本文選題：城鎮(zhèn)化　切入點：住房消費需求　出處：《暨南大學》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：我國城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展速度突飛猛進，成為當代中國社會發(fā)展最重大的主題之一。城鎮(zhèn)化是一個由傳統(tǒng)化農(nóng)村社會向現(xiàn)代化城鎮(zhèn)社會演變的歷史發(fā)展過程，它是包含經(jīng)濟、政治、文化等多維度的社會概念，其中最重要最直觀的表現(xiàn)就是人口向城鎮(zhèn)的遷移和聚集。農(nóng)村人口的轉移不僅使得已有的城市設施完善、體系健全、規(guī)模擴容和結構優(yōu)化，同時也使得一些新的中小城鎮(zhèn)不斷涌現(xiàn)和發(fā)展起來。 當前我國城鎮(zhèn)化快速發(fā)展，數(shù)量龐大的農(nóng)村人口轉移的集聚效能，使得關系到老百姓民生的住房問題再次成為關注的焦點。這無疑會促進大城市和中小城鎮(zhèn)需要提供更多、更好的住房，住房消費需求的不斷增加在相當長的時期內仍然是我國房地產(chǎn)市場的主旋律，也直接影響著住房市場新格局的形成。 住房消費需求關系到住房市場的活躍度，，房地產(chǎn)業(yè)住宅市場的發(fā)展需要妥善解決好居民的住宅需求問題。住房消費需求受諸多因素的影響：國家層面的經(jīng)濟環(huán)境景氣程度、城鎮(zhèn)化水平和相關政策及優(yōu)惠條件；住宅市場層面的土地資源的供給量、住房價格水平、保障性住房的投入比例等；居民家庭層面的工資收入水平、消費支出水平特別是住房消費支出傾向。從城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展影響住房消費需求的角度研究城市內部住宅市場的發(fā)展路徑，有助于城市房地產(chǎn)業(yè)科學發(fā)展，同時也成為統(tǒng)籌區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的重要視角。我國房地產(chǎn)業(yè)在城鎮(zhèn)化加速發(fā)展的過程中，要順應趨勢正確把握以城鎮(zhèn)住房建設為增長點的住房消費需求，合理統(tǒng)籌協(xié)調，以實現(xiàn)新時期城鎮(zhèn)化與城市房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的健康協(xié)調發(fā)展。 本文立足于十八大中央經(jīng)濟工作會議關于城鎮(zhèn)化作為六項經(jīng)濟工作重點之一、有望成為推動中國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展最大動力之一的時代背景，研究中國城鎮(zhèn)化的加速發(fā)展對我國城市房地產(chǎn)市場住房消費需求產(chǎn)生的重要影響。在國民經(jīng)濟快速發(fā)展的中國，在國際國內格局日益變化的今天，住房問題和城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展成為時代的主旋律，國家發(fā)展以及人們安居樂業(yè)的頭等大事。實現(xiàn)農(nóng)村遷移人群市民化、保證居民安居樂業(yè)、提高農(nóng)民生活水平、打破城鄉(xiāng)經(jīng)濟二元化結構，成為我國農(nóng)村和城市全面健康和諧發(fā)展的最佳途徑。基于此問題，文章采用理論分析和實證分析相結合，通過時間序列數(shù)據(jù)樣本采用DEA方法證實它們之間的關聯(lián)度；再搭建回歸模型，得出影響系數(shù)的具體數(shù)值，全面系統(tǒng)地研究加速推進城鎮(zhèn)化對我國城市住房消費需求的具體影響。
[Abstract]:The rapid development of urbanization in China has become one of the most important themes in the development of contemporary Chinese society. Urbanization is a historical development process from a traditional rural society to a modern urban society, which includes economy and politics. The most important and intuitionistic expression of the multi-dimensional social concept such as culture is the migration and agglomeration of population to the town. The transfer of rural population not only makes the existing urban facilities perfect, the system perfect, the scale enlarged and the structure optimized. At the same time, some new small and medium-sized towns continue to emerge and develop. At present, the rapid development of urbanization in our country and the agglomeration efficiency of a large number of rural population transfers make the housing problem related to the people's livelihood become the focus of attention again. This will undoubtedly promote the large cities and small and medium-sized cities and towns to provide more. Better housing and the increasing demand for housing consumption are still the main theme of the real estate market in China for a long time, and also directly affect the formation of a new pattern of housing market. The demand for housing consumption is related to the activity of the housing market. The development of the real estate housing market needs to properly solve the housing demand of the residents. The demand for housing consumption is affected by many factors: the prosperity of the economic environment at the national level. The level of urbanization and related policies and preferential conditions; the supply of land resources at the housing market level, the housing price level, the proportion of investment in affordable housing, etc.; the wage and income level of the residents at the household level, The level of consumption expenditure, especially the propensity of housing consumption expenditure, is helpful to the scientific development of urban real estate industry by studying the development path of urban internal housing market from the perspective of urbanization affecting housing consumption demand. At the same time, it has become an important angle of view for the overall development of regional economy. In the process of accelerating the development of urbanization, the real estate industry in our country should correctly grasp the demand of housing consumption, which takes urban housing construction as the growth point, and coordinate reasonably with the trend. In order to realize the healthy and harmonious development of urbanization and urban real estate in the new period. This paper is based on the background of the 18 Central Economic work Conference on urbanization as one of the six economic priorities, which is expected to become one of the greatest driving forces for China's economic development. This paper studies the important influence of the accelerated development of urbanization on the housing consumption demand in China's urban real estate market. With the rapid development of the national economy in China, the international and domestic patterns are changing day by day. Housing problems and urbanization have become the main theme of the times, national development and people living and working in peace and contentment of the top priority. The realization of rural migration of citizens, ensure that residents live and work in peace and contentment, improve the standard of living of farmers, Breaking the dual structure of urban and rural economy has become the best way for the overall healthy and harmonious development of rural and urban areas in China. Based on this problem, this paper combines theoretical analysis with empirical analysis. The correlation degree between them is verified by using DEA method in time series data samples, and then the regression model is built to obtain the specific value of the influence coefficient, and the specific impact of accelerating urbanization on the consumption demand of urban housing in China is studied in a comprehensive and systematic way.
【學位授予單位】：暨南大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F299.23

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