本文選題：公路收費 + 市場整合�。� 參考：《統(tǒng)計研究》2014年09期

【摘要】：本文采用混合組平均(PMG)及廣義矩估計(GMM)方法,實證檢驗了當前公路收費制度對我國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的影響并探索了其作用機制。研究發(fā)現(xiàn)過高的收費水平已經(jīng)不利于經(jīng)濟增長:收費水平每提高1%會導致GDP增長率放緩0.005%、人均GDP降低0.04%。由此計算出該制度在2012年新增社會經(jīng)濟成本約為1660億元,大于其收益。該制度的作用機制通過促進路網(wǎng)建設(shè)、降低國內(nèi)貿(mào)易總量及市場整合程度兩個相反作用實現(xiàn)。本研究將高收費歸咎于分稅制改革下地方預算內(nèi)財力的不足。這些發(fā)現(xiàn)為政策制定者提供了必要的參考:中央財政應加大在路網(wǎng)建設(shè)中的作用,同時通過預算內(nèi)轉(zhuǎn)移支付的方式補償改革過程中地方政府的損失。
[Abstract]:In this paper, the method of mixed group average PMG and generalized moment estimation (GMMM) is used to empirically test the influence of the current highway toll system on the economic development of our country and to explore its mechanism. The study found that excessive fees were not conducive to economic growth: a 1 percent increase in fees would slow GDP growth by 0.005 and per capita GDP by 0.04. It is calculated that the new social and economic cost of the system in 2012 is about 166 billion yuan, which is larger than its income. The mechanism of this system is realized by promoting the construction of road network, reducing the total amount of domestic trade and the degree of market integration. This study ascribes high charges to the insufficiency of local budget financial resources under the reform of the tax sharing system. These findings provide a necessary reference for policy makers: the central finance should play a greater role in the road network construction and compensate for the losses of local governments in the process of reform through the way of budget transfer and payment.
【作者單位】： 復旦大學經(jīng)濟學院;《世界經(jīng)濟文匯》雜志;
【基金】：上海市浦江人才計劃(項目號13PJC010)資助
【分類號】：F542;F812

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本文編號：1786637