發(fā)布時間：2018-05-21 08:32

  本文選題：貴陽 + 房價　； 參考：《貴州財經(jīng)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：眾所周知，房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)的健康運行，對于國民經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展有著至關(guān)重要的基礎(chǔ)性作用。該行業(yè)的發(fā)展與國家的金融業(yè)發(fā)展、宏觀政策調(diào)控等緊密相關(guān)；另外，，一個地區(qū)房地產(chǎn)市場的發(fā)展和當(dāng)?shù)氐慕?jīng)濟(jì)狀況、房地產(chǎn)投資規(guī)模和居民收入又相互影響。因此，對于房地市場的研究就顯得尤為必要。 近些年來，個別地區(qū)“房地產(chǎn)泡沫”現(xiàn)象被人津津樂道，其中陜西神木、內(nèi)蒙鄂爾多斯、鄭東新區(qū)、貴陽等地是被人議論最多的。本文對于全國和貴陽房地產(chǎn)市場的深入研究，量化分析貴陽市房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展?fàn)顩r，進(jìn)而提出可行性建議。 首先對貴陽市房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)進(jìn)行介紹，包括近年該市房地產(chǎn)投資規(guī)模、房價走勢、房價與居民收入對比等，從而定性說明該地區(qū)房地產(chǎn)市場的大致情況。 其次,通過VAR模型來定量分析貴陽市商品房房價和當(dāng)?shù)氐貐^(qū)生產(chǎn)總值、居民收入以及房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)投資的相互關(guān)系，分析認(rèn)為，上期的房價以及地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值對于當(dāng)期的房價影響較大，而房地產(chǎn)投資規(guī)模對于地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值有一定的正向影響。 最后從實際應(yīng)用的角度對于貴陽市房地產(chǎn)市場的發(fā)展提供相關(guān)預(yù)測和一些可操作性建議，同時本文對于其他地區(qū)房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)的的研究和相關(guān)部門的規(guī)劃調(diào)控有借鑒意義。
[Abstract]:As we all know, the healthy operation of the real estate industry plays a fundamental role in the development of the national economy. The development of this industry is closely related to the development of national financial industry and macro-policy regulation and control, in addition, the development of a region's real estate market and the local economic situation, the scale of real estate investment and the income of residents also affect each other. Therefore, the study of the real estate market is particularly necessary. In recent years, the phenomenon of "real estate bubble" has been talked about in some regions, including Shenmu in Shaanxi, Ordos in Inner Mongolia, Zheng Dong, Guiyang and so on. This paper makes a quantitative analysis of the development of real estate industry in Guiyang and puts forward some feasible suggestions for the further study of the real estate market in the whole country and Guiyang. Firstly, the paper introduces the real estate industry of Guiyang city, including the scale of real estate investment, the trend of house price, the contrast between house price and residents' income in recent years, and then qualitatively explains the general situation of the real estate market in this area. Secondly, through the VAR model to quantitatively analyze the relationship between real estate prices and local GDP, residents' income and investment in real estate development in Guiyang. The housing price of the last period and the regional GDP have a great influence on the current housing price, while the scale of real estate investment has a certain positive impact on the regional GDP. Finally, from the perspective of practical application of Guiyang real estate market development to provide relevant forecasts and some operational suggestions, at the same time, this paper is useful for the study of real estate industry in other regions and the planning and regulation of relevant departments.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：貴州財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F299.27

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本文編號：1918483