本文關(guān)鍵詞：DCSD項目的經(jīng)濟評價與風險研究　出處：《電子科技大學》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： DCSD 經(jīng)濟評價 風險研究 房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)項目

【摘要】：2013年,我國的GDP總量為568,845億元,比上年增長7.7%。其中,全年房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)投資86,013億元,比上年增長19.8%。房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)投資總額占全年GDP總額的15.12%,標志著房地產(chǎn)業(yè)在宏觀經(jīng)濟中的支柱地位己經(jīng)確立起來。隨著國家新型城鎮(zhèn)化和工業(yè)化的進一步發(fā)展,房地產(chǎn)業(yè)也呈現(xiàn)出地區(qū)房地產(chǎn)投資“過熱”的態(tài)勢,各地競相建造新城導致出現(xiàn)大量“鬼城”。導致上述現(xiàn)象的根本原因在于對項目的經(jīng)濟評價和風險研究流于形式。同時,房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)和市場正面臨著前所未有的挑戰(zhàn)。房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)經(jīng)過十余年的高速發(fā)展,未來十年的發(fā)展速度必定會有所調(diào)整。國家宏觀經(jīng)濟政策的調(diào)整和產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型的要求,廣受民眾期待的民生住房的需求,均導致了國家對房地產(chǎn)市場的嚴厲調(diào)控,房地產(chǎn)市場已經(jīng)發(fā)生了微妙的變化。雖然地方政府及地方經(jīng)濟很大程度對房地產(chǎn)有著極強的依賴,但是不可否定的是,房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)很有可能步入成熟期。房地產(chǎn)市場將面臨市場增長放緩或停止、利潤率下降、市場競爭加劇等等挑戰(zhàn)。因此,加強項目的經(jīng)濟評價與風險研究工作,對于房地產(chǎn)項目的成敗具有重大意義。首先,在緒論部分,本文闡述了項目經(jīng)濟評價及風險管理的研究現(xiàn)狀和本文的研究意義,描述了研究對象的實施過程。實施過程主要包括項目拓展與論證階段、項目策劃階段、設(shè)計階段、施工/銷售階段、售后服務(wù)階段等五部分的內(nèi)容。其次,本文在第二章回顧了相關(guān)理論成果,為項目的經(jīng)濟評價和風險研究工作提供了理論依據(jù)。最后,本文通過實地調(diào)查法、文獻法和案例研究法,對項目進行了經(jīng)濟評價和風險研究。本文針對房地產(chǎn)項目的特點,在項目經(jīng)濟評價部分,對項目的盈利能力、償債能力、財務(wù)生存能力進行分析并做出評價;在項目的風險研究部分,對項目進行了風險識別和風險分析,并以此為基礎(chǔ),提供了應對上述風險的計劃和措施。本文以DCSD項目為案例進行的經(jīng)濟評價和風險研究,使得項目投資的經(jīng)濟效益及風險管理取得了良好的效果,為同類項目的開發(fā)提供了很好的借鑒意義。
[Abstract]:In 2013, the total GDP of China was 568, 84.5 billion yuan, up 7. 7% over the previous year, of which, the investment in real estate development in the whole year was 86, 1.3 billion yuan. The total investment in real estate development accounted for 15.12% of the total GDP for the whole year. With the further development of the new urbanization and industrialization, the real estate industry also presents the situation of "overheating" of the regional real estate investment. The race to build a new city leads to the emergence of a large number of "ghost city". The root cause of the above phenomenon lies in the economic evaluation of the project and risk research is a formality. At the same time. The real estate industry and the market are facing unprecedented challenges. After more than 10 years of rapid development of the real estate industry. In the next decade, the speed of development will be adjusted. The adjustment of national macroeconomic policy and the demand of industrial transformation, the demand of people's livelihood housing, have led to the strict regulation and control of the real estate market. The real estate market has undergone subtle changes. Although the local government and local economy to a large extent have a strong dependence on real estate, but there is no denying that. The real estate industry is likely to enter a mature period. The real estate market will face the challenges of slowing down or stopping the market growth, declining profit margin, intensifying market competition and so on. Therefore, strengthen the economic evaluation and risk research work of the project. For the success or failure of real estate projects is of great significance. First, in the introduction part, this paper describes the project economic evaluation and risk management research status and significance of this paper. Describes the implementation process of the research object. The implementation process mainly includes the project expansion and demonstration phase, the project planning phase, the design phase, the construction / sales phase, the after-sales service phase and other five parts. Secondly. In the second chapter, this paper reviews the relevant theoretical results, which provides a theoretical basis for the project economic evaluation and risk research. Finally, this paper through field investigation, literature and case study method. According to the characteristics of the real estate project, this paper analyzes and evaluates the profitability, solvency and financial viability of the project in the part of economic evaluation of the project. In the risk research part of the project, the risk identification and risk analysis of the project are carried out, and on this basis. The economic evaluation and risk research based on DCSD project make the economic benefit and risk management of project investment achieve good results. For the development of similar projects to provide a good reference.
【學位授予單位】：電子科技大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F272.5;F299.23

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