中國生產(chǎn)性服務業(yè)利用FDI的經(jīng)濟增長效應研究
本文選題:生產(chǎn)性服務業(yè) + 外商直接投資; 參考:《大連海事大學》2013年碩士論文
【摘要】:隨著經(jīng)濟全球化的發(fā)展和國際產(chǎn)業(yè)的轉移,生產(chǎn)性服務業(yè)逐漸成為外商直接投資的重點,在一國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展中起著重要作用。生產(chǎn)性服務業(yè)具有知識和技術密集型的特點,對經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展發(fā)揮著其獨特的作用。外商對生產(chǎn)性服務業(yè)的投資,彌補了生產(chǎn)性服務業(yè)的資金缺口、帶來了國外的先進技術和管理經(jīng)驗,對中國的經(jīng)濟產(chǎn)生了重要影響。因此,研究生產(chǎn)性服務業(yè)利用外商直接投資和我國經(jīng)濟增長之間的關系及對經(jīng)濟增長的具體效應具有現(xiàn)實的經(jīng)濟意義,有利于我們采取相關措施促進經(jīng)濟增長。 本文通過選取1997-2011年生產(chǎn)性服務業(yè)利用外商直接投資額和中國人均GDP,通過理論和實證來分析生產(chǎn)性服務業(yè)利用外商直接投資與中國經(jīng)濟增長的關系,并對影響經(jīng)濟增長的具體作用機制進行分析,比較其效應大小。由于生產(chǎn)性服務業(yè)的細分行業(yè)利用外商直接投資對經(jīng)濟增長產(chǎn)生的效應是不同的,因此本文還通過建立面板數(shù)據(jù)模型來具體分析各行業(yè)利用外商直接投資對其GDP增加值的影響,通過比較效應的大小,為將來更合理的引導外資流向提供參考。實證結果表明,生產(chǎn)性服務業(yè)利用外商直接投資對經(jīng)濟增長有促進作用,并且存在長期穩(wěn)定的協(xié)整關系,二者互為Granger因果關系。生產(chǎn)性服務業(yè)利用外商直接投資通過資本效應、技術效應、就業(yè)效應、產(chǎn)業(yè)結構效應對經(jīng)濟增長發(fā)揮作用,其中技術效應對經(jīng)濟增長的影響最大。從具體行業(yè)的分析得出,金融業(yè)利用外商直接投資對GDP的影響最大,而科學研究、技術服務和地質勘查業(yè)對GDP的影響最小。根據(jù)實證結果提出相應的政策措施,進一步的提高我國生產(chǎn)性服務業(yè)利用外商直接投資的水平,充分發(fā)揮其對經(jīng)濟增長的效應,提高綜合實力。
[Abstract]:With the development of economic globalization and the transfer of international industries, producer services have gradually become the focus of foreign direct investment and play an important role in the economic development of a country. Producer services have the characteristics of knowledge and technology-intensive, and play a unique role in the development of economy. Foreign investment in producer services has made up for the capital gap of producer services, brought advanced technology and management experience to foreign countries, and has had an important impact on China's economy. Therefore, it is of practical economic significance to study the relationship between the utilization of foreign direct investment in producer services and China's economic growth and its specific effects on economic growth, which is beneficial to us to take relevant measures to promote economic growth. This paper analyzes the relationship between FDI utilization in producer services and China's economic growth through theoretical and empirical analysis by selecting FDI in producer services from 1997 to 2011 and GDP per capita in China. And analyze the concrete action mechanism that affects the economic growth, compare its effect. Because the effect of foreign direct investment (FDI) on economic growth is different in the subdivision of producer service industry, this paper also analyzes the effect of FDI on the added value of GDP by establishing panel data model. By comparing the size of the effect, for the future more reasonable direction of foreign investment to provide a reference. The empirical results show that the use of foreign direct investment in producer services can promote economic growth and there is a long-term stable cointegration relationship. The two are Granger causality. Using FDI in producer services plays an important role in economic growth through capital effect, technological effect, employment effect and industrial structure effect, among which the technological effect has the greatest effect on economic growth. From the analysis of specific industries, it is concluded that the financial industry has the greatest impact on GDP by using foreign direct investment, while scientific research, technical services and geological exploration have the least impact on GDP. According to the empirical results, the corresponding policies and measures are put forward to further improve the level of foreign direct investment in producer services in China, to give full play to its effect on economic growth, and to improve the comprehensive strength.
【學位授予單位】:大連海事大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F124.1;F719;F832.6
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