西部地區(qū)金融發(fā)展與城市化互動關(guān)系研究
發(fā)布時間：2019-06-15 05:38
【摘要】：2011年我國城市化率首次超過50%，非農(nóng)人口超過農(nóng)業(yè)人口。然而目前中國的城市化率只相當(dāng)于韓國的1970年水平，日本的1950年水平，美國的1920年水平，城市化發(fā)展空間依然很大。黨的十八大報告明確指出，要堅持走中國特色城市化的道路，將城市化視作全面建成小康社會的載體之一和經(jīng)濟發(fā)展方式轉(zhuǎn)變的重點之一。西部地區(qū)城市化水平顯著低于東、中部地區(qū)，，因此在國家政策大背景下，西部地區(qū)城市化有很大的發(fā)展空間�，F(xiàn)代金融體系誕生于生產(chǎn)力發(fā)展過程中，大大提高了社會整體運行效率。金融與城市化建設(shè)密切相關(guān)，城市基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施、企業(yè)發(fā)展和轉(zhuǎn)型的各項服務(wù)、城市運行的配套功能等目標(biāo)的實現(xiàn)，都需要借助金融的力量。然而城市化進程中資金量大、周期長，對金融體系提出了新挑戰(zhàn)。 從這個角度出發(fā)，本文從理論和實證兩個部分對西部地區(qū)金融發(fā)展和城市化之間的關(guān)系進行研究。理論部分，本文首先回顧了金融發(fā)展理論、城市化理論，以及對國內(nèi)外金融發(fā)展與城市化關(guān)系研究的文獻進行總結(jié)，明確了本文的研究內(nèi)容、目的。實證部分，本文先建立了西部地區(qū)金融發(fā)展的指標(biāo)體系，西部地區(qū)城市化的指標(biāo)體系；利用因子分析法得出西部地區(qū)金融發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀，進行現(xiàn)狀分析；利用因子分析法得出了西部地區(qū)城市化現(xiàn)狀，進行現(xiàn)狀分析；對兩個變量之間進行相關(guān)性分析；得出了金融發(fā)展和城市化之間的作用機理，提出金融發(fā)展和城市化之間的作用理論：金融對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級的影響、金融發(fā)展對區(qū)域經(jīng)濟增長的影響；城市化中的產(chǎn)業(yè)對金融發(fā)展的推動、城市化的人口集聚對金融發(fā)展的推動、城市化的城市發(fā)展對金融發(fā)展的推動；從省域?qū)用孢M行基于VAR模型的Granger因果關(guān)系檢驗，并采用脈沖響應(yīng)函數(shù)來驗證這種因果關(guān)系，以實證結(jié)果來呼應(yīng)本文的理論研究。 通過研究發(fā)現(xiàn)： 有關(guān)金融發(fā)展水平的因子分析表明，西部地區(qū)金融發(fā)展具有明顯的區(qū)位效應(yīng)，存在顯著的正的空間自相關(guān)性，存在溢出效應(yīng)。 有關(guān)城市化水平的因子分析表明，西部地區(qū)城市化具有明顯的區(qū)位效應(yīng)，存在顯著的正的空間自相關(guān)性，存在溢出效應(yīng)。 中國西部地區(qū)金融發(fā)展和城市化互為彼此的Granger原因，二者存在著互動關(guān)系；其中，金融發(fā)展對城市化的促進作用要大于城市化對金融發(fā)展的促進作用。
[Abstract]:In 2011, the urbanization rate of China exceeded 50% for the first time, and the non-agricultural population exceeded the agricultural population for the first time. However, at present, the urbanization rate in China is only equivalent to the 1970 level in South Korea, the 1950 level in Japan and the 1920 level in the United States, and there is still a lot of room for urbanization. The report of the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China (CPC) clearly points out that it is necessary to adhere to the road of urbanization with Chinese characteristics and regard urbanization as one of the carriers of building a well-off society in an all-round way and one of the key points of the transformation of the mode of economic development. The urbanization level in the western region is significantly lower than that in the east and central regions, so under the background of national policy, the urbanization in the western region has a lot of room for development. The modern financial system was born in the process of the development of productive forces, which greatly improved the overall operation efficiency of society. Finance is closely related to urbanization construction. The realization of urban infrastructure, various services for enterprise development and transformation, and supporting functions of urban operation all need the power of finance. However, in the process of urbanization, the amount of capital is large and the cycle is long, which poses a new challenge to the financial system. From this point of view, this paper studies the relationship between financial development and urbanization in the western region from both theoretical and empirical aspects. In the theoretical part, this paper first reviews the theory of financial development, the theory of urbanization, and summarizes the literature on the relationship between financial development and urbanization at home and abroad, and clarifies the research content and purpose of this paper. In the empirical part, this paper first establishes the index system of financial development in the western region, the index system of urbanization in the western region, obtains the present situation of the financial development in the western region by using the factor analysis method, analyzes the present situation of the urbanization in the western region by using the factor analysis method, and analyzes the correlation between the two variables. This paper obtains the mechanism between financial development and urbanization, and puts forward the theory of the role between financial development and urbanization: the influence of finance on the upgrading of industrial structure, the influence of financial development on regional economic growth, the promotion of industry in urbanization on financial development, the promotion of urbanization population agglomeration on financial development, and the promotion of urbanized urban development on financial development. The Granger causality test based on VAR model is carried out from the provincial level, and the impulse response function is used to verify the causality, and the empirical results echo the theoretical research in this paper. Through the study, it is found that the factor analysis of the level of financial development shows that the financial development in the western region has obvious location effect, there is significant positive spatial autocorrelation, and there is spillover effect. The factor analysis of urbanization level shows that urbanization in western China has obvious location effect, positive spatial autocorrelation and spillover effect. The financial development and urbanization in western China are each other's Granger reasons, and there is an interactive relationship between them, among which, the promoting effect of financial development on urbanization is greater than that of urbanization on financial development.