本文選題：港口物流 + 復(fù)雜系統(tǒng)�。� 參考：《北京交通大學(xué)》2012年博士論文

【摘要】：隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展、世界運(yùn)輸網(wǎng)絡(luò)的動(dòng)態(tài)變化,以及現(xiàn)代物流產(chǎn)業(yè)的興起和不斷發(fā)展,港口物流作為現(xiàn)代物流的重要組成部分,已經(jīng)成為了國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)的一個(gè)重要支柱。港口作為海運(yùn)轉(zhuǎn)為其他運(yùn)輸方式的必經(jīng)轉(zhuǎn)運(yùn)點(diǎn)的作用逐漸減弱,港口已經(jīng)成為綜合運(yùn)輸鏈中的一個(gè)主要環(huán)節(jié),在國(guó)際貿(mào)易和國(guó)際物流方面的作用不斷突出�；诟沟亟�(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展,以該經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)域發(fā)展為基礎(chǔ)的多個(gè)港口之間的競(jìng)合發(fā)展也成為學(xué)術(shù)界研討的熱點(diǎn)問題。 港口物流系統(tǒng)是與外界環(huán)境密切聯(lián)系的復(fù)雜的、動(dòng)態(tài)的、開放的大系統(tǒng),同時(shí)它又是聯(lián)系社會(huì)系統(tǒng)與經(jīng)濟(jì)系統(tǒng)的重要橋梁。為了順應(yīng)經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化的需要,研究港口物流系統(tǒng)競(jìng)合模式,架構(gòu)港口物流系統(tǒng)競(jìng)合體系,并進(jìn)行港口物流系統(tǒng)競(jìng)合績(jī)效的評(píng)價(jià),對(duì)于港口不斷完善自身物流系統(tǒng),不斷開拓創(chuàng)新,推動(dòng)港口經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速發(fā)展,有著非常重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。 本文綜合運(yùn)用復(fù)雜系統(tǒng)理論、協(xié)同論、博弈論、競(jìng)合理論等基礎(chǔ)理論,對(duì)國(guó)內(nèi)外港口物流發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀及趨勢(shì)進(jìn)行了分析,研究港區(qū)聯(lián)動(dòng)發(fā)展、港口物流參與主體,在此基礎(chǔ)上提出了港口物流競(jìng)合發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略定位和競(jìng)合策略；提出適合我國(guó)港口物流發(fā)展的港口競(jìng)合模式,并進(jìn)行了博弈分析；架構(gòu)港口物流系統(tǒng)競(jìng)合體系及評(píng)價(jià)矩陣,并借助多層次動(dòng)態(tài)綜合評(píng)價(jià)方法對(duì)區(qū)域港口群——山東半島港口群進(jìn)行了實(shí)證研究。 通過本文研究,得出主要結(jié)果如下： (1)運(yùn)用SWOT分析研究,我國(guó)港口物流系統(tǒng)發(fā)展中的劣勢(shì)是關(guān)鍵所在,港口縱橫競(jìng)合的影響因素很多,港口自身競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力(即縱向競(jìng)合)的優(yōu)劣對(duì)其橫向競(jìng)合的影響是很大的。提出要達(dá)到戰(zhàn)略目標(biāo),扭轉(zhuǎn)型戰(zhàn)略更適合我國(guó)當(dāng)前港口物流系統(tǒng)的發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略。 (2)經(jīng)實(shí)證計(jì)算發(fā)現(xiàn)：港口與第三方物流公司合作前后總收益差大于零,證明其縱向競(jìng)合是有效的；該模型可有效解決合作各方的利潤(rùn)分配,充分表明本文研究的這種虛擬合作聯(lián)盟對(duì)現(xiàn)實(shí)操作有較大的指導(dǎo)意義。 (3)通過敏感度分析,可以得出結(jié)論：港口競(jìng)合效益及其整個(gè)供應(yīng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)效益的影響因素包括縱橫競(jìng)合所有相關(guān)因素；縱橫競(jìng)合有效度同港口效益及其整個(gè)供應(yīng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)的效益同方向變化；港口自身的發(fā)展對(duì)港口效益的影響最大。 (4)本文研究分析了港口的區(qū)位和層次,架構(gòu)并建立了三層次港口物流系統(tǒng)競(jìng)合體系和評(píng)價(jià)矩陣,并用多層次動(dòng)態(tài)灰色綜合評(píng)價(jià),能夠正確反映評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)實(shí)際值對(duì)評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果的貢獻(xiàn),并用“平衡態(tài)”和“競(jìng)合有效度”兩個(gè)概念可判斷其競(jìng)合效應(yīng)的優(yōu)劣和競(jìng)合有效性的強(qiáng)弱。 (5)通過實(shí)證研究,在山東半島中的青島、日照、煙臺(tái)三個(gè)港口中,青島港各亞系統(tǒng)競(jìng)合發(fā)展水平均衡,日照港、煙臺(tái)港航運(yùn)運(yùn)營(yíng)亞系統(tǒng)競(jìng)合有效度相對(duì)偏弱。青島港由于自然位置的優(yōu)越、基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施的良好、腹地經(jīng)濟(jì)的強(qiáng)大以及管理效率較高,因而在縱向競(jìng)合、橫向競(jìng)合和縱橫競(jìng)合三方面的排序位列三港口首位,其次是日照港和煙臺(tái)港。 本文的創(chuàng)新點(diǎn)主要有學(xué)術(shù)理念創(chuàng)新、模型創(chuàng)新、體系創(chuàng)新和方法創(chuàng)新四個(gè)方面： 在學(xué)術(shù)理念創(chuàng)新方面,本文在港口物流系統(tǒng)競(jìng)合研究中綜合運(yùn)用復(fù)雜系統(tǒng)、港區(qū)聯(lián)動(dòng)、競(jìng)爭(zhēng)合作和一體化統(tǒng)籌等思想和理論,將港口物流大系統(tǒng)納入復(fù)雜系統(tǒng)這一綜合概念框架之內(nèi),以亞系統(tǒng)為支點(diǎn)來(lái)研究港區(qū)聯(lián)動(dòng)。并針對(duì)港口發(fā)展的差異性、有效競(jìng)合理論以及邊際效益遞減規(guī)律,本文提出競(jìng)合平衡態(tài)和競(jìng)合有效度兩個(gè)新概念。 在港口物流系統(tǒng)競(jìng)合模型創(chuàng)新方面,主要有兩個(gè)創(chuàng)新,一是博弈分析中首次運(yùn)用橫向競(jìng)合模型和縱向競(jìng)合模型,二是港口層次劃分中首次運(yùn)用改進(jìn)的波士頓矩陣(BCG matrix)模型。 在研究體系創(chuàng)新方面主要有,博弈分析中的橫向競(jìng)合一體化和縱向競(jìng)合一體化,以及競(jìng)合體系架構(gòu)中的三層次區(qū)域港口物流系統(tǒng)競(jìng)合體系。 在研究方法創(chuàng)新方面,本文靈活運(yùn)用區(qū)位商分析法和波士頓矩陣,創(chuàng)新性的提出雙層波士頓矩陣,首次運(yùn)用兩個(gè)波士頓矩陣劃分港口群層次,拓展并更新原有指標(biāo)數(shù)量,用“吞吐量”和“腹地區(qū)位吸引力”、“吞吐量”和“外貿(mào)吞吐量”兩組指標(biāo)代替常用的“增長(zhǎng)率”、“市場(chǎng)占有率”；在評(píng)價(jià)矩陣構(gòu)建時(shí),全方位分層次的納入多種相關(guān)指標(biāo),打破原有評(píng)價(jià)體系多注重物流能力、輕視服務(wù)彈性、經(jīng)濟(jì)腹地等的評(píng)價(jià)格局,綜合系統(tǒng)縱橫全方位,能夠更全面準(zhǔn)確的定位港口及其所在港口群的發(fā)展,可有效評(píng)價(jià)港口物流競(jìng)合發(fā)展的成效。
[Abstract]:With the development of economy , the dynamic change of world transportation network and the rising and development of modern logistics industry , port logistics has become an important pillar of national economy . The port has become one of the main links in the integrated transport chain , and its role in international trade and international logistics has become increasingly prominent .

