【摘要】：隨著現(xiàn)代經(jīng)濟(jì)的演進(jìn)，服務(wù)業(yè)在國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中迅速崛起，其發(fā)展水平已經(jīng)成為一個(gè)國(guó)家經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力的重要體現(xiàn)。我國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)在改革開放的三十年里實(shí)現(xiàn)了長(zhǎng)足的發(fā)展和高速的增長(zhǎng)，已經(jīng)逐步成為國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的重要推動(dòng)力量。但是由于各區(qū)域在經(jīng)濟(jì)增速、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)和要素稟賦等方面均存在著差異性，我國(guó)不同區(qū)域在服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展過程中存在的非均衡現(xiàn)象日益嚴(yán)重。由此，本文圍繞我國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)的區(qū)域發(fā)展非均衡問題以及服務(wù)業(yè)的經(jīng)濟(jì)傳導(dǎo)效應(yīng)從多個(gè)角度進(jìn)行了分析和檢驗(yàn)。 首先，本文通過對(duì)區(qū)域服務(wù)業(yè)的增長(zhǎng)效應(yīng)和效率水平的差異性分析，全面地研究了我國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展的區(qū)域非均衡問題。在服務(wù)業(yè)區(qū)域增長(zhǎng)非均衡性的分析中，引入偏離份額模型測(cè)度了區(qū)域服務(wù)業(yè)及主要子產(chǎn)業(yè)的增長(zhǎng)效應(yīng)，并利用同位變化和空間依賴模型分離出區(qū)位效應(yīng)的作用，比較了我國(guó)各區(qū)域服務(wù)業(yè)增長(zhǎng)效應(yīng)中存在的顯著差異�？傮w而言，我國(guó)沿海地區(qū)服務(wù)業(yè)的整體增速高于其他區(qū)域，各區(qū)域具有競(jìng)爭(zhēng)優(yōu)勢(shì)的子產(chǎn)業(yè)各有不同，然而區(qū)位效應(yīng)對(duì)區(qū)域服務(wù)業(yè)增長(zhǎng)的影響程度較低，各區(qū)域尚未充分體現(xiàn)出服務(wù)業(yè)集聚的經(jīng)濟(jì)性。在我國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)區(qū)域效率非均衡性的分析中，運(yùn)用數(shù)據(jù)包絡(luò)分析方法測(cè)算并比較了各區(qū)域的效率變動(dòng)和相對(duì)效率水平。我國(guó)區(qū)域服務(wù)業(yè)效率水平差異顯著，基本與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平相一致。經(jīng)濟(jì)較發(fā)達(dá)區(qū)域的服務(wù)業(yè)效率水平較高，但是由于技術(shù)進(jìn)步能力不足導(dǎo)致效率水平提高較慢，經(jīng)濟(jì)欠發(fā)達(dá)區(qū)域的服務(wù)業(yè)效率水平相對(duì)較低，但是通過在服務(wù)業(yè)管理和規(guī)模上的改進(jìn)擁有了較快的追趕速度。同時(shí)，各區(qū)域的服務(wù)業(yè)效率均受到區(qū)域外部環(huán)境的顯著影響。 然后，為了探究我國(guó)區(qū)域服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展非均衡現(xiàn)象的趨勢(shì)，運(yùn)用空間面板數(shù)據(jù)模型對(duì)我國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)的斂散性進(jìn)行檢驗(yàn)，并通過添加條件因素的進(jìn)一步檢驗(yàn)分析了我國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)區(qū)域發(fā)展非均衡的原因。我國(guó)區(qū)域服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展呈現(xiàn)出發(fā)散性的趨勢(shì)，服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)達(dá)區(qū)域的產(chǎn)業(yè)增速大于服務(wù)業(yè)不發(fā)達(dá)區(qū)域，并且在空間上存在顯著的相互影響，，相鄰區(qū)域服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展水平既相互促進(jìn)又相互制約。此外，區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)水平、產(chǎn)業(yè)要素投入、基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)等因素均在不同程度上造成了區(qū)域服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展差異。 最后，本文從服務(wù)業(yè)主要子產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)整體經(jīng)濟(jì)的促進(jìn)以及服務(wù)業(yè)與GDP波動(dòng)的關(guān)系兩個(gè)層次檢驗(yàn)了我國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)的經(jīng)濟(jì)傳導(dǎo)效應(yīng)。不僅驗(yàn)證了服務(wù)業(yè)的關(guān)鍵地位和重要作用，也看到了對(duì)于尚處在工業(yè)化和城市化進(jìn)程中的我國(guó)來說，服務(wù)業(yè)尤其是現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)仍然處于原始積累和規(guī)模擴(kuò)張階段，對(duì)整體經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)依賴有余而貢獻(xiàn)不足，這意味著我國(guó)未來經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力增強(qiáng)的最大潛力將來自于服務(wù)業(yè)的優(yōu)化發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:With the evolution of modern economy, the service industry has risen rapidly in the development of national economy, and its development level has become an important embodiment of a country's economic strength. During the thirty years of reform and opening up, the service industry of our country has achieved great development and high speed growth, and has gradually become an important driving force of national economic growth. However, due to the differences in economic growth rate, industrial structure and factor endowment among different regions, the unbalanced phenomenon in the development of service industry in different regions of China is becoming more and more