yangtze River channel development law, predicting the Yangtze river channel development situation, thus guiding the formulation of the Yangtze River channel development planning, and putting forward the future development strategy of the Yangtze River channel. At the same time, the research on the dividing method of the Yangtze River waterway development stage fills up the blank of the quantitative research on the Yangtze River channel development stage, and provides a reference for the future study of the inland waterway development stage. Based on the development history of the Yangtze River channel and the characteristics of the inland waterway development, this paper uses the mathematical statistics method and computer software to divide the development stage of the Yangtze River channel quantitatively, analyzes the characteristics of each stage, and puts forward the corresponding development strategy. The main research contents include the following four parts: 1) the history of the Yangtze River channel from ancient to present and the historical status and function of the Yangtze River channel in each historical period are briefly summarized, and the development status of the Yangtze River main channel is analyzed. The problems existing in the development of the main channel of the Yangtze River are summarized. 2) the theoretical basis for the division of the stages of the inland waterway development is studied. Firstly, the characteristics of inland waterway are analyzed, and the three driving factors of inland waterway development are summarized. Based on this, the basic theoretical basis for the division of inland waterway development stage is established. Furthermore, the main factors affecting the development of inland waterway are analyzed. 3) the stages of Yangtze River waterway development are divided. Firstly, it establishes the principle and flow of the Yangtze River waterway development stage. Secondly, combining the driving factors and influencing factors of the inland waterway development, using the correlation analysis theory and SPSS 19.0 software, the paper selects the Yangtze River waterway division index. Thirdly, using SPSS 19.0 software to fit the logistic curve of the Yangtze River waterway development, a Logistic partition model of Yangtze River waterway development is obtained, and the Yangtze River main waterway after 1949 is divided into five stages. The characteristics of different stages of development are analyzed. 4) combined with the national policy and the current situation of the Yangtze River channel development, the development situation of the Yangtze River channel is forecasted, and the future development strategy of the Yangtze River channel is put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：武漢理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F552.3;U697

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