基于DEA方法的大慶油田生產(chǎn)效率評價研究
發(fā)布時間:2018-04-29 20:17
本文選題:大慶油田 + 生產(chǎn)效率; 參考:《遼寧大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文
【摘要】:大慶油田作為我國最大的石油生產(chǎn)基地,在我國經(jīng)濟社會發(fā)展中占據(jù)著不可替代的戰(zhàn)略地位,它的原油產(chǎn)量曾經(jīng)達(dá)到了我國同時期內(nèi)陸上油田產(chǎn)量的47%以上,很好的保障了我國石油的安全供給量。然而,在經(jīng)歷了幾十年的開采后,油田的發(fā)展受到了地質(zhì)因素、技術(shù)、經(jīng)營管理以及長期油量供應(yīng)等方面的限制,使得大慶油田進入了面臨嚴(yán)峻挑戰(zhàn)的減產(chǎn)階段。由于大慶油田的原油生產(chǎn)量在全國原油產(chǎn)量中所占比重較大,其是否能夠更好、更有效的進行生產(chǎn)在一定程度上影響著我國能源的安全與經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展。而了解大慶油田的生產(chǎn)效率便能夠更好的發(fā)現(xiàn)并解決其目前存在的問題,這也使得大慶油田生產(chǎn)效率的評價將具有重要現(xiàn)實意義。本文主要依據(jù)數(shù)據(jù)包絡(luò)分析現(xiàn)有理論的基礎(chǔ)上,結(jié)合油田當(dāng)前客觀情況,選取投入產(chǎn)出指標(biāo),構(gòu)造相應(yīng)數(shù)學(xué)模型,綜合評價大慶油田生產(chǎn)效率情況,對大慶油田目前所面臨的問題進行了分析。并選取行業(yè)同類型單位進行比較分析,以期找出存在的優(yōu)勢與不足,為決策者在決策過程中提供參考根據(jù),并為未來油田生產(chǎn)的科學(xué)發(fā)展提供檢驗與評價。本文首先應(yīng)用傳統(tǒng)模型求得各油田在所研究年份中的效率值,將大慶油田的效率值與其他油田的效率值進行橫向比較;其次運用DEA-Malmquist指數(shù)法得到各油田的全要素生產(chǎn)率變動指數(shù)及其分解,縱向比較大慶油田各年間的生產(chǎn)效率變動,與其他油田進行對比,并對全要素生產(chǎn)率變動指數(shù)進行收斂性檢驗,發(fā)現(xiàn)評價系統(tǒng)內(nèi)的整體變化趨勢;最后,對油田生產(chǎn)效率的影響因素進行分析總結(jié),根據(jù)實際情況對大慶油田的均衡可持續(xù)發(fā)展提出建議。研究結(jié)果顯示,大慶油田在評價系統(tǒng)內(nèi)始終保持著較高的生產(chǎn)效率水平,處于領(lǐng)先地位。然而,通過動態(tài)分析可知,大慶油田的全要素生產(chǎn)率變動指數(shù)的均值小于1,在所研究年份中效率有所下降,且油田原油生產(chǎn)效率受到技術(shù)變動的影響明顯。經(jīng)過收斂性檢驗可發(fā)現(xiàn),效率評價系統(tǒng)內(nèi)存在明收斂現(xiàn)象。
[Abstract]:As the largest oil production base in China, Daqing Oilfield occupies an irreplaceable strategic position in the economic and social development of our country. Its crude oil output has reached more than 47% of the onshore oil production in the same period of our country. A very good guarantee of China's oil supply safety. However, after decades of exploitation, the development of the oil field is restricted by geological factors, technology, management and long-term oil supply, which makes Daqing Oilfield enter the stage of production reduction which is facing severe challenges. Because the crude oil production of Daqing oil field accounts for a large proportion of the national crude oil production, whether it can be better or not, more effective production will affect the energy security and economic development in China to a certain extent. Understanding the production efficiency of Daqing Oilfield can better find out and solve the existing problems, which also makes the evaluation of Daqing Oilfield production efficiency will have important practical significance. Based on the existing theory of data envelopment analysis and combined with the objective situation of oil field, this paper selects the input-output index, constructs the corresponding mathematical model, and synthetically evaluates the production efficiency of Daqing Oilfield. The problems faced by Daqing Oilfield are analyzed. In order to find out the advantages and disadvantages of the same types of units in the industry, to provide reference for the decision makers in the decision-making process, and to provide testing and evaluation for the scientific development of oilfield production in the future. In this paper, the conventional model is first used to calculate the efficiency values of each oilfield in the years studied, and the efficiency values of Daqing oilfield are compared horizontally with those of other oilfields. Secondly, the total factor productivity change index and its decomposition of each oilfield are obtained by using DEA-Malmquist index method, and the production efficiency changes of Daqing oilfield in each year are compared longitudinally, and compared with other oilfields. The convergence test of the total factor productivity change index is carried out to find the overall change trend in the evaluation system. Finally, the factors affecting the production efficiency of the oilfield are analyzed and summarized. According to the actual situation, some suggestions are put forward for the balanced and sustainable development of Daqing Oilfield. The results show that Daqing Oilfield always maintains a high production efficiency level and is in the leading position in the evaluation system. However, through dynamic analysis, it can be seen that the average value of total factor productivity change index of Daqing oilfield is less than 1, and the efficiency of oil production is decreased in the year under study, and the oil production efficiency is obviously affected by technical changes. Through the convergence test, it can be found that there is a clear convergence phenomenon in the efficiency evaluation system.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:遼寧大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2015
【分類號】:F426.22;F224
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1 溫秀晶;基于面板數(shù)據(jù)DEA方法的能源利用效率與能源企業(yè)效率分析[D];內(nèi)蒙古大學(xué);2010年
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