本文關(guān)鍵詞： 歐元區(qū) 德國(guó)對(duì)外貿(mào)易 FDI 德國(guó)低學(xué)歷群體失業(yè)率　出處：《中國(guó)青年政治學(xué)院》2015年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：歐元區(qū)成立之后,“出口強(qiáng)國(guó)”德國(guó)的對(duì)外貿(mào)易量大增帶動(dòng)了國(guó)內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)的繁榮,2009年歐債危機(jī)之后,德國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的優(yōu)異表現(xiàn)更是使其作為歐元區(qū)受益者的形象深入人心。然而與此同時(shí),德國(guó)國(guó)內(nèi)低學(xué)歷群體的失業(yè)問(wèn)題廣受關(guān)注。經(jīng)比較發(fā)現(xiàn),德國(guó)的低學(xué)歷群體相比于法國(guó)、意大利等國(guó)的低學(xué)歷群體更難就業(yè),并且這一問(wèn)題在歐元區(qū)成立之后愈加嚴(yán)重。德國(guó)的技術(shù)密集型和資本密集型產(chǎn)品在國(guó)際市場(chǎng)上具有比較優(yōu)勢(shì),不能進(jìn)入這些行業(yè)的低學(xué)歷群體的利益可能會(huì)在經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化程度加深的過(guò)程中受損。本文通過(guò)鄒氏斷點(diǎn)檢驗(yàn)法,驗(yàn)證了德國(guó)的進(jìn)出口額和FDI總流量在歐元區(qū)成立之后大幅增加,發(fā)生了結(jié)構(gòu)性的變化。隨后,通過(guò)構(gòu)建誤差修正模型,驗(yàn)證了上述變量對(duì)德國(guó)低學(xué)歷群體失業(yè)率有顯著影響:在其他條件不變的情況下,出口額越大,德國(guó)低學(xué)歷群體失業(yè)率越高;進(jìn)口額越大,德國(guó)低學(xué)歷群體失業(yè)率越低。FDI總流量越大,德國(guó)低學(xué)歷群體失業(yè)率越高。歐元區(qū)成立使德國(guó)技術(shù)和資本的比較優(yōu)勢(shì)進(jìn)一步發(fā)揮,對(duì)于不能參與具有比較優(yōu)勢(shì)行業(yè)的低學(xué)歷群體的就業(yè)有不利影響。德國(guó)需要不斷加大對(duì)教育的投入,逐步提高國(guó)民受教育水平,才能更好地適應(yīng)其在國(guó)際市場(chǎng)上具有技術(shù)和資本方面的比較優(yōu)勢(shì)這一定位。中國(guó)在擴(kuò)大開放的過(guò)程中需要注意對(duì)發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家和發(fā)展中國(guó)家均衡開放,同時(shí)大力發(fā)展教育。
[Abstract]:After the establishment of the euro zone, the volume of foreign trade in Germany, the "export power", increased dramatically, driving the domestic economic boom. In 2009, after the European debt crisis, The excellent performance of the German economy has made its image as a beneficiary of the euro area more popular. However, at the same time, the unemployment problem of the low-educated group in Germany has attracted much attention. The comparison shows that the low-educated group in Germany is compared with that in France. Countries such as Italy have a harder time finding jobs, and the problem has worsened since the creation of the euro zone. Germany's technology-intensive and capital-intensive products have a comparative advantage in international markets. The interests of low-educated groups who cannot enter these industries may be damaged in the process of deepening economic integration. This paper, by using Zou's breakpoint test, verifies that Germany's import and export volume and total FDI flow increased significantly after the establishment of the euro zone. A structural change took place. Then, by building an error correction model, it was verified that the above variables had a significant impact on the unemployment rate of Germany's low-educated groups: the larger the export volume, the more the other conditions remained unchanged. The higher the unemployment rate of the low-educated group in Germany, the higher the import amount, the lower the unemployment rate of the low-educated group in Germany, the larger the total FDI flow, and the higher the unemployment rate of the low-educated group in Germany. The establishment of the euro zone further exerts the comparative advantage of technology and capital in Germany. It has a negative impact on the employment of low-educated groups who cannot participate in industries with comparative advantage. Germany needs to continuously increase its investment in education and gradually raise the level of education for its citizens. China should pay attention to the balanced opening to both developed and developing countries in the process of opening up to the outside world and vigorously develop education.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中國(guó)青年政治學(xué)院
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：F249.516

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前3條

1 唐宜紅;馬風(fēng)濤;;國(guó)際垂直專業(yè)化對(duì)中國(guó)勞動(dòng)力就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的影響[J];財(cái)貿(mào)經(jīng)濟(jì);2009年04期

2 韓冬濤;孔令蘭萱;;德國(guó)就業(yè)“奇跡”的深層次原因及其隱患[J];德國(guó)研究;2013年01期

3 羅長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn);丁純;;歐洲國(guó)家勞動(dòng)收入占比下降的成因及對(duì)中國(guó)的啟示[J];歐洲研究;2012年03期

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前1條

1 高磊;歐元區(qū)貨幣一體化的經(jīng)濟(jì)作用[D];河南大學(xué);2013年

，

本文編號(hào)：1518952