本文選題：特種件雜貨 + 海運市場��； 參考：《大連海事大學》2012年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著全球經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展和世界范圍內(nèi)的基礎設施建設,特種件雜貨運輸市場前景廣闊,在航運市場中的地位越來越重要。而我國特種船隊在船隊規(guī)模、服務水平和經(jīng)營管理上與國際先進水平還有一定差距,難以滿足日益增長的市場需求。在這種背景下,系統(tǒng)分析國際特種件雜貨市場的變化規(guī)律、發(fā)展趨勢和影響因素,并相應地制定經(jīng)營對策和經(jīng)營思路,對我國航運企業(yè)增強自身的競爭能力,有效的防范經(jīng)營風險具有重要的指導意義和現(xiàn)實意義。 首先,本文通過市場基礎數(shù)據(jù)的實證分析,從市場供需角度論述特種件雜貨海運市場的現(xiàn)狀和特征,并利用時間序列、趨勢外推等多種方法組合預測市場供需情況未來幾年的發(fā)展趨勢,預測結(jié)果表明特種件雜貨海運市場前景十分廣闊,但是也存一些不確定性因素。其次,本文利用向量自回歸模型、格蘭杰因果檢驗和脈沖響應分析的方法研究多用途船海運市場主要影響因素之間相互作用規(guī)律,得出特種件雜貨海運市場主要受需求因素影響,而供給因素影響不顯著的結(jié)論。接著,通過灰色關聯(lián)度模型和灰熵關聯(lián)度分析了特種件雜貨海運市場的相關航運市場,研究表明特種件雜貨運輸市場波動與小靈便型干散貨市場波動同步,同時滯后于海岬型干散貨船市場和集裝箱運輸市場,但是領先于原油運輸市場,并且這些海運市場與特種件雜貨海運市場之間具有很強的灰色關聯(lián)性和灰熵關聯(lián)性。最后,在以上研究和分析的基礎上闡述了針對我國航運公司在國際特種件雜貨海運市場中的企業(yè)發(fā)展、市場競爭、船隊運營和服務經(jīng)營等方面的對策建議。
[Abstract]:With the development of global economy and the construction of infrastructure in the world, the market of special items and groceries has a broad prospect, and the position in shipping market is becoming more and more important. However, China's special fleet still has a certain gap with the international advanced level in terms of fleet size, service level and operation and management, so it is difficult to meet the increasing market demand. Under this background, this paper systematically analyzes the changing law, developing trend and influencing factors of the international market for special items and groceries, and formulates corresponding management countermeasures and management ideas to enhance the competitiveness of our shipping enterprises. Effective prevention of operational risks has important guiding and practical significance. First of all, through the empirical analysis of market basic data, this paper discusses the current situation and characteristics of special grocery shipping market from the point of view of market supply and demand, and uses time series. The trend extrapolation and other methods are combined to forecast the development trend of market supply and demand in the next few years. The forecast results show that the market prospect of special items and groceries is very broad, but there are also some uncertain factors. Secondly, using vector autoregressive model, Granger causality test and impulse response analysis, we study the interaction between the main factors of multi-purpose ship shipping market. It is concluded that the market of special items is mainly affected by the demand factor, but the supply factor is not significant. Then, through the grey correlation degree model and grey entropy correlation degree, the paper analyzes the related shipping market of the special grocery shipping market. The research shows that the fluctuation of the special part grocery transportation market is synchronized with the fluctuation of the small and flexible dry bulk market. At the same time, it lags behind the headland dry bulk carrier market and container transportation market, but it is ahead of crude oil transportation market, and these shipping markets have strong grey correlation and grey entropy correlation with the special goods shipping market. Finally, on the basis of the above research and analysis, this paper expounds the countermeasures and suggestions on the development of enterprises, market competition, fleet operation and service management of Chinese shipping companies in the international market of special items and groceries.
【學位授予單位】：大連海事大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：F552;F224

【引證文獻】

相關碩士學位論文 前1條

1 陳靜;海上大件運輸特點與市場分析[D];大連海事大學;2013年

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本文編號：1849889