基于DEA和偏相關(guān)分析的港城發(fā)展關(guān)聯(lián)效應(yīng)
發(fā)布時間:2018-04-05 17:20
本文選題:港城互動 切入點:DEA分析 出處:《中國航!2017年02期
【摘要】:以港城關(guān)系發(fā)展為研究對象,在對寧波港進(jìn)行深入調(diào)研的基礎(chǔ)上,分別運(yùn)用數(shù)據(jù)包絡(luò)分析(Data Envelopmert Analysis,DEA)方法和偏相關(guān)分析方法對寧波市港城互動情況進(jìn)行研究。通過DEA分析得到:2011年以前,寧波市港城之間呈現(xiàn)明顯的互動現(xiàn)象,港口對城市發(fā)展的推動作用明顯;2011—2014年,寧波港發(fā)展逐步進(jìn)入緩慢增長的成熟期,寧波市經(jīng)濟(jì)逐步進(jìn)入自身發(fā)展的階段;而到2015年,寧波港進(jìn)入下降發(fā)展階段;谄嚓P(guān)分析及相關(guān)分析理論對寧波市港城關(guān)系的發(fā)展進(jìn)行研究,結(jié)果表明:寧波港的發(fā)展對寧波市經(jīng)濟(jì)的推動作用顯著,且集中表現(xiàn)在第二和第三產(chǎn)業(yè);城市經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展對港口吞吐量的提升作用明顯,大力發(fā)展第三產(chǎn)業(yè)、推動產(chǎn)業(yè)升級是寧波市港城協(xié)調(diào)互動發(fā)展的必然趨勢。
[Abstract]:Taking the development of port and city relationship as the research object, the interaction between Ningbo Port and Ningbo City is studied by using data Envelopmert Analysis (DEAA) method and partial correlation analysis method.Through DEA analysis, it is concluded that before 2011, there was obvious interaction between Ningbo port and port, and the port played an important role in urban development from 2011-2014, and Ningbo port gradually entered the mature period of slow growth.Ningbo's economy has gradually entered the stage of its own development, and by 2015, Ningbo Port has entered the stage of declining development.Based on the theory of partial correlation analysis and correlation analysis, this paper studies the development of the relationship between the port and the city of Ningbo. The results show that the development of Ningbo port plays a significant role in promoting the economy of Ningbo, and concentrated on the second and third industries;The development of urban economy plays an important role in the promotion of port throughput. It is an inevitable trend of coordinated and interactive development of Ningbo Port City to vigorously develop tertiary industry and promote industrial upgrading.
【作者單位】: 上海海事大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)管理學(xué)院;
【基金】:上海海事大學(xué)博士生創(chuàng)新基金(2016ycx061)
【分類號】:F127;F552.7
【參考文獻(xiàn)】
相關(guān)期刊論文 前5條
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