面向剛性需求市場的住房價格形成模型與合理房價研究
發(fā)布時間:2018-03-13 05:27
本文選題:剛性需求 切入點:房價形成模型 出處:《南京財經(jīng)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:住房作為一種商品,其核心問題就是價格問題。而剛性需求又是住房所需滿足的最基本要求,因此面向剛性需求的住房價格形成及其結(jié)果的合理性研究較其他方向更能反映市場的調(diào)節(jié)和為政府管控措施提供依據(jù)。本文的研究內(nèi)容和目的在于面向剛性需求住房市場研究普通商品住房的價格形成,分析其影響因素,簡化概念得出房價形成模型與合理房價確定的原則,并進一步構(gòu)建合理房價模型,通過測算具體分析當(dāng)前房產(chǎn)政策的利弊,提出今后可實施的調(diào)控措施以保障剛性需求人群的基本住房權(quán)利,促進房地產(chǎn)市場健康穩(wěn)定地發(fā)展。主要采用的方法則包括將定性與定量分析結(jié)合、理論分析與實證分析相結(jié)合。最終結(jié)論認(rèn)為商品住房價格的形成由供需關(guān)系確定,而實現(xiàn)有效交易則是滿足剛性需求、確定合理房價的首要原則。而一個穩(wěn)定而持續(xù)發(fā)展的住房市場在首要原則的基礎(chǔ)上還應(yīng)保障供給方和需求方雙方的基本利益,在參照南京市基本算例的情況下得出,面向剛性需求的新建住房價格的可能區(qū)間與合理漲幅,并得出二手房的合理價格以兩年房齡以上可形成有效交易為基準(zhǔn)。在對當(dāng)前政府平抑投資、扶持剛性需求兩類基本政策效應(yīng)的分析中進一步提出今后的管控政策應(yīng)當(dāng)集中在控制房價增速、提高居民住房支付能力、調(diào)整住房結(jié)構(gòu)以及降低特殊住房異質(zhì)信念、建立住房信息系統(tǒng)等幾個方面。本文的主要創(chuàng)新點表現(xiàn)在兩個方面,首先在于通過數(shù)理定義、假設(shè)來闡釋面向剛性需求的住房價格形成模型,在此基礎(chǔ)上對合理房價各組成部分進行分析,推出確定合理房價的原則;其次是在合理房價原則基礎(chǔ)上建立供需雙方模型,從新建房合理價格與二手房合理價格兩個方向?qū)δP瓦M行構(gòu)建與闡釋。
[Abstract]:As a kind of commodity, the core problem of housing is price, and rigid demand is the most basic requirement of housing. Therefore, the research on the rationality of housing price formation and its results oriented to rigid demand can better reflect the market regulation and provide the basis for government control measures than other directions. The research content and purpose of this paper is to meet the rigid demand. Research on the Housing Market the formation of the Price of ordinary Commodity Housing, By analyzing its influencing factors, simplifying the concept to get the formation model of house price and the principle of determining reasonable house price, and further constructing the model of reasonable house price, through calculating and analyzing the advantages and disadvantages of current real estate policy, In order to protect the basic housing rights of the people with rigid needs and promote the healthy and stable development of the real estate market, the main methods used include the combination of qualitative and quantitative analysis. The final conclusion is that the formation of commodity housing price is determined by the relationship between supply and demand, and the effective transaction is to meet the rigid demand. A stable and sustainable housing market should also safeguard the basic interests of both the supply side and the demand side on the basis of the first principles, and draw a conclusion with reference to the basic example of Nanjing. The possible range and reasonable increase in the price of newly built housing facing rigid demand, and the conclusion that the reasonable price of second-hand housing is based on the effective transaction that can be formed over the age of two years. In the analysis of the two basic policy effects of supporting rigid demand, it is further pointed out that the future control policies should focus on controlling the increase of house prices, improving the residents' ability to pay for housing, adjusting the housing structure and reducing the heterogeneity of special housing. The main innovation of this paper lies in two aspects: firstly, through mathematical definition and hypothesis to explain the housing price formation model facing rigid demand. Based on the analysis of the components of the reasonable housing price, the principle of determining the reasonable housing price is put forward. Secondly, the supply and demand model is established on the basis of the reasonable housing price principle. The model is constructed and explained from two directions: the reasonable price of the new house and the reasonable price of the second-hand house.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:南京財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F299.23
【參考文獻(xiàn)】
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1 任超群;吳t,
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