本文選題：保稅區(qū) + 載體城市經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)��； 參考：《統(tǒng)計(jì)與決策》2016年18期

【摘要】：文章基于VECM模型,以寧波保稅區(qū)域?yàn)槔?檢驗(yàn)了保稅區(qū)的出口加工值、進(jìn)出口總額、海關(guān)特殊監(jiān)管區(qū)域物流貨物三大變量對(duì)載體城市經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響。通過對(duì)各個(gè)變量的協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)、脈沖響應(yīng)函數(shù)和方差分解分析,結(jié)果表明:1995—2015年,寧波保稅區(qū)域發(fā)展與寧波市GDP經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間存在較顯著的長(zhǎng)期均衡關(guān)系,其出口加工值、進(jìn)出口總額、海關(guān)特殊監(jiān)管區(qū)域物流貨物對(duì)載體城市GDP增長(zhǎng)貢獻(xiàn)的正向效應(yīng)顯著,滯后短期內(nèi)其遞增速度加快,達(dá)到峰值后其貢獻(xiàn)度減緩,之后其貢獻(xiàn)力度逐步長(zhǎng)期趨于平穩(wěn)。
[Abstract]:Based on the VECM model and taking Ningbo bonded area as an example, this paper examines the effects of export processing value, total import and export volume and logistics goods of special customs supervision area on the economic growth of carrier cities. Through cointegration test of various variables, impulse response function and variance decomposition analysis, the results show that there is a significant long-term equilibrium relationship between Ningbo bonded area development and Ningbo GDP economic growth from 1995 to 2015, and its export processing value. The total import and export volume, the positive effect of regional logistics goods under special customs supervision on the GDP growth of carrier cities is significant, and the increasing speed of logistics goods is accelerating in a short period of time, and the contribution degree is slowing down after reaching the peak value, and then the contribution force gradually tends to steady for a long time.
【作者單位】： 中南大學(xué)商學(xué)院;浙江金融職業(yè)學(xué)院;
【基金】：浙江省哲學(xué)社會(huì)科學(xué)基金資助項(xiàng)目(310CGYD98YBM)
【分類號(hào)】：F299.27

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本文編號(hào)：2104985