【摘要】：改革開(kāi)放以來(lái)，服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展已成為中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的重要引擎。中國(guó)《2011年政府工作報(bào)告》中指出要加快發(fā)展生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)，積極發(fā)展生活性服務(wù)業(yè)。這表明政府已對(duì)中國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)提出了更高的要求。而目前國(guó)內(nèi)外關(guān)于服務(wù)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)的影響因素研究一般僅針對(duì)國(guó)內(nèi)因素進(jìn)行分析，較少涉及國(guó)際環(huán)境，而開(kāi)放是中國(guó)一直以來(lái)堅(jiān)持的基本國(guó)策，也是中國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的重要推動(dòng)力量。基于此，本文在當(dāng)前全球經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化背景下研究經(jīng)濟(jì)開(kāi)放對(duì)服務(wù)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的影響，目的在于探索經(jīng)濟(jì)開(kāi)放下中國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)新路徑。在梳理國(guó)內(nèi)外關(guān)于服務(wù)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)、經(jīng)濟(jì)開(kāi)放、經(jīng)濟(jì)開(kāi)放與服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展等相關(guān)研究成果的基礎(chǔ)上，從服務(wù)貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)、需求結(jié)構(gòu)、供給結(jié)構(gòu)三個(gè)視角構(gòu)建經(jīng)濟(jì)開(kāi)放對(duì)服務(wù)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)影響的作用機(jī)制。在機(jī)制分析的基礎(chǔ)上通過(guò)建立實(shí)證模型并采1990-2009年間的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)，運(yùn)用相關(guān)分析和回歸分析，從經(jīng)濟(jì)開(kāi)放的兩個(gè)方面（貿(mào)易開(kāi)放和投資開(kāi)放）入手，分別驗(yàn)證貿(mào)易開(kāi)放和投資開(kāi)放對(duì)服務(wù)業(yè)內(nèi)部四個(gè)方面（流通服務(wù)業(yè)、生產(chǎn)服務(wù)業(yè)、消費(fèi)服務(wù)業(yè)和社會(huì)服務(wù)業(yè)）比重的影響。 通過(guò)實(shí)證發(fā)現(xiàn)：（1）貿(mào)易開(kāi)放度的提高會(huì)顯著降低流通服務(wù)業(yè)增加值占服務(wù)業(yè)的比重，提高社會(huì)服務(wù)業(yè)比重，但是對(duì)生產(chǎn)服務(wù)業(yè)和消費(fèi)服務(wù)業(yè)比重的影響不顯著。（2）投資開(kāi)放度的提高會(huì)顯著提高流通服務(wù)業(yè)和消費(fèi)服務(wù)業(yè)的比重，顯著降低社會(huì)服務(wù)業(yè)的比重，而對(duì)生產(chǎn)服務(wù)業(yè)比重影響不顯著。從而發(fā)現(xiàn)，投資開(kāi)放度的提高對(duì)中國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)有一定的優(yōu)化作用，而貿(mào)易開(kāi)放則還沒(méi)有發(fā)揮其對(duì)服務(wù)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化作用。進(jìn)而本文從服務(wù)貿(mào)易競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力，，中間需求動(dòng)力、最終需求動(dòng)力、投入結(jié)構(gòu)四個(gè)方面進(jìn)行原因分析。結(jié)合理論作用機(jī)制、實(shí)證結(jié)果和原因分析，提出優(yōu)化中國(guó)服務(wù)結(jié)構(gòu)的對(duì)策建議：進(jìn)一步加大服務(wù)業(yè)投資開(kāi)放力度，提升服務(wù)貿(mào)易競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力，加快制造業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)，完善收入分配制度。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, the development of service industry has become an important engine of China's economic growth. China's 2011 government work report points out that it is necessary to speed up the development of producer services and actively develop bioactive services. This shows that the government has put forward higher requirements for China's service sector structure. At present, the domestic and foreign studies on the influencing factors of structural changes in the service industry are generally based on the analysis of domestic factors, and rarely involve the international environment. However, opening up is the basic national policy that China has been adhering to all along. It is also an important driving force for the upgrading of China's service industry structure. Based on this, this paper studies the impact of economic opening on the structure of service industry under the background of global economic integration, in order to explore a new way to upgrade the structure of China's service industry under the background of economic opening. On the basis of combing the domestic and foreign research achievements on structural change of service industry, economic opening and development of service industry, this paper discusses the structure of trade in services and the structure of demand. The three perspectives of supply structure are to construct the mechanism of the influence of economic opening on the structure of service industry. On the basis of mechanism analysis, through the establishment of empirical model and relevant data from 1990 to 2009, using correlation analysis and regression analysis, starting from two aspects of economic opening (trade opening and investment opening), The effects of trade opening and investment opening on the proportion of four aspects (circulation service, production service, consumer service and social service) in service industry are tested respectively. The empirical results show that: (1) the increase of trade openness will significantly reduce the proportion of value added of circulation services to services and increase the proportion of social services. However, the impact on the proportion of production and consumer services is not significant. (2) the increase in investment openness will significantly increase the proportion of circulation and consumer services, and significantly reduce the proportion of social services. However, the influence on the proportion of production and service industry is not significant. It is found that the improvement of investment openness has a certain effect on the structure of China's service industry, while the opening of trade has not yