【摘要】：劉砦城中村改造項(xiàng)目位于鄭州市二七文化新城核心區(qū)域,是鄭州南部重點(diǎn)建設(shè)項(xiàng)目,由鄭州玉安聯(lián)合置業(yè)有限公司負(fù)責(zé)開發(fā)改造。項(xiàng)目于2011年啟動,分兩期進(jìn)行開發(fā),周期為8-10年(2011年至2020年),項(xiàng)目總投資約80億。針對開發(fā)周期長,資金壓力巨大的城中村改造項(xiàng)目,面臨整個開發(fā)周期中各階段風(fēng)險因素的影響,如何有效地分析和評估各階段風(fēng)險要素的影響程度,并提供相應(yīng)的應(yīng)對策略是劉砦城中村改造項(xiàng)目成功實(shí)現(xiàn)改造目標(biāo)的關(guān)鍵。 本文以項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險為理論依據(jù),借鑒其他房地產(chǎn)項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險管理的成功實(shí)踐,系統(tǒng)地研究了劉砦城中村改造項(xiàng)目開發(fā)風(fēng)險及控制策略。首先,根據(jù)鄭州城中村改造發(fā)展歷程,通過借鑒鄭州城中村改造的成功經(jīng)驗(yàn),探討了劉砦城中村改造的三種主要模式�；趧㈨纬侵写甯脑祉�(xiàng)目規(guī)劃,揭示了項(xiàng)目存在的風(fēng)險問題。其次,結(jié)合劉砦城中村改造項(xiàng)目的風(fēng)險特征和項(xiàng)目開發(fā)流程,對項(xiàng)目獲準(zhǔn)階段、拆遷安置階段、土地整合階段、規(guī)劃建設(shè)階段四個階段的風(fēng)險因素進(jìn)行全面識別。然后,采用專家調(diào)查法和層次分析法對項(xiàng)目整體開發(fā)風(fēng)險指標(biāo)權(quán)重進(jìn)行計(jì)算和評估。最后,根據(jù)評估結(jié)果,對項(xiàng)目拆遷安置、土地整合、規(guī)劃建設(shè)階段的風(fēng)險控制進(jìn)行重點(diǎn)研究,提供了劉砦城中村改造開發(fā)風(fēng)險控制策略。 本文特色與創(chuàng)新之處主要表現(xiàn)在：①借鑒鄭州其他城中村改造成功經(jīng)驗(yàn),探討了劉砦城中村的改造模式,并揭示了該項(xiàng)目存在的風(fēng)險問題。②根據(jù)劉砦城中村改造流程的階段性劃分和項(xiàng)目的風(fēng)險特征,識別了劉砦城中村改造項(xiàng)目各階段風(fēng)險要素,并對各項(xiàng)風(fēng)險因素進(jìn)行量化評估。③提供了項(xiàng)目拆遷安置、土地整合和規(guī)劃建設(shè)階段的劉砦城中村改造開發(fā)風(fēng)險控制策略。本文的研究不僅為劉砦城中村改造項(xiàng)目提供了一套可操作的開發(fā)風(fēng)險控制策略,而且為其他城中村改造項(xiàng)目的風(fēng)險防范提供了理論依據(jù)和分析途徑。
[Abstract]:Located in the core area of Erqi Cultural New Town of Zhengzhou City, Liuzhai village reconstruction project is a key construction project in the south of Zhengzhou, which is developed and renovated by Zhengzhou Yuan United property Co., Ltd. The project was launched in 2011 and developed in two phases over a period of 8-10 years (2011-2020), with a total investment of about 8 billion. Facing the impact of risk factors in each stage of the development cycle, how to effectively analyze and evaluate the impact of risk factors in each stage of the development cycle, which has a long development cycle and a huge capital pressure, is facing the impact of the risk factors in each stage of the development cycle. The key to the successful realization of the transformation goal is to provide the corresponding coping strategies. Based on the theory of project risk and the successful practice of risk management in other real estate projects, this paper systematically studies the development risk and control strategy of Liushai village reconstruction project. First of all, according to the development course of Zhengzhou city village transformation, through the successful experience of Zhengzhou city village reconstruction, this paper discusses three main models of Liuzhai city village reconstruction. Based on the planning of the village reconstruction project in Liushai city, the risk problem of the project is revealed. Secondly, combined with the risk characteristics and project development process of Liushai village reconstruction project, the risk factors in the four stages of project approval stage, relocation stage, land integration stage, planning and construction stage are fully identified. Then, the expert investigation method and analytic hierarchy process are used to calculate and evaluate the overall development risk index weight of the project. Finally, according to the evaluation results, the risk control in the stages of project relocation, land integration, planning and construction is studied, and the risk control strategy for the reconstruction and development of Liuzhai village is provided. The main features and innovations of this paper are as follows: 1 referring to the successful experience of transformation of other urban villages in Zhengzhou, this paper probes into the transformation mode of Liuzhai village in the city. It also reveals the risk problems existing in the project. 2 according to the stage division of the village reconstruction process and the risk characteristics of the project, the risk elements of each stage of the Liuzhai village reconstruction project are identified. The risk factors are evaluated quantitatively. 3. The risk control strategy for the reconstruction and development of the village in Liuzhai city is provided in the stages of project relocation, land integration and planning and construction. The research in this paper not only provides a set of operable development risk control strategy for Liuzhai village reconstruction project, but also provides a theoretical basis and an analytical approach for the risk prevention of other urban village reconstruction projects.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：鄭州大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F299.2

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