本文選題：集裝箱運(yùn)輸 + 環(huán)境分析��； 參考：《大連海事大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：天津港是我國沿海的重要樞紐港,是京津冀地區(qū)對外貿(mào)易的主要口岸,也是華北、西北地區(qū)能源物資和原材料運(yùn)輸?shù)闹饕修D(zhuǎn)港,是北方地區(qū)的集裝箱干線港和發(fā)展現(xiàn)代物流的重要港口。天津港2012年實(shí)現(xiàn)貨物吞吐量4.76億噸,集裝箱吞吐量1230萬標(biāo)準(zhǔn)箱,較同期分別增長5.3%和6.2%。天津港優(yōu)越的地理?xiàng)l件及豐沛的腹地經(jīng)濟(jì)條件為各大碼頭充分發(fā)揮優(yōu)勢提供了便利的港口條件,同時爭相建立的各大碼頭為了實(shí)現(xiàn)更好的發(fā)展也會存在各種競爭,如何積極采取各種戰(zhàn)略把握市場動態(tài)提升自己的競爭實(shí)力,是各大集裝箱碼頭需要考慮的重點(diǎn),因此,集裝箱碼頭發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略的研究成為一個重要課題。 首先,本文對集裝箱碼頭及發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略進(jìn)行概述,介紹了集裝箱碼頭的概念、組成和功能,然后進(jìn)行了集裝箱碼頭發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略概述,對發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略的概念、內(nèi)容和步驟進(jìn)行了簡要概述,為天津港歐亞國際集裝箱碼頭發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略的研究提供了理論基礎(chǔ)。 其次,對天津港歐亞國際集裝箱碼頭(TECT)的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀與趨勢進(jìn)行了細(xì)致分析。先對天津港及TECT的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行論述,接著對TECT進(jìn)行了詳細(xì)的PEST和SWOT分析,并從優(yōu)勢、劣勢、機(jī)遇和威脅四個方面出發(fā),構(gòu)建了SO, WO. ST、WT的戰(zhàn)略組合并進(jìn)行了分析。 再次,收集了近年來天津港集裝箱吞吐量的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù),并分別運(yùn)用時間序列法中的指數(shù)平滑法、灰度預(yù)測法和兩種預(yù)測方法預(yù)測值的加權(quán)平均模型對天津港集裝箱吞吐量進(jìn)行了預(yù)測,最后對三種預(yù)測方法針對2006-2010年的集裝箱吞吐量預(yù)測結(jié)果進(jìn)行對比分析,得出組合預(yù)測法的預(yù)測結(jié)果更準(zhǔn)確,利用此種預(yù)測方法對天津港2013-2020年的集裝箱吞吐量進(jìn)行預(yù)測。由于歐亞國際集裝箱碼頭建立時間比較短,吞吐量數(shù)據(jù)有限,故采用歐亞國際集裝箱碼頭占天津港的比例來對實(shí)現(xiàn)該碼頭2013-2020年吞吐量的預(yù)測。 最后,基于以上所有分析,針對天津港集裝箱運(yùn)輸中現(xiàn)在存在的問題,借鑒國內(nèi)外及天津港其他集裝箱碼頭的經(jīng)驗(yàn),提出了TECT發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略,分別在發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略目標(biāo)與定位、戰(zhàn)略重點(diǎn)和戰(zhàn)略措施三方面進(jìn)行論述。
[Abstract]:Tianjin Port is an important hub port along the coast of China, a major port for foreign trade in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, and a major transit port for the transportation of energy materials and raw materials in North and Northwest China. It is a container trunk port in the north and an important port for developing modern logistics. Tianjin Port achieved cargo throughput of 476 million tons and container throughput of 12.3 million TEUs in 2012, an increase of 5.3 percent and 6.2 percent respectively over the same period. The superior geographical conditions and abundant hinterland economic conditions of Tianjin Port have provided convenient port conditions for each major wharf to give full play to its advantages. At the same time, there will also be various kinds of competition in order to achieve better development of each major wharf that is being set up. How to actively adopt various strategies to grasp the market dynamics to enhance their competitive strength is the key point to be considered by each container terminal. Therefore, the research of container terminal development strategy has become an important topic. First of all, this paper summarizes the container terminal and its development strategy, introduces the concept, composition and function of the container terminal, and then summarizes the development strategy of the container terminal, the concept of the development strategy. The contents and steps are briefly summarized, which provides a theoretical basis for the study of the development strategy of Tianjin Port's Eurasian International Container Terminal. Secondly, the development status and trend of Tianjin Port Eurasia International Container Terminal (TECT) are analyzed in detail. This paper first discusses the development status of Tianjin Port and TECT, then makes a detailed pest and SWOT analysis of TECT, and constructs SOWO from four aspects: strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats. The strategic combination of STWT is analyzed. Thirdly, collected the relevant data of container throughput of Tianjin Port in recent years, and used the exponential smoothing method of time series method, The grey prediction method and the weighted average model of the two forecasting methods are used to predict the container throughput of Tianjin Port. Finally, the results of the three forecasting methods are compared and analyzed for the container throughput forecast results from 2006 to 2010. The combined forecasting method is used to predict the container throughput of Tianjin Port from 2013 to 2020. Due to the short establishment time and limited throughput data of the Euro-Asian international container terminal, the proportion of the Euro-Asian international container terminal to Tianjin Port is adopted to forecast the throughput of the terminal in 2013-2020. Finally, based on all the above analysis, in view of the existing problems in container transportation of Tianjin Port, and drawing on the experience of other container terminals at home and abroad, the development strategy of TECT is put forward. Strategic focus and strategic measures are discussed in three aspects.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：大連海事大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F552.6;F272

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本文編號：2015293