坦桑尼亞住房項(xiàng)目的PPP模式建模研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間：2021-11-24 18:04
住房產(chǎn)業(yè)是現(xiàn)代社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中非常重要的行業(yè)之一。有人用“生活就是房子”來強(qiáng)調(diào)住房產(chǎn)業(yè)對促進(jìn)社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中的作用,因?yàn)闆]有運(yùn)作良好的住房產(chǎn)業(yè)的社會(huì)就像是一個(gè)沒有生命的社會(huì)。由于坦桑尼亞政府部門在上個(gè)世紀(jì)七十年代在增加正規(guī)住房供應(yīng)時(shí)的失敗,私營部門已經(jīng)獲得許可可以在設(shè)計(jì)、融資、建設(shè)、運(yùn)營和維修房屋的過程中起主導(dǎo)作用。不過,此舉不但沒有促進(jìn)住房質(zhì)量的提高,反而導(dǎo)致低質(zhì)量、不可靠、高價(jià)格的房屋在計(jì)劃外的住區(qū)比比皆是。另一方面,美國、英國、加拿大、澳大利亞、中國等國家在基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施部門特別是交通部門成功運(yùn)用PPP模式,取得了不錯(cuò)的成績。這一事實(shí)促使本研究者專門致力于調(diào)查PPP在坦桑尼亞住房行業(yè)中應(yīng)用的績效因素。研究發(fā)現(xiàn),盡管在坦桑尼亞PPP項(xiàng)目的建設(shè)成本相對較高,但是住房部門和建設(shè)部門的專業(yè)人員卻對PPP有著非常高的熱情。他們對PPP都持有樂觀的態(tài)度,認(rèn)為PPP可以解決在當(dāng)前公私有房屋交付方式下房屋業(yè)主在融資、設(shè)計(jì)、建筑、運(yùn)營以及維修中所面臨的各種問題。然而,坦桑尼亞目前的政策以及經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo)并沒有為PPP的蓬勃發(fā)展提供一個(gè)非常合適的環(huán)境。貨幣指標(biāo)為高效的私人股份在SPV資本結(jié)構(gòu)中的占有率提供了有限的范...
【文章來源】：大連海事大學(xué)遼寧省 211工程院校
【文章頁數(shù)】：175 頁
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：博士
【文章目錄】：
摘要
ABSTRACT
Chapter 1:Introduction
1.1 Background
1.2 Past Government Efforts
1.3 Overview of the Past Government Efforts
1.4 Statement of the Research Problem
1.5 Research Objectives
1.6 Research Questions
1.7 Significance of the study
1.8 Research Methodology
1.8.1 Introduction
1.8.2 Research design
1.8.3 Literature Review
1.8.4 Case studies,Questionnaires and Interviews
1.8.5 Sample and Sampling Technique
1.8.8 Data Analysis Techniques
1.9 Organization of the study
Chapter 2:Literature Review
2.1 The Housing Concept
2.2 The Project Concept
2.3 Project Delivery Methods(PDMs)
2.4 Selecting Appropriate Projects Delivery Method
2.5 Main Issues in PDM Selection
2.5.1 Project Level Issues
2.5.2 Agency Level Issues
2.5.3 Public Policy/Regulatory Issues
2.5.4 Life-cycle Issues
2.5.5 Other Issues
2.6 Project Goals and Success Factors from Owner's Perspective
2.7 Legal Restrictions
2.8 Summary and Conclusion
2.9 Public-Private Partnerships(PPPs)
2.9.1 Overview
2.9.2 Meaning and Application
2.9.3 Historical Background of PPP
2.9.4 Advantages of PPPs- Owners' Perspective
2.9.5 Rationale for Privatization
2.9.6 Types of PPPs
2.9.7 Generic Structure for PPPs
2.9.8 Categories of Privately Financed PPP Projects
2.9.9 PPP Models
2.9.10 PPP Strategies
2.9.11 PPP Project Risks
2.9.12 Risk Allocation
2.9.13 Summary and Conclusion
Chapter 3:Tanzanian Housing Issues in Perspective
3.1 Overview
3.2 Actors in Shelter Delivery
3.2.1 The Public Sector
3.2.2 The Private Sector
3.3 Overview of the Market Conditions
3.3.1 Land market
3.3.2 The Real Estate Market
3.4 Summary and Conclusion
Chapter 4:Data Presentation and Analysis
4.1 Introduetion
4.2 Methodology
4.3 Selection of the Respondents
4.4 The Goodness of Fit Test
4.5 Descriptive analysis
4.6 Regression Model
4.6.1 Introduction
4.6.2 Dependent and Independent Variables
4.6.3 Regression Analysis for Private Housing
4.6.4 Regression Analysis for Public Housing
4.6.5 Conclusion
Chapter 5:AHP-LP Approach and Modeling
5.1 The Basics of AHP Approach
5.2 Consistent Versus Inconsistent Judgments
5.3 Weighted Matrix versus AHP
5.4 Subjective Method for Assigning Weights
5.4.1 Delphi Method
5.4.2 Rank Order Centroid(ROC)
5.4.3 Ratio Method
5.4.4 Pair-Wise Comparison
5.5 Evaluating Performance Factors for Housing Projects Using AHP Approach
