江蘇省工業(yè)化與服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展的關(guān)系研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間：2019-06-07 07:47
【摘要】：社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展歷經(jīng)農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)、工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)和服務(wù)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)三個(gè)階段。在農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)，農(nóng)業(yè)增加值在GDP中的比重最大。隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展，農(nóng)業(yè)增加值在GDP中的比重不斷下降，工業(yè)增加值在GDP中的比重逐漸上升，服務(wù)業(yè)增加值在GDP中的比重也有所增加。人類(lèi)社會(huì)進(jìn)入工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)時(shí)期，在工業(yè)化初期，服務(wù)業(yè)附屬于工業(yè)；在工業(yè)化中期，服務(wù)業(yè)已經(jīng)從工業(yè)中分離出來(lái)，但對(duì)工業(yè)化的作用不明顯；在工業(yè)化后期，根據(jù)發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家的發(fā)展經(jīng)歷，服務(wù)業(yè)尤其是生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)增加值達(dá)到60%左右；服務(wù)經(jīng)濟(jì)時(shí)期服務(wù)業(yè)增加值在GDP中的比重在60%以上。研究表明江蘇省工業(yè)化處于中后期，但是近年來(lái)服務(wù)業(yè)增加值在GDP中的比重在40%左右，工業(yè)化和服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展關(guān)系并沒(méi)有呈現(xiàn)出相應(yīng)的現(xiàn)象。本文旨在研究江蘇省工業(yè)化和服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展關(guān)系，探討服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展滯后的原因。此研究共分為五個(gè)部分。 第一部分主要是工業(yè)化和服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展的文獻(xiàn)綜述，從理論方面論述制造業(yè)與服務(wù)業(yè)尤其是與生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)的互動(dòng)機(jī)制。 第二部分論證了工業(yè)化和服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展的內(nèi)在關(guān)系，兩者具有密不可分的相互關(guān)系。具體表現(xiàn)為工業(yè)化和服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展之間相互促進(jìn)、相互作用，共同發(fā)展。 第三部分應(yīng)用描述統(tǒng)計(jì)的方法分析了江蘇省工業(yè)化、制造業(yè)和服務(wù)業(yè)現(xiàn)狀。根據(jù)人均收入水平、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)等指標(biāo)判斷出江蘇省工業(yè)化處于中后期。江蘇省制造業(yè)尤其是裝備制造業(yè)近年來(lái)發(fā)展良好；服務(wù)業(yè)增長(zhǎng)速度處在20%～30%之間，，但是生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)增長(zhǎng)卻很緩慢。 第四部分對(duì)江蘇省工業(yè)化和服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展的關(guān)系進(jìn)行實(shí)證研究。收集1992～2009年的數(shù)據(jù)，選取工業(yè)產(chǎn)值、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)等十個(gè)影響江蘇省工業(yè)化進(jìn)程的指標(biāo)和服務(wù)業(yè)增加值、服務(wù)業(yè)勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率等八個(gè)影響服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展的指標(biāo)。運(yùn)用典型相關(guān)模型和計(jì)量模型對(duì)江蘇省工業(yè)化和服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展的關(guān)系進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析。結(jié)果表明：江蘇省工業(yè)化和服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展高度相關(guān)；從典型結(jié)構(gòu)角度得出對(duì)工業(yè)化影響比較大有人均GDP等四個(gè)指標(biāo)；對(duì)服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展影響較大的指標(biāo)有服務(wù)業(yè)勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率等三個(gè)指標(biāo)；江蘇省工業(yè)化是服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展的原因，但是服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展對(duì)工業(yè)化進(jìn)程沒(méi)有因果關(guān)系。進(jìn)一步研究了江蘇省制造業(yè)和生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展的關(guān)系，結(jié)果表明：江蘇省制造業(yè)對(duì)生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展有促進(jìn)作用，Granger因果檢驗(yàn)結(jié)果顯示生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)對(duì)制造業(yè)發(fā)展沒(méi)有推動(dòng)作用。最后對(duì)1982～2010年生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)和內(nèi)部的四個(gè)行業(yè)數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行回歸，回歸結(jié)果為：對(duì)生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)作用最大的行業(yè)是商業(yè)，其次是交通運(yùn)輸倉(cāng)儲(chǔ)郵政業(yè)和金融業(yè)，最后是科學(xué)研究技術(shù)服務(wù)業(yè)。 第五部分總結(jié)了全文，對(duì)工業(yè)化進(jìn)程中服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展給出一些有針對(duì)性的政策建議。
[Abstract]:Social and economic development has gone through three stages: agricultural economic society, industrial economic society and service economic society. In the agricultural economy and society, the proportion of agricultural added value in GDP is the largest. With the development of economy, the proportion of agricultural added value in GDP is decreasing, the proportion of industrial added value in GDP is gradually increasing, and the proportion of service added value in GDP is also increased. Human society has entered the period of industrial economy, in the early stage of industrialization, the service industry is attached to industry, in the middle of industrialization, the service industry has been separated from the industry, but the effect on industrialization is not obvious. In the later stage of industrialization, according to the development experience of developed countries, the added value of service industry, especially producer service industry, reached about 60%, and the proportion of service industry added value in GDP during the service economy period was more than 60%. The results show that the industrialization of Jiangsu Province is in the middle and late stage, but the proportion of service added value in GDP is about 40% in recent years, and the relationship between industrialization and the development of service industry does not show the corresponding phenomenon. The purpose of this paper is to study the relationship between industrialization and the development of service industry in Jiangsu Province, and to explore the reasons why the development of service industry lags behind. This study is divided into five parts. The first part is a literature review of industrialization and service industry development, which discusses the interaction mechanism between manufacturing industry and service industry, especially producer service industry. The second part demonstrates the internal relationship between industrialization and the development of service industry, which are closely related to each other. It is manifested in the mutual promotion, interaction and common development between industrialization and service industry development. The third part analyzes the present situation of industrialization, manufacturing and service industry in Jiangsu Province by using the method of description statistics. According to the level of per capita income, industrial structure and other indicators, it is judged that the industrialization of Jiangsu Province is in the middle and late stages. The manufacturing industry in Jiangsu Province, especially the equipment manufacturing industry, has developed well in recent years. The growth rate of the service industry is between 20% and 30%, but the growth of producer services is very slow. The fourth part makes an empirical study on the relationship between industrialization and service industry development in Jiangsu Province. This paper collects the data from 1992 to 2009, and selects ten indexes, such as industrial output value and industrial structure, which affect the industrialization process of Jiangsu Province, the added value of service industry and the labor productivity