本文選題：經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià) + 綜合體項(xiàng)目��； 參考：《天津大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文

【摘要】：我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的蓬勃發(fā)展造就了大量的各類綜合體項(xiàng)目。綜合體一般包含了寫(xiě)字樓、商業(yè)、酒店等業(yè)態(tài)形式，可為人們提供辦公場(chǎng)地、消費(fèi)娛樂(lè)及休息場(chǎng)所，也正由于其多功能性，相對(duì)于普通房地產(chǎn)項(xiàng)目，其經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)更為復(fù)雜。 本論文采用了“三個(gè)結(jié)合”——“定量與定性分析相結(jié)合”、“靜態(tài)與動(dòng)態(tài)分析相結(jié)合”、“宏觀和微觀分析相結(jié)合”的分析研究方法，對(duì)深圳地鐵深大站上蓋綜合體項(xiàng)目進(jìn)行經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)。 首先對(duì)項(xiàng)目概況進(jìn)行了介紹，，對(duì)項(xiàng)目編制了投資估算；其次以項(xiàng)目建設(shè)周期為前提編制了資金投入計(jì)劃；再次，對(duì)項(xiàng)目各種業(yè)態(tài)的銷售、經(jīng)營(yíng)或出租收益、成本進(jìn)行了分析，進(jìn)而得出項(xiàng)目的財(cái)務(wù)估算、項(xiàng)目的獲利能力分析和財(cái)務(wù)效益分析，以及其生存周期內(nèi)的各年度現(xiàn)金流量，進(jìn)而得出項(xiàng)目?jī)衄F(xiàn)值和內(nèi)部收益率。 其次，使用模糊綜合評(píng)價(jià)方法建立國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)數(shù)據(jù)模型，從宏觀角度對(duì)項(xiàng)目開(kāi)展評(píng)價(jià)。最后，使用郭均鵬教授提出的基于區(qū)間分析的項(xiàng)目經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)方法，研究當(dāng)各要素（如現(xiàn)金流、貼現(xiàn)率）為區(qū)間數(shù)時(shí)，常用評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)（如凈現(xiàn)值、內(nèi)部收益率）的計(jì)算以及評(píng)估，進(jìn)而全面評(píng)價(jià)本項(xiàng)目的合理性和可行性。 本文研究和討論的深圳地鐵深大站上蓋綜合體項(xiàng)目經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)，一方面有利于全社會(huì)正確、全方位地了解綜合體項(xiàng)目和項(xiàng)目決策的重要性；另一方面，可以促進(jìn)項(xiàng)目決策者提高科學(xué)和理論基礎(chǔ)，并加強(qiáng)投資決策和管理，克服片面追求局部經(jīng)濟(jì)利益的短視行為，從大局出發(fā)合理安排綜合體項(xiàng)目的投資。
[Abstract]:The vigorous development of our economy has brought up a large number of complex projects.The complex generally includes office buildings, commerce, hotels and other forms of business, can provide people with office space, consumption, entertainment and rest place, but also because of its versatility, compared with ordinary real estate projects, its economic evaluation is more complex.This paper adopts the analytical research methods of "three combinations"-"combination of quantitative and qualitative analysis", "combination of static and dynamic analysis", "combination of macro and micro analysis".In this paper, the economic evaluation is carried out on the complex project of Shenzhen Metro Station.First of all, the general situation of the project is introduced, and the investment estimate is compiled. Secondly, the capital investment plan is prepared on the premise of the project construction cycle. Thirdly, the sales, operating or rental income and cost of the project are analyzed.Then the financial estimate of the project, the profitability analysis and the financial benefit analysis of the project, as well as the cash flow of each year in its life cycle, are obtained, and the net present value and internal rate of return of the project are obtained.Secondly, the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is used to establish the data model of national economic evaluation, and to evaluate the project from the macro perspective.Finally, using the project economic evaluation method based on interval analysis proposed by Professor Guo Junpeng, this paper studies the calculation and evaluation of commonly used evaluation indicators (such as net present value, internal rate of return) when each element (such as cash flow, discount rate) is interval number.Then the rationality and feasibility of the project are evaluated.On the one hand, the economic evaluation of the Shenzhen Subway deep large station superstructure complex project, which is studied and discussed in this paper, on the one hand, is helpful to the whole society to correctly understand the importance of the complex project and project decision, on the other hand,It can promote the project decision makers to improve the scientific and theoretical basis, strengthen investment decision-making and management, overcome the short-sighted behavior of one-sided pursuit of local economic interests, and reasonably arrange the investment of complex projects from the overall situation.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：天津大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號(hào)】：F282;F572.88

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