The port logistics system is a complex , dynamic and open system which is closely related to the external environment . It is also an important bridge to contact the social system and the economic system . In order to meet the needs of the economic globalization , the competitive system of port logistics system and the competitive system of port logistics system are studied .

Based on the basic theories of complex system theory , cooperative theory , game theory and competition theory , this paper analyzes the present situation and trend of port logistics at home and abroad , studies the linkage development of port and port logistics , and puts forward the strategic positioning and competition strategy of port logistics competitive development .
This paper puts forward a port competition model suitable for port logistics development in China , and makes a game analysis .
In this paper , the competitive system and evaluation matrix of port logistics system are presented , and the multi - level dynamic comprehensive evaluation method is used to carry out an empirical study on the port group of the regional port group _ Shandong Peninsula .

Through the study , the main results are as follows :

( 1 ) Using SWOT analysis , the weakness in the development of port logistics system is the key point , the influence factors of port and horizontal competition are many , the influence of the port ' s own competitiveness ( i.e . , longitudinal competition ) is great . To achieve the strategic goal , the reversal strategy is more suitable for the development strategy of our country ' s current port logistics system .

( 2 ) The results show that the difference between the total profit before and after the cooperation between the port and the third party logistics company is greater than zero , which proves that the longitudinal competition is effective ;
The model can effectively solve the profit distribution of the cooperative parties , which indicates that the virtual cooperative alliance is of great significance to the practical operation .

( 3 ) Through sensitivity analysis , it can be concluded that the impact factors of port competition benefit and its overall supply network benefit include all relevant factors in aspect and aspect .
The effectiveness of horizontal and horizontal competition is in the same direction as that of port benefit and the whole supply network ;
The port ' s own development has the greatest impact on port benefit .

( 4 ) This paper studies the location and hierarchy of port , establishes three levels port logistics system competitive system and evaluation matrix , and uses multi - level dynamic grey comprehensive evaluation to correctly reflect the contribution of the actual value of the evaluation index to the evaluation result .

( 5 ) In the three ports of Qingdao , Rizhao and Yantai in Shandong Peninsula , the competing development level of the sub - systems in Qingdao Port , Rizhao Port and Yantai Port is relatively weak .

The innovation points of this paper have four aspects : academic idea innovation , model innovation , system innovation and method innovation :

In the aspect of the innovation of academic idea , this paper comprehensively applies the thought and theory of complex system , port area linkage , competition cooperation and integration and so on in the competitive research of port logistics system .

In the aspect of port logistics system competition model innovation , there are two main innovations , one is the first application of the transverse competition model and the longitudinal competition model in the game analysis , and the second is the improved Boston matrix model for the first time in the port hierarchy division .

In the aspect of research system innovation , it is mainly focused on the integration of transverse competition and longitudinal competition in the game analysis , as well as the competitive system of three - level regional port logistics system in the framework of competition system .

In the aspect of research method innovation , this paper applies the regional quotient analysis method and Boston matrix to propose a double - layer Boston matrix for the first time . First , two Boston matrices are used to divide the port group hierarchy , expand and update the original index quantity , replace the commonly used " growth rate " and " market share " with " throughput " and " hinterland attractiveness " , " throughput " and " foreign trade throughput " index .
When the evaluation matrix is constructed , various relevant indexes are integrated into the evaluation matrix , and the evaluation pattern of multi - focus logistics capability , light - view service elasticity , economic hinterland and the like of the original evaluation system is broken , the comprehensive system is wide and directional , and the development of the port and the port group in which the port is located can be comprehensively and accurately positioned , and the effect of the port logistics competitive development can be effectively evaluated .
【學(xué)位授予單位】：北京交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號(hào)】：F224;F552;F252

【引證文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)博士學(xué)位論文 前1條

1 宋昕;基于本體和進(jìn)化算法的散雜貨港口堆場(chǎng)智能調(diào)度系統(tǒng)研究[D];北京交通大學(xué);2013年

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前1條

1 張艷;龍口港鋁礬土運(yùn)輸發(fā)展對(duì)策研究[D];大連海事大學(xué);2012年

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本文編號(hào)：1922173