【摘要】：高等教育作為社會(huì)的上層建筑，是社會(huì)體系的一個(gè)子系統(tǒng)，它必然與社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)生千絲萬(wàn)縷的聯(lián)系，不斷適應(yīng)政治、經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展提出的要求。高等教育是經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的“筋”和“骨”，教育經(jīng)濟(jì)問(wèn)題日益成為國(guó)內(nèi)外學(xué)者們研究的熱點(diǎn)問(wèn)題。長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)是我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力最強(qiáng)勁、最具活力、總量規(guī)模最大的地區(qū)之一，并且教育綜合實(shí)力在國(guó)內(nèi)名列前茅，本文采用定性和定量分析相結(jié)合的方法，結(jié)合1986-2009年的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)，研究長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)高等教育與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展問(wèn)題，為教育改革提供一定的政策建議。 本文在諸多學(xué)者關(guān)于高等教育與經(jīng)濟(jì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展研究的基礎(chǔ)上，主要研究三個(gè)問(wèn)題：高等教育與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間的相關(guān)性，怎樣建立能夠反映高等教育與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)水平的指標(biāo)體系；高等教育與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的互動(dòng)關(guān)系和協(xié)整關(guān)系如何；高等教育對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)和協(xié)調(diào)度。 首先針對(duì)第一個(gè)問(wèn)題，采用典型相關(guān)分析法，得出長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)高等教育與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間存在正相關(guān)關(guān)系，典型相關(guān)系數(shù)為0.999972，并建立了反映高等教育發(fā)展和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的指標(biāo)體系，其中，影響高等教育發(fā)展的主要因素是在校生數(shù)、RD課題經(jīng)費(fèi)投入和生師比，反映經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的主要因素是人均GDP和地方財(cái)政支出。 其次針對(duì)第二個(gè)問(wèn)題，采用Granger因果關(guān)系檢驗(yàn)法和協(xié)整分析，得出高等教育是經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)變動(dòng)的Granger原因，經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)也是高等教育變動(dòng)的Granger原因。高等教育與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間存在長(zhǎng)期的均衡關(guān)系，江蘇省和浙江省二者之間的短期關(guān)系顯著成立，但上海市的短期模型通不過(guò)檢驗(yàn)，即短期關(guān)系不顯著。 針對(duì)第三個(gè)問(wèn)題，建立DEA模型評(píng)價(jià)長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)高等教育對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)貢獻(xiàn)的有效性，結(jié)果表明，上海市和浙江省每年高等教育對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)是DEA有效的，江蘇省是DEA無(wú)效的。進(jìn)一步地，本文建立灰色關(guān)聯(lián)分析模型，對(duì)長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)高等教育與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間的協(xié)調(diào)度進(jìn)行了實(shí)證研究。結(jié)果表明，在五個(gè)“五年計(jì)劃”時(shí)期及1986-2009年間高等教育與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間呈現(xiàn)協(xié)調(diào)狀態(tài)，，上海市、江蘇省、浙江省高等教育與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的協(xié)調(diào)度依次為0.796、0.803、0.798，協(xié)調(diào)性好壞排名是：江蘇省、浙江省、上海市。 最后，在實(shí)證分析的基礎(chǔ)上，從教育投入、特色教育發(fā)展道路、扶持民辦高校、產(chǎn)學(xué)研相結(jié)合四個(gè)方面提出建議。
[Abstract]:As the superstructure of the society, higher education is a subsystem of the social system, which is bound to be inextricably linked with the social economy and constantly adapts to the demands of political and economic development. Higher education is the "tendons" and "bones" of economic growth. The Yangtze River Delta region is one of the most powerful, dynamic and total economic regions in China, and the comprehensive strength of education is among the highest in China. This paper adopts the method of combining qualitative and quantitative analysis, and combines the relevant data from 1986 to 2009. This paper studies the coordinated development of higher education and economic growth in the Yangtze River Delta, and provides some policy suggestions for the educational reform. On the basis of many scholars' researches on the coordinated development of higher education and economy, this paper mainly studies three questions: the correlation between higher education and economic growth, how to establish an index system that can reflect the level of higher education and economic growth; What is the interactive and cointegration relationship between higher education and economic growth, and the contribution and coordination of higher education to economic growth. In view of the first problem, the canonical correlation analysis method is used to obtain the positive correlation between higher education and economic growth in the Yangtze River Delta region. The canonical correlation coefficient is 0.999972, and the index system reflecting the development of higher education and economic growth is established. Among them, the main factors that affect the development of higher education are the number of students in the school and the R D project expenditure and the ratio of students to teachers. The main factors reflecting the economic growth are the per capita GDP and the local financial expenditure. Secondly, by using Granger causality test and cointegration analysis, it is concluded that higher education is the Granger cause of economic growth and economic growth is Granger reason of higher education change. There is a long-term equilibrium relationship between higher education and economic growth. The short-term relationship between Jiangsu province and Zhejiang province is obvious. However, the short-term model of shanghai can not pass the test, that is, the short-term relationship is not significant In view of the third problem, DEA model is established to evaluate the contribution of higher education to economic growth in Yangtze River Delta. The results show that the contribution of higher education to economic growth in Shanghai and Zhejiang Province is effective in DEA and DEA in Jiangsu Province. Furthermore, this paper establishes a grey relational analysis model and makes an empirical study on the coordination between higher education and economic growth in the Yangtze River Delta region. The results show that there is a coordinated state between higher education and economic growth in the five Five-Year Plan periods and 1986-2009, Shanghai, Jiangsu Province, Jiangsu Province, The degree of coordination between higher education and economic growth in Zhejiang Province is 0.796n0.8030.798.The coordination is ranked as follows: Jiangsu Province, Zhejiang Province, Shanghai City. Finally, on the basis of empirical analysis, this paper puts forward some suggestions from four aspects: education input, characteristic education development road, supporting private colleges and universities, combining production, learning and research.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：南京財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號(hào)】：F224;G649.2;F127

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