of service industry, which affect the development of service industry. The relationship between industrialization and service industry development in Jiangsu Province is empirically analyzed by using typical correlation model and econometric model. The results show that industrialization in Jiangsu Province is highly correlated with the development of service industry, and four indexes, such as GDP per capita, are obtained from the point of view of typical structure. There are three indexes that have great influence on the development of service industry, such as labor productivity of service industry. Industrialization in Jiangsu Province is the reason for the development of service industry, but the development of service industry has no causality with the process of industrialization. The relationship between the development of manufacturing industry and producer services in Jiangsu Province is further studied. The results show that the manufacturing industry in Jiangsu Province plays an important role in promoting the development of producer services. The results of Granger causality test show that producer services do not promote the development of manufacturing industry. Finally, the data of producer services and four internal industries in 1982 and 2010 are regressed. the regression results are as follows: the industry that plays the most important role in producer services is commerce, followed by transportation, warehousing, postal industry and financial industry. Finally, there is the service industry of scientific research and technology. The fifth part summarizes the full text, and gives some targeted policy suggestions for the development of service industry in the process of industrialization.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：南京財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F427;F719;F224
本文編號(hào)：2494631
[Abstract]:Social and economic development has gone through three stages: agricultural economic society, industrial economic society and service economic society. In the agricultural economy and society, the proportion of agricultural added value in GDP is the largest. With the development of economy, the proportion of agricultural added value in GDP is decreasing, the proportion of industrial added value in GDP is gradually increasing, and the proportion of service added value in GDP is also increased. Human society has entered the period of industrial economy, in the early stage of industrialization, the service industry is attached to industry, in the middle of industrialization, the service industry has been separated from the industry, but the effect on industrialization is not obvious. In the later stage of industrialization, according to the development experience of developed countries, the added value of service industry, especially producer service industry, reached about 60%, and the proportion of service industry added value in GDP during the service economy period was more than 60%. The results show that the industrialization of Jiangsu Province is in the middle and late stage, but the proportion of service added value in GDP is about 40% in recent years, and the relationship between industrialization and the development of service industry does not show the corresponding phenomenon. The purpose of this paper is to study the relationship between industrialization and the development of service industry in Jiangsu Province, and to explore the reasons why the development of service industry lags behind. This study is divided into five parts. The first part is a literature review of industrialization and service industry development, which discusses the interaction mechanism between manufacturing industry and service industry, especially producer service industry. The second part demonstrates the internal relationship between industrialization and the development of service industry, which are closely related to each other. It is manifested in the mutual promotion, interaction and common development between industrialization and service industry development. The third part analyzes the present situation of industrialization, manufacturing and service industry in Jiangsu Province by using the method of description statistics. According to the level of per capita income, industrial structure and other indicators, it is judged that the industrialization of Jiangsu Province is in the middle and late stages. The manufacturing industry in Jiangsu Province, especially the equipment manufacturing industry, has developed well in recent years. The growth rate of the service industry is between 20% and 30%, but the growth of producer services is very slow. The fourth part makes an empirical study on the relationship between industrialization and service industry development in Jiangsu Province. This paper collects the data from 1992 to 2009, and selects ten indexes, such as industrial output value and industrial structure, which affect the industrialization process of Jiangsu Province, the added value of service industry and the labor productivity of service industry, which affect the development of service industry. The relationship between industrialization and service industry development in Jiangsu Province is empirically analyzed by using typical correlation model and econometric model. The results show that industrialization in Jiangsu Province is highly correlated with the development of service industry, and four indexes, such as GDP per capita, are obtained from the point of view of typical structure. There are three indexes that have great influence on the development of service industry, such as labor productivity of service industry. Industrialization in Jiangsu Province is the reason for the development of service industry, but the development of service industry has no causality with the process of industrialization. The relationship between the development of manufacturing industry and producer services in Jiangsu Province is further studied. The results show that the manufacturing industry in Jiangsu Province plays an important role in promoting the development of producer services. The results of Granger causality test show that producer services do not promote the development of manufacturing industry. Finally, the data of producer services and four internal industries in 1982 and 2010 are regressed. the regression results are as follows: the industry that plays the most important role in producer services is commerce, followed by transportation, warehousing, postal industry and financial industry. Finally, there is the service industry of scientific research and technology. The fifth part summarizes the full text, and gives some targeted policy suggestions for the development of service industry in the process of industrialization.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：南京財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F427;F719;F224
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