本文選題：碼頭運(yùn)營商 + logit模型��； 參考：《大連海事大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：伴隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化和國際分工的深化,集裝箱港口已經(jīng)擺脫了簡單的航運(yùn)中轉(zhuǎn)角色,正日益擴(kuò)展到運(yùn)輸增值服務(wù)和國際綜合物流中心領(lǐng)域。港口產(chǎn)業(yè)收益相對于航運(yùn)業(yè)更為穩(wěn)定、平滑,不同于航運(yùn)周期的大起大落。集裝箱港口市場有著穩(wěn)定的投資收益,從國際經(jīng)驗(yàn)來看,集裝箱港口內(nèi)部收益率一般在10%以上。由于集裝箱港口業(yè)較高的投資收益率,成為國際投資的重要對象。作為集裝箱港口的主要投資人,碼頭運(yùn)營商全力構(gòu)建集裝箱港口業(yè)務(wù)網(wǎng)絡(luò)。碼頭運(yùn)營商對外投資港口,不僅可以為自營的船舶航行與掛靠港口帶來更多的便利,同時(shí)可以通過碼頭投資分散航運(yùn)板塊的經(jīng)營風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。 改革開放以來,中國經(jīng)濟(jì)的持續(xù)高速增長促使了世界經(jīng)濟(jì)與貿(mào)易格局的重心向以中國為核心的東亞地區(qū)轉(zhuǎn)移,同時(shí)促使中國的集裝箱港口業(yè)得到了快速發(fā)展,中國港口在世界港航運(yùn)輸網(wǎng)絡(luò)中的地位與作用日益提升。碼頭運(yùn)營商大力投資中國集裝箱港口,在我國沿海構(gòu)建港口業(yè)務(wù)網(wǎng)絡(luò),但碼頭運(yùn)營商投資港口的區(qū)位選擇存在很大的差異,主要集中于長三角、珠三角、環(huán)渤海的部分港口中,而一些港口還未涉及,港口的長遠(yuǎn)發(fā)展需要資金的投入,外商的投資是港口發(fā)展的主要資金來源之一,因此如何吸引外商投資成為港口未來進(jìn)一步發(fā)展考慮的重要問題。 本文以碼頭運(yùn)營商投資集裝箱港口的區(qū)位決策為目標(biāo),運(yùn)用FDI區(qū)位選擇理論,通過對碼頭運(yùn)營商的選擇行為進(jìn)行研究,運(yùn)用泰爾指數(shù)量化港口群間的差異。將碼頭運(yùn)營商投資集裝箱港口的特性與logit概率模型結(jié)合起來,用1ogit效用函數(shù)表示碼頭運(yùn)營商對集裝箱港口投資的選擇行為,對影響投資區(qū)位選擇的各個(gè)因素的影響程度進(jìn)行定量分析,最終得出相關(guān)影響因素對碼頭運(yùn)營商投資區(qū)位選擇的影響系數(shù),得出影響碼頭運(yùn)營商投資區(qū)位選擇的決定性因素,從而為我國港口吸引外商投資提供理論基礎(chǔ)和現(xiàn)實(shí)指導(dǎo)意見。
[Abstract]:With the deepening of economic globalization and international division of labor container ports have been getting rid of the role of simple shipping transit and are increasingly expanding into the field of transport value-added services and international integrated logistics center.The profit of port industry is more stable and smooth than that of shipping industry, which is different from the ups and downs of shipping cycle.The container port market has stable investment income. From the international experience, the internal return rate of container port is generally above 10%.Because of the high investment return rate of container port industry, it has become an important object of international investment.As the main investors of container port, terminal operators are working hard to construct container port business network.The port investment by wharf operators can not only bring more convenience for self-owned ships sailing and linking port, but also can spread the risk of shipping plate through wharf investment.Since the reform and opening up to the outside world, the sustained and rapid growth of China's economy has promoted the shift of the focus of the world economy and trade pattern to the East Asian region with China as the core, as well as the rapid development of China's container port industry.The status and role of Chinese ports in the world's port and shipping network is increasing day by day.Terminal operators invest heavily in China's container ports and construct port business networks along the coast of China. However, there are great differences in the location of ports invested by terminal operators, mainly in the Yangtze River Delta, the Pearl River Delta, and some ports around the Bohai Sea.However, some ports have not been involved, the long-term development of the port needs capital investment, foreign investment is one of the main sources of capital for port development, so how to attract foreign investment has become an important issue for the future development of the port.This paper aims at the location decision of terminal operators to invest in container ports, applies the theory of FDI location selection, studies the choice behavior of terminal operators, and quantifies the differences among port groups by means of Thiel index.Combining the characteristics of terminal operators' investment in container ports with the logit probabilistic model, the 1ogit utility function is used to express the choice behavior of terminal operators' investment in container ports.Quantitative analysis is made on the influence degree of various factors affecting the investment location selection, and finally the influence coefficient of the relevant factors on the investment location choice of the terminal operators is obtained, and the decisive factors affecting the investment location choice of the terminal operators are obtained.So as to attract foreign investment in our ports to provide the theoretical basis and practical guidance.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：大連海事大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F552.3

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