serious. Therefore, this paper analyzes and tests the disequilibrium of regional development of service industry in China and the economic conduction effect of service industry from several angles. Firstly, by analyzing the difference of the growth effect and efficiency level of the regional service industry, this paper comprehensively studies the regional disequilibrium in the development of our country's service industry. In the analysis of the disequilibrium of regional growth of service industry, this paper introduces the deviation share model to measure the growth effect of regional service industry and its main sub-industries, and uses the isomorphic and spatial dependence model to separate out the role of location effect. The significant differences in the growth effects of regional service industry in China are compared. In general, the overall growth rate of service industry in coastal areas of China is higher than that in other regions, and the sub-industries with competitive advantages are different in each region, but the influence of location effect on the growth of regional service industry is relatively low. The economy of service industry agglomeration has not been fully reflected in each region. In the analysis of disequilibrium of regional efficiency of service industry in China, the paper calculates and compares the efficiency variation and relative efficiency level of each region by using the method of data envelopment analysis. China's regional service efficiency level is significantly different, basically consistent with the level of regional economic development. The efficiency level of service industry in the more developed regions is higher, but the efficiency level of the service industry in the less developed regions is relatively low because of the low technological progress ability. But through the service industry management and scale improvement has a faster catch-up speed. At the same time, the service efficiency of each region is significantly affected by the regional external environment. Then, in order to explore the trend of unbalanced development of regional service industry in China, the paper uses spatial panel data model to test the convergence and divergence of service industry in China. The reasons for the unbalanced development of service industry in China are analyzed through the further test of adding condition factors. The development of regional service industry in China shows a divergent trend. The industrial growth rate in the developed region of the service industry is larger than that in the underdeveloped region of the service industry, and there is significant interaction in space. The development level of adjacent regional service industry promotes and restricts each other. In addition, regional economic level, industrial input, infrastructure construction and other factors have resulted in the development of regional service industry in different degrees. Finally, this paper examines the economic conduction effect of China's service industry from two aspects: the promotion of the service industry to the whole economy and the relationship between the service industry and the fluctuation of GDP. It not only verifies the key position and the important role of the service industry, but also shows that the service industry, especially the modern service industry, is still at the stage of primitive accumulation and scale expansion for our country, which is still in the process of industrialization and urbanization. It is not enough to rely on the overall economic growth, which means that the greatest potential of our country's economic strength in the future will come from the optimized development of the service industry.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：吉林大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號(hào)】：F719;F224

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