本文關(guān)鍵詞： 歐元區(qū) 政府債務(wù) 財政規(guī)則 獨立財政委員會　出處：《天津財經(jīng)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：美國次貸危機之后,資本借貸市場低迷,世界主要發(fā)達(dá)經(jīng)濟(jì)體的財政指標(biāo)紛紛惡化。2009年希臘首當(dāng)其沖,累積的財政赤字和龐大的政府債務(wù)規(guī)模導(dǎo)致資金鏈斷裂,隨后被世界三大信用評級機構(gòu)相繼下調(diào)政府債務(wù)評級。自此,歐元區(qū)政府債務(wù)危機全面爆發(fā)。對于歐洲主債危機的研究有助于及早防范和有效治理,具有重要意義。歐盟作為最重要的區(qū)域合作組織之一,在此次危機中暴露的問題對于亞太經(jīng)合組織和東亞地區(qū)的貨幣合作也有重要的啟示作用。站在長期視角下分析“歐豬五國”的財政運行狀況,發(fā)現(xiàn)此次主權(quán)債務(wù)危機爆發(fā)的原因有以下幾點。首先,2008年發(fā)生的金融海嘯是導(dǎo)火索,誘使各國的財政赤字和債務(wù)規(guī)模急劇擴大。其次,世界發(fā)達(dá)經(jīng)濟(jì)體的平均政府債務(wù)水平正陷入長達(dá)數(shù)十年的增長周期中,這是宏觀因素。第三,歐元區(qū)財政政策與貨幣政策的長期不匹配,是危機爆發(fā)的內(nèi)在原因。第四,國際信用評級機構(gòu)促成了歐洲主債危機。第五,高福利的政治體制和歐元的持續(xù)升值埋下隱患。歷史上,財政規(guī)則一度成為各國防范債務(wù)違約的主要手段,但是并沒有起到真正的約束作用。獨立財政委員會是學(xué)術(shù)界探索的新方法,似乎能在很大程度上控制觀經(jīng)濟(jì)運行斤.荷蘭的經(jīng)濟(jì)政策分析局便是成功案例。中國改革開放以來保持了高速的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長,人民幣國際化趨勢日漸明顯,但同時帶來的升值問題會造成我國出口貿(mào)易收緊,沖淡政府償債能力。我國持續(xù)多年的擴張性財政政策,以及地方財權(quán)事權(quán)不二致形成了巨大的地方隱形政府債務(wù),增加了相當(dāng)?shù)呢斦L(fēng)險。分析得出,歐債危機對開放經(jīng)濟(jì)條件下的中國有以下啟示。第二,債務(wù)規(guī)模要適度,并建立完善的債務(wù)風(fēng)險監(jiān)管機制和預(yù)警機制；第二,要從根本上解決地方政府事權(quán)財權(quán)不一致的問題；’第三,優(yōu)化升級財政支出結(jié)構(gòu)；第四,保證財政政策與貨幣政策的協(xié)調(diào)配合；第五,要改變出口拉動型的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長方式,擴大內(nèi)需,加快產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級；第六,政府管理要改變單純追求數(shù)字的政績觀。
[Abstract]:After the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States, the capital lending market was depressed, and the fiscal indicators of the world's major developed economies deteriorated one after another. In 2009, Greece was the first to bear the brunt. The accumulated fiscal deficit and the huge scale of government debt led to the breakage of the capital chain and were subsequently downgraded by the world's three major credit rating agencies. The euro zone government debt crisis broke out in an all-round way. The study on the main debt crisis in Europe is of great significance for early prevention and effective management. As one of the most important regional cooperation organizations, the European Union (EU) is one of the most important regional cooperation organizations. The problems exposed in the crisis also have important implications for the monetary cooperation between APEC and East Asia. From a long-term perspective, the financial performance of the "European Pig five" is analyzed. The reasons for this sovereign debt crisis are as follows: first, the financial tsunami on 2008 was the trigger, inducing countries' fiscal deficits and debt to expand sharply. The average level of government debt in the world's advanced economies is falling into a decades-long growth cycle, a macro factor. Third, the long-term mismatch between fiscal and monetary policy in the eurozone. In 4th, the international credit rating agencies contributed to Europe's main debt crisis. 5th, the high welfare political system and the continued appreciation of the euro. Fiscal rules once became the main means to prevent debt default, but they did not play a real role in binding. The Independent Fiscal Committee is a new method explored by academic circles. The Dutch Bureau of Economic Policy Analysis is a success story. China has maintained rapid economic growth since the reform and opening up, and the internationalization of the renminbi has become increasingly evident. But at the same time, the problem of appreciation will lead to the tightening of China's export trade and the weakening of the government's ability to repay debt. China's expansionary fiscal policy has been going on for many years. As well as the local financial rights and powers formed a huge local invisible government debt, increased considerable financial risk. The analysis shows that the European debt crisis has the following implications for China under the conditions of open economy. Second. The scale of debt should be moderate, and the supervision mechanism and early warning mechanism of debt risk should be established. Second, it is necessary to fundamentally solve the problem that the local government does not have the same financial power; Third, optimize and upgrade the structure of fiscal expenditure; 4th, to ensure the coordination of fiscal and monetary policies; In 5th, it is necessary to change the export-led mode of economic growth, expand domestic demand, and accelerate the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure; In 6th, government management should change the pure pursuit of digital view of achievement.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：天津財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F812.5;F815

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 胡援成;康鴻;;主權(quán)債務(wù)危機預(yù)警系統(tǒng)的構(gòu)建——基于新興市場國家數(shù)據(jù)的研究[J];當(dāng)代財經(jīng);2013年06期

2 姜秀紅;;化解地方政府債務(wù)危機的幾點建議[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)研究導(dǎo)刊;2013年16期

3 姜云飛;;債務(wù)危機背景下歐盟財政一體化的進(jìn)展與挑戰(zhàn)[J];世界經(jīng)濟(jì)研究;2013年04期

4 史錦華;劉成杰;;債務(wù)條件下財政政策與貨幣政策關(guān)系再認(rèn)識[J];現(xiàn)代經(jīng)濟(jì)探討;2013年04期

5 劉洪鐘;楊攻研;;發(fā)達(dá)經(jīng)濟(jì)體政府債務(wù)的迷思——基于新政治經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的視角[J];世界經(jīng)濟(jì)與政治;2013年04期

6 趙江林;;亞太經(jīng)合組織的中國因素[J];人民論壇;2012年S1期

7 李京陽;;歐債危機對中國的影響及國際貨幣體系的改革思考[J];財經(jīng)科學(xué);2012年03期

8 逄錦聚;;歐美債務(wù)危機與中國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展[J];當(dāng)代經(jīng)濟(jì)研究;2012年01期

9 葉謙;沈文穎;;拉美債務(wù)危機和歐洲債務(wù)危機成因的比較及其對我國的啟示[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)問題探索;2011年10期

10 謝世清;;從歐債危機看“中國式主權(quán)債務(wù)危機”[J];亞太經(jīng)濟(jì);2011年05期

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前3條

1 雷靖偉;歐洲債務(wù)危機的形成邏輯及其影響研究[D];西南財經(jīng)大學(xué);2012年

2 樓堅;歐元區(qū)主權(quán)債務(wù)危機形成原因及傳導(dǎo)效應(yīng)研究[D];浙江大學(xué);2011年

3 何杰;歐洲主權(quán)債務(wù)危機對我國的啟示[D];財政部財政科學(xué)研究所;2011年

，

本文編號：1476087