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成都等5市洪水事件和細(xì)菌性痢疾關(guān)聯(lián)性及滯后效應(yīng)分析

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-03-28 15:15

  本文選題:洪水事件 切入點(diǎn):細(xì)菌性痢疾 出處:《現(xiàn)代預(yù)防醫(yī)學(xué)》2017年17期


【摘要】:目的通過對成都等5市一次洪水事件和細(xì)菌性痢疾(菌痢)關(guān)聯(lián)性及滯后效應(yīng)分析,為洪水事件后菌痢的防控提供更加具體化的策略和措施。方法根據(jù)洪水事件的特點(diǎn)選取暴露期、對照期和滯后期,整理暴露期和對照期疾病數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)分析并計(jì)算相對危險(xiǎn)度(RR)、歸因危險(xiǎn)度(AR)以評估洪水事件與菌痢的關(guān)系;計(jì)算滯后期與對照期洪水事件對菌痢的相對危險(xiǎn)度(RR)以確定最佳滯后期。結(jié)果達(dá)州、廣安兩地暴露期菌痢罹患率明顯高于對照期(P0.05);樂山、雅安、成都三地滯后期菌痢罹患率明顯高于對照期(P0.05)。結(jié)論洪水事件與菌痢的發(fā)生呈正相關(guān),成都等5市有4個(gè)不同的最佳滯后期,提示我們針對不同的洪水事件發(fā)生地、不同最佳滯后期應(yīng)采取不同的干預(yù)措施。
[Abstract]:Objective to analyze the correlation and lag effect between a flood event and bacillary dysentery in Chengdu and other five cities. To provide more specific strategies and measures for the prevention and control of bacterial dysentery after flood events. Methods according to the characteristics of flood events, the exposure period, control period and lag period were selected. The disease data of exposure period and control period were analyzed statistically and the relative risk (RRN) was calculated to evaluate the relationship between flood events and bacillary dysentery. In order to determine the optimum lag period, the relative risk of flood events in lag period and control period to bacillary dysentery was calculated. Results the attack rate of bacillary dysentery in exposed period in Dazhou and Guangan was significantly higher than that in control period (P 0.05), Leshan, Ya'an, Leshan, Ya'an, The attack rate of dysentery in the three places of Chengdu was significantly higher than that in the control period P0.050.Conclusion Flood events are positively correlated with the occurrence of bacillary dysentery, and there are 4 different optimal periods of lag in five cities, indicating that we aim at different places of flood events. Different intervention measures should be taken for different optimal lag periods.
【作者單位】: 荊州市疾病預(yù)防控制中心;山東大學(xué)公共衛(wèi)生學(xué)院;
【分類號】:R516.4
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本文編號:1676871

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