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：重慶大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F832.7;F299.27
本文編號：2500001
[Abstract]:In 2011, the urbanization rate of China exceeded 50% for the first time, and the non-agricultural population exceeded the agricultural population for the first time. However, at present, the urbanization rate in China is only equivalent to the 1970 level in South Korea, the 1950 level in Japan and the 1920 level in the United States, and there is still a lot of room for urbanization. The report of the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China (CPC) clearly points out that it is necessary to adhere to the road of urbanization with Chinese characteristics and regard urbanization as one of the carriers of building a well-off society in an all-round way and one of the key points of the transformation of the mode of economic development. The urbanization level in the western region is significantly lower than that in the east and central regions, so under the background of national policy, the urbanization in the western region has a lot of room for development. The modern financial system was born in the process of the development of productive forces, which greatly improved the overall operation efficiency of society. Finance is closely related to urbanization construction. The realization of urban infrastructure, various services for enterprise development and transformation, and supporting functions of urban operation all need the power of finance. However, in the process of urbanization, the amount of capital is large and the cycle is long, which poses a new challenge to the financial system. From this point of view, this paper studies the relationship between financial development and urbanization in the western region from both theoretical and empirical aspects. In the theoretical part, this paper first reviews the theory of financial development, the theory of urbanization, and summarizes the literature on the relationship between financial development and urbanization at home and abroad, and clarifies the research content and purpose of this paper. In the empirical part, this paper first establishes the index system of financial development in the western region, the index system of urbanization in the western region, obtains the present situation of the financial development in the western region by using the factor analysis method, analyzes the present situation of the urbanization in the western region by using the factor analysis method, and analyzes the correlation between the two variables. This paper obtains the mechanism between financial development and urbanization, and puts forward the theory of the role between financial development and urbanization: the influence of finance on the upgrading of industrial structure, the influence of financial development on regional economic growth, the promotion of industry in urbanization on financial development, the promotion of urbanization population agglomeration on financial development, and the promotion of urbanized urban development on financial development. The Granger causality test based on VAR model is carried out from the provincial level, and the impulse response function is used to verify the causality, and the empirical results echo the theoretical research in this paper. Through the study, it is found that the factor analysis of the level of financial development shows that the financial development in the western region has obvious location effect, there is significant positive spatial autocorrelation, and there is spillover effect. The factor analysis of urbanization level shows that urbanization in western China has obvious location effect, positive spatial autocorrelation and spillover effect. The financial development and urbanization in western China are each other's Granger reasons, and there is an interactive relationship between them, among which, the promoting effect of financial development on urbanization is greater than that of urbanization on financial development.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：重慶大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F832.7;F299.27
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