5.5.1 Overall Housing Project Delivery and Management Goals (Level 1)
5.5.2 Analytical Processing of Level 2 Factors
5.5.3 Analytical Processing of Level 3 Factors
5.5.4 Analytical Processing of Level 4 Factors
5.5.5 Synthesis
5.5.6 Summary
5.6 Linear Programming Approach
5.6.1 The AHP-LP Model for Housing Projects Planning
5.6.2 The Linear Programming (LP) Model Formulation
5.6.3 Linear Programming of the Housing Projects
5.6.4 Solution and Implications
5.7 Summary and Conclusion of AHP-LP Model
Chapter 6:Capital Structure Optimization Model
6.1 Introduction
6.2 Milestones for the Model
6.3 Capital Structure for Special Purpose Vehicles (SPV)
6.3.1 Demand Function of SPV
6.3.2 Supply Function of the SPV
6.3.3 Discount Rates
6.4 Determination of the Efficient Interval for SPV financing
6.5 Sensitivity Analysis-Monetary Discount Rates
6.6 Conclusions
Chapter 7:Testing the Yantai model in the City of Dar es Salaam
7.1 Introduction to the city of Yantai
7.2 Overview of Tongshen Redevelopment Project
7.3 Yantai's Success as part of China's Housing Miracles
7.4 The Factors for China's Success in the Housing Sector
7.5 Introduction to the City of Dar Es Salaam
7.6 Housing Conditions in Dar es Salaam
7.7 Application of Yantai Model in Dar es Salaam Projects
7.8 Lessons to the City of Dar es Salaam
7.8.1 Participation of All Stakeholders is Essential
7.8.2 The Government Should Play Its Roles Properly
7.8.3 PPPs Can Do Miracles in the City
7.9 Conclusion
Chapter 8:Conclusions and Recommendations
8.1 Introduction
8.2 General Conclusion
8.3 Implications for Policy and Planning
8.4 The Need for Adjustments
8.5 Contributions of the Research
8.5.1 Development of the Housing Delivery and Management Model
8.5.2 Stirring the Debate on PPP Applications in the Housing Sector
8.6 Challenges and Limitations of the Study
8.7 Recommendations for Future Research
Reference
Appendices
Papers Published By The Author
Acknowledgement
中文摘要
【參考文獻(xiàn)】：
期刊論文
[1]MAKING AND VALIDATING COMPLEX DECISIONS WITH THE AHP/ANP[J]. Thomas L. SAATY. Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering. 2005(01)
[2]DECISION MAKING - THE ANALYTIC HIERARCHY AND NETWORK PROCESSES （AHP/ANP）[J]. Thomas L.SAATY. Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering. 2004(01)
本文編號(hào)：3516497
【文章來源】：大連海事大學(xué)遼寧省 211工程院校
【文章頁數(shù)】：175 頁
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：博士
【文章目錄】：
摘要
ABSTRACT
Chapter 1:Introduction
1.1 Background
1.2 Past Government Efforts
1.3 Overview of the Past Government Efforts
1.4 Statement of the Research Problem
1.5 Research Objectives
1.6 Research Questions
1.7 Significance of the study
1.8 Research Methodology
1.8.1 Introduction
1.8.2 Research design
1.8.3 Literature Review
1.8.4 Case studies,Questionnaires and Interviews
1.8.5 Sample and Sampling Technique
1.8.8 Data Analysis Techniques
1.9 Organization of the study
Chapter 2:Literature Review
2.1 The Housing Concept
2.2 The Project Concept
2.3 Project Delivery Methods(PDMs)
2.4 Selecting Appropriate Projects Delivery Method
2.5 Main Issues in PDM Selection
2.5.1 Project Level Issues
2.5.2 Agency Level Issues
2.5.3 Public Policy/Regulatory Issues
2.5.4 Life-cycle Issues
2.5.5 Other Issues
2.6 Project Goals and Success Factors from Owner's Perspective
2.7 Legal Restrictions
2.8 Summary and Conclusion
2.9 Public-Private Partnerships(PPPs)
2.9.1 Overview
2.9.2 Meaning and Application
2.9.3 Historical Background of PPP
2.9.4 Advantages of PPPs- Owners' Perspective
2.9.5 Rationale for Privatization
2.9.6 Types of PPPs
