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基于復(fù)雜網(wǎng)絡(luò)的中國產(chǎn)業(yè)間隱含資源流動(dòng)分析

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  本文選題:隱含資源 切入點(diǎn):火用 出處:《中國地質(zhì)大學(xué)(北京)》2015年博士論文


【摘要】:隱含資源是指產(chǎn)品和服務(wù)在生產(chǎn)、運(yùn)輸和使用過程中消耗的資源。任何產(chǎn)品或服務(wù)都包含了一定數(shù)量的隱含資源。隱含資源的提出為分析經(jīng)濟(jì)活動(dòng)背后包含的自然資源變化情況提供了可能。為分析隱含資源在經(jīng)濟(jì)系統(tǒng)中的流動(dòng)情況,本文借助生態(tài)投入產(chǎn)出原理、基于?的自然資源核算方法、復(fù)雜網(wǎng)絡(luò)分析工具,對(duì)中國和各地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)部門之間的隱含資源流動(dòng)情況進(jìn)行了分析。考慮的自然資源包括六大類:能源、礦產(chǎn)資源、農(nóng)產(chǎn)品、水產(chǎn)品、畜牧產(chǎn)品和林產(chǎn)品,共計(jì)32種。借鑒熱物理學(xué)中用于資源核算的“?”的概念對(duì)各類資源進(jìn)行統(tǒng)一度量,利用生態(tài)投入產(chǎn)出原理計(jì)算了各產(chǎn)業(yè)之間的隱含資源流動(dòng)量。基于此,以產(chǎn)業(yè)為節(jié)點(diǎn)、產(chǎn)業(yè)之間的隱含資源流動(dòng)量為邊構(gòu)建了1987、1992、1997、2002和2007年中國隱含資源流動(dòng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)以及2007年30個(gè)地區(qū)的隱含資源流動(dòng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)。而后,從社團(tuán)結(jié)構(gòu)、流動(dòng)量、關(guān)鍵產(chǎn)業(yè)三個(gè)方面分析了35個(gè)網(wǎng)絡(luò)的特征。采用復(fù)雜網(wǎng)絡(luò)中的邊權(quán)分析指標(biāo),識(shí)別了隱含資源流動(dòng)的關(guān)鍵路徑。研究發(fā)現(xiàn),35個(gè)網(wǎng)絡(luò)的邊權(quán)分布都符合冪律分布,說明絕大多數(shù)隱含資源流動(dòng)都發(fā)生在極少關(guān)系上。主要的流動(dòng)關(guān)系隨時(shí)間變化不大,但是各地區(qū)有顯著差異。對(duì)主要關(guān)系的分析有助于為監(jiān)測資源流動(dòng)、降低資源損失提供依據(jù)。為了識(shí)別隱含資源流動(dòng)的關(guān)鍵產(chǎn)業(yè),基于復(fù)雜網(wǎng)絡(luò)理論中的四個(gè)中心性指標(biāo),采用灰色關(guān)聯(lián)度綜合評(píng)價(jià)方法,構(gòu)建了體現(xiàn)產(chǎn)業(yè)在網(wǎng)絡(luò)中重要程度的綜合指標(biāo)。結(jié)果顯示,煤炭開采業(yè)、電力及蒸汽熱水的生產(chǎn)和供應(yīng)業(yè)、石油加工業(yè)、建筑業(yè)在始終是隱含資源流動(dòng)中的關(guān)鍵產(chǎn)業(yè)。但他們的地位發(fā)生了一些變化。電力及蒸汽熱水的生產(chǎn)和供應(yīng)業(yè)變得越來越重要,國內(nèi)商業(yè)和對(duì)外貿(mào)易業(yè)的地位有所下降。借鑒復(fù)雜網(wǎng)絡(luò)的社團(tuán)分析,基于隱含資源流動(dòng)網(wǎng)絡(luò),提出了資源產(chǎn)業(yè)集群的概念。結(jié)果顯示,歷年隱含資源流動(dòng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)中都包含5-6個(gè)資源產(chǎn)業(yè)集群,每個(gè)資源產(chǎn)業(yè)集群以一種特定的資源為核心。1987-2007年間,煤炭產(chǎn)業(yè)集群都是網(wǎng)絡(luò)中的隱含資源輸出者。一些資源產(chǎn)業(yè)集群的核心資源及地位發(fā)生了變化,制造業(yè)、紡織商業(yè)集群的地位下降,建筑業(yè)地位變強(qiáng)。資源產(chǎn)業(yè)集群的演變體現(xiàn)了我國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展重心的調(diào)整以及對(duì)不同資源依賴程度的變化。本文的主要貢獻(xiàn)是對(duì)35個(gè)隱含資源流動(dòng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)的構(gòu)建以及特征分析。今后的研究中可以對(duì)隱含資源的流動(dòng)效果進(jìn)行評(píng)價(jià),或者對(duì)特定產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈的隱含資源流動(dòng)過程和流動(dòng)效率進(jìn)行測算。為了增加隱含資源流動(dòng)分析的實(shí)踐效果,可以基于隱含資源流動(dòng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)提出與網(wǎng)絡(luò)參數(shù)對(duì)應(yīng)的經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)及管理學(xué)概念。
[Abstract]:Implicit resources refer to the production of products and services, Resources consumed during transportation and use. Any product or service contains a certain number of hidden resources. The presentation of implied resources provides the possibility to analyse the changes in natural resources contained behind economic activities. Analyzing the flow of implied resources in the economic system, Based on the principle of ecological input-output, this paper is based on? The methods of natural resource accounting and the tools of complex network analysis