本文選題：貴陽(yáng) + 房?jī)r(jià)　； 參考：《貴州財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：眾所周知，房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)的健康運(yùn)行，對(duì)于國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展有著至關(guān)重要的基礎(chǔ)性作用。該行業(yè)的發(fā)展與國(guó)家的金融業(yè)發(fā)展、宏觀政策調(diào)控等緊密相關(guān)；另外，，一個(gè)地區(qū)房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)的發(fā)展和當(dāng)?shù)氐慕?jīng)濟(jì)狀況、房地產(chǎn)投資規(guī)模和居民收入又相互影響。因此，對(duì)于房地市場(chǎng)的研究就顯得尤為必要。 近些年來(lái)，個(gè)別地區(qū)“房地產(chǎn)泡沫”現(xiàn)象被人津津樂道，其中陜西神木、內(nèi)蒙鄂爾多斯、鄭東新區(qū)、貴陽(yáng)等地是被人議論最多的。本文對(duì)于全國(guó)和貴陽(yáng)房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)的深入研究，量化分析貴陽(yáng)市房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展?fàn)顩r，進(jìn)而提出可行性建議。 首先對(duì)貴陽(yáng)市房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)進(jìn)行介紹，包括近年該市房地產(chǎn)投資規(guī)模、房?jī)r(jià)走勢(shì)、房?jī)r(jià)與居民收入對(duì)比等，從而定性說(shuō)明該地區(qū)房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)的大致情況。 其次,通過VAR模型來(lái)定量分析貴陽(yáng)市商品房房?jī)r(jià)和當(dāng)?shù)氐貐^(qū)生產(chǎn)總值、居民收入以及房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)投資的相互關(guān)系，分析認(rèn)為，上期的房?jī)r(jià)以及地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值對(duì)于當(dāng)期的房?jī)r(jià)影響較大，而房地產(chǎn)投資規(guī)模對(duì)于地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值有一定的正向影響。 最后從實(shí)際應(yīng)用的角度對(duì)于貴陽(yáng)市房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)的發(fā)展提供相關(guān)預(yù)測(cè)和一些可操作性建議，同時(shí)本文對(duì)于其他地區(qū)房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)的的研究和相關(guān)部門的規(guī)劃調(diào)控有借鑒意義。
[Abstract]:As we all know, the healthy operation of the real estate industry plays a fundamental role in the development of the national economy. The development of this industry is closely related to the development of national financial industry and macro-policy regulation and control, in addition, the development of a region's real estate market and the local economic situation, the scale of real estate investment and the income of residents also affect each other. Therefore, the study of the real estate market is particularly necessary. In recent years, the phenomenon of "real estate bubble" has been talked about in some regions, including Shenmu in Shaanxi, Ordos in Inner Mongolia, Zheng Dong, Guiyang and so on. This paper makes a quantitative analysis of the development of real estate industry in Guiyang and puts forward some feasible suggestions for the further study of the real estate market in the whole country and Guiyang. Firstly, the paper introduces the real estate industry of Guiyang city, including the scale of real estate investment, the trend of house price, the contrast between house price and residents' income in recent years, and then qualitatively explains the general situation of the real estate market in this area. Secondly, through the VAR model to quantitatively analyze the relationship between real estate prices and local GDP, residents' income and investment in real estate development in Guiyang. The housing price of the last period and the regional GDP have a great influence on the current housing price, while the scale of real estate investment has a certain positive impact on the regional GDP. Finally, from the perspective of practical application of Guiyang real estate market development to provide relevant forecasts and some operational suggestions, at the same time, this paper is useful for the study of real estate industry in other regions and the planning and regulation of relevant departments.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：貴州財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F299.27

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