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基于ECM-GARCH模型的華夏滬深300指數(shù)基金套期保值研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-06-22 05:55

  本文選題:華夏滬深300指數(shù)基金 + 投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn) ; 參考:《廣東財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文


【摘要】:指數(shù)基金是以跟蹤目標(biāo)指數(shù)的收益為目標(biāo)的基金,即它是以目標(biāo)指數(shù)的成份股來(lái)構(gòu)建投資組合的基金,以期獲得與所跟蹤的指數(shù)相似的收益率。在投資策略的選擇上,,指數(shù)基金采取的是被動(dòng)的投資策略,由于它的投資組合是采取跟蹤指數(shù)的,因此它所構(gòu)建的是充分分散化的投資組合,所以能夠有效地規(guī)避個(gè)股的非系統(tǒng)性風(fēng)險(xiǎn),但它還面臨著系統(tǒng)性風(fēng)險(xiǎn),因此它并不能有效地避免系統(tǒng)性風(fēng)險(xiǎn),而隨著我國(guó)滬深300股指期貨的推出,利用其對(duì)指數(shù)基金進(jìn)行有效的套期保值已經(jīng)成為了可能。 華夏滬深300指數(shù)基金采取復(fù)制滬深300指數(shù)的方法,追求對(duì)標(biāo)的指數(shù)的有效跟蹤,獲得與標(biāo)的指數(shù)收益相似的回報(bào)及適當(dāng)?shù)钠渌找。本文從華夏滬深300指數(shù)基金的角度來(lái)進(jìn)行研究,由于華夏滬深300指數(shù)基金是跟蹤滬深300指數(shù)的,所以其收益率與滬深300指數(shù)的收益率應(yīng)該是強(qiáng)相關(guān)的,那么利用滬深300股指期貨來(lái)進(jìn)行套期保值以規(guī)避投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的效果應(yīng)該是挺高的,而且當(dāng)股票組合與滬深300指數(shù)的相關(guān)性越強(qiáng)時(shí),其套期保值效果應(yīng)該越好,為了得到這一結(jié)論,本文將選取另外3只指數(shù)基金與華夏滬深300指數(shù)基金進(jìn)行比較分析,利用ECM-GARCH模型來(lái)計(jì)算其最優(yōu)套期保值率,通過(guò)比較分析及實(shí)證分析來(lái)得到相關(guān)結(jié)論。隨著越來(lái)越多的投資者參與到指數(shù)基金投資當(dāng)中,研究如何客觀有效地對(duì)我國(guó)指數(shù)基金進(jìn)行風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理無(wú)疑具有重要的理論和實(shí)踐意義。
[Abstract]:Index fund is a fund that aims to track the return of the target index, that is, it is a fund that uses the component stocks of the target index to construct a portfolio, in order to obtain a similar rate of return to the index being tracked. In the choice of investment strategy, the index fund adopts a passive investment strategy, because its portfolio is used to track the index, so it constructs a fully decentralized investment portfolio. So it can effectively avoid the non-systemic risk of individual stock, but it also faces systemic risk, so it can not effectively avoid systemic risk, and with the introduction of Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 stock index futures, It is possible to use it to hedge index funds effectively. The Huaxia CSI 300 index fund adopts the method of copying the CSI 300 index to pursue the effective tracking of the underlying index and to obtain the return similar to the return of the underlying index and other appropriate returns. From the perspective of Huaxia Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index funds, this paper makes a study. Because the Huaxia Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index funds track the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 indexes, the return rate of the Huaxia Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index should be strongly related to the return rate of the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index. Well, the effect of hedging Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 stock index futures to avoid investment risk should be very high. Moreover, the stronger the correlation between the stock portfolio and the CSI 300 index, the better the hedging effect should be. In order to get this conclusion, In this paper, three other index funds and Huaxia Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index funds are selected for comparative analysis. The ECM-GARCH model is used to calculate the optimal hedging rate, and the relevant conclusions are obtained through comparative analysis and empirical analysis. With more and more investors participating in the index fund investment, it is undoubtedly of great theoretical and practical significance to study how to objectively and effectively manage the risk of the index fund in our country.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:廣東財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F832.51;F830.42

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