2.9.7 Generic Structure for PPPs
2.9.8 Categories of Privately Financed PPP Projects
2.9.9 PPP Models
2.9.10 PPP Strategies
2.9.11 PPP Project Risks
2.9.12 Risk Allocation
2.9.13 Summary and Conclusion
Chapter 3:Tanzanian Housing Issues in Perspective
3.1 Overview
3.2 Actors in Shelter Delivery
3.2.1 The Public Sector
3.2.2 The Private Sector
3.3 Overview of the Market Conditions
3.3.1 Land market
3.3.2 The Real Estate Market
3.4 Summary and Conclusion
Chapter 4:Data Presentation and Analysis
4.1 Introduetion
4.2 Methodology
4.3 Selection of the Respondents
4.4 The Goodness of Fit Test
4.5 Descriptive analysis
4.6 Regression Model
4.6.1 Introduction
4.6.2 Dependent and Independent Variables
4.6.3 Regression Analysis for Private Housing
4.6.4 Regression Analysis for Public Housing
4.6.5 Conclusion
Chapter 5:AHP-LP Approach and Modeling
5.1 The Basics of AHP Approach
5.2 Consistent Versus Inconsistent Judgments
5.3 Weighted Matrix versus AHP
5.4 Subjective Method for Assigning Weights
5.4.1 Delphi Method
5.4.2 Rank Order Centroid(ROC)
5.4.3 Ratio Method
5.4.4 Pair-Wise Comparison
5.5 Evaluating Performance Factors for Housing Projects Using AHP Approach
5.5.1 Overall Housing Project Delivery and Management Goals (Level 1)
5.5.2 Analytical Processing of Level 2 Factors
5.5.3 Analytical Processing of Level 3 Factors
5.5.4 Analytical Processing of Level 4 Factors
5.5.5 Synthesis
5.5.6 Summary
5.6 Linear Programming Approach
5.6.1 The AHP-LP Model for Housing Projects Planning
5.6.2 The Linear Programming (LP) Model Formulation
5.6.3 Linear Programming of the Housing Projects
5.6.4 Solution and Implications
5.7 Summary and Conclusion of AHP-LP Model
Chapter 6:Capital Structure Optimization Model
6.1 Introduction
6.2 Milestones for the Model
6.3 Capital Structure for Special Purpose Vehicles (SPV)
6.3.1 Demand Function of SPV
6.3.2 Supply Function of the SPV
6.3.3 Discount Rates
6.4 Determination of the Efficient Interval for SPV financing
6.5 Sensitivity Analysis-Monetary Discount Rates
6.6 Conclusions
Chapter 7:Testing the Yantai model in the City of Dar es Salaam
7.1 Introduction to the city of Yantai
7.2 Overview of Tongshen Redevelopment Project
7.3 Yantai's Success as part of China's Housing Miracles
7.4 The Factors for China's Success in the Housing Sector
7.5 Introduction to the City of Dar Es Salaam
7.6 Housing Conditions in Dar es Salaam
7.7 Application of Yantai Model in Dar es Salaam Projects
7.8 Lessons to the City of Dar es Salaam
7.8.1 Participation of All Stakeholders is Essential
7.8.2 The Government Should Play Its Roles Properly
7.8.3 PPPs Can Do Miracles in the City
7.9 Conclusion
Chapter 8:Conclusions and Recommendations
8.1 Introduction
8.2 General Conclusion
8.3 Implications for Policy and Planning
8.4 The Need for Adjustments
8.5 Contributions of the Research
8.5.1 Development of the Housing Delivery and Management Model
8.5.2 Stirring the Debate on PPP Applications in the Housing Sector
8.6 Challenges and Limitations of the Study
8.7 Recommendations for Future Research
Reference
Appendices
Papers Published By The Author
Acknowledgement
中文摘要
【參考文獻(xiàn)】：
期刊論文
[1]MAKING AND VALIDATING COMPLEX DECISIONS WITH THE AHP/ANP[J]. Thomas L. SAATY. Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering. 2005(01)
[2]DECISION MAKING - THE ANALYTIC HIERARCHY AND NETWORK PROCESSES （AHP/ANP）[J]. Thomas L.SAATY. Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering. 2004(01)
本文編號(hào)：3516497
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