本文選題：京滬高鐵 + 經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)　； 參考：《北京交通大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：鐵路作為國民經(jīng)濟(jì)的大動(dòng)脈,在經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)發(fā)展中具有重要作用。作為交通運(yùn)輸業(yè)創(chuàng)造性的運(yùn)輸工具——高速鐵路的成功運(yùn)營,不僅能夠有效的緩解客運(yùn)壓力,還會(huì)逐步改變我國交通運(yùn)輸格局,開啟交通運(yùn)輸?shù)男缕�。高速鐵路的成功運(yùn)營也會(huì)對(duì)沿線地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展產(chǎn)生深刻的影響。2011年6月30日,縱貫北京、天津、上海三大直轄市和冀魯皖蘇四省,連接環(huán)渤海和長江三角洲兩大經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)的京滬高鐵通車運(yùn)行,標(biāo)志著中國開始進(jìn)入“高鐵時(shí)代”。京滬高鐵山東段全長358km,設(shè)有6個(gè)站點(diǎn),它的開通運(yùn)營拉近了山東與北京、上海的時(shí)空距離,有利于在山東省中西部形成一條縱向經(jīng)濟(jì)隆起帶,為山東省經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)全面協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展帶來機(jī)遇。 本文以交通經(jīng)濟(jì)帶、增長極、點(diǎn)一軸開發(fā)等理論為基礎(chǔ),從區(qū)域產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、空間結(jié)構(gòu)、貿(mào)易發(fā)展和區(qū)域政策等角度出發(fā),歸納高速鐵路對(duì)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)影響的機(jī)理。再從建設(shè)效應(yīng)、就業(yè)增加、同城化、環(huán)境保護(hù)和虹吸效應(yīng)的角度詳細(xì)分析高速鐵路對(duì)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響效應(yīng)；然后利用面板數(shù)據(jù),定量分析京滬高鐵對(duì)山東沿線區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)水平的影響；借助Eviews軟件對(duì)沿線各城市人均GDP的預(yù)測,建立旅行時(shí)間價(jià)值模型,分析京滬高鐵對(duì)山東沿線城市產(chǎn)生的時(shí)間效應(yīng)；以旅游業(yè)為例定量分析了京滬高鐵對(duì)旅游業(yè)的影響來研究高鐵對(duì)消費(fèi)效應(yīng)的影響。研究發(fā)現(xiàn),京滬高鐵的開通對(duì)沿線地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的影響不盡相同,大城市受高鐵的短期影響比小城市要明顯的多；沿線地區(qū)交通運(yùn)輸結(jié)構(gòu)得到優(yōu)化；旅游業(yè)發(fā)展迅速。高鐵沿線逐漸形成一條交通經(jīng)濟(jì)帶,為山東經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)全面協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展注入新動(dòng)力。
[Abstract]:As the artery of national economy, railway plays an important role in economic and social development. As a creative transportation tool, the successful operation of high-speed railway can not only effectively relieve the pressure of passenger transport, but also gradually change the pattern of transportation in China and open a new chapter of transportation. The successful operation of the high-speed railway will also have a profound impact on the economic development of the areas along the route. On June 30, 2011, the three municipalities directly under the Central Government, Beijing, Tianjin and Shanghai, and the four provinces of Hebei, Shandong, Anhui and Jiangsu provinces, The opening of the Beijing-Shanghai high-speed rail link between the two major economic zones around the Bohai Sea and the Yangtze River Delta marks the beginning of a "high-speed rail era" for China. The Beijing-Shanghai high-speed railway Shandong section, which has a total length of 358km, has six stations. Its opening and operation has narrowed the space-time distance between Shandong and Beijing and Shanghai, which is conducive to the formation of a vertical economic uplift zone in the central and western parts of Shandong Province. Shandong Province for the comprehensive and coordinated economic and social development opportunities. Based on the theories of traffic economic belt, growth pole and point-one-axis development, this paper sums up the mechanism of the influence of high-speed railway on regional economy from the angles of regional industrial structure, spatial structure, trade development and regional policy. From the point of view of construction effect, employment increase, urbanization, environmental protection and siphon effect, the paper analyzes the impact effect of high-speed railway on regional economy in detail, and then uses panel data to analyze the impact of high-speed railway on regional economy. Quantitative analysis of the impact of Beijing-Shanghai high-speed rail on the regional economic level along Shandong Province, with the help of Eviews software to predict the per capita GDP of cities along the route, establish a travel time value model, analyze the time effect of Beijing-Shanghai high-speed rail on the cities along Shandong. Taking tourism as an example, this paper analyzes quantitatively the influence of Beijing-Shanghai high-speed rail on tourism industry to study the effect of high-speed rail on consumption. It is found that the opening of the Beijing-Shanghai high-speed railway has different effects on the economic development of the areas along the route. The short-term impact of high-speed rail on large cities is more obvious than that of small cities; the transportation structure of the areas along the line is optimized; and the tourism industry develops rapidly. A traffic economic belt is gradually formed along the high-speed railway, which injects new impetus into the overall coordinated development of Shandong economy and society.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：北京交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F127;F532.3;F224

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