are used to analyze the implied resource flow between industrial departments in China and various regions. The natural resources considered include six categories: energy, mineral resources, agricultural products, aquatic products, etc. Animal husbandry products and forest products, a total of 32 species. "on the basis of the unified measurement of all types of resources, the implicit resource flows between industries are calculated by using the ecological input-output principle. Based on this, the industry is the node. The implied resource flows among industries are built up in 1987 / 1992 / 1997 / 2002 and 2007 as well as the implicit resource flow networks in 30 regions in 2007. The characteristics of 35 networks are analyzed from three aspects of critical industry. The critical path of implicit resource flow is identified by using the edge weight analysis index in complex networks. The results show that the distribution of edge weights of 35 networks conforms to the power law distribution. It shows that the vast majority of implicit resource flows occur in minimal relationships. The main flow relationships do not change significantly over time, but there are significant differences between regions. An analysis of the major relationships helps to monitor resource flows, In order to identify the key industries of implied resource flow, based on the four central indexes in the complex network theory, the grey correlation degree comprehensive evaluation method is adopted. The results show that the coal mining industry, the production and supply of electric power and steam hot water, the petroleum processing industry, Construction has always been a key industry in implicit resource flows. But their position has changed. The production and supply of electricity and steam hot water have become increasingly important. The status of domestic commercial and foreign trade industry has declined. The concept of resource industry cluster is put forward based on implicit resource flow network based on community analysis of complex network. There are 5-6 resource industrial clusters in the implied resource flow network in the past years. Each resource industrial cluster has a specific resource as its core. 1987-2007. The coal industry cluster is the implied resource exporter in the network. The core resources and status of some resource industrial clusters have changed. The status of manufacturing industry and textile commercial cluster has declined. The evolution of resource industry cluster reflects the adjustment of economic development center of China and the change of different resource dependence degree. The main contribution of this paper is the construction of 35 implied resource flow networks. Feature analysis. Future research can evaluate the effect of implicit resource flow, In order to increase the practical effect of the implicit resource flow analysis, the concepts of economics and management corresponding to the network parameters can be proposed based on the implicit resource flow network.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:中國地質(zhì)大學(xué)(北京)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2015
【分類號(hào)】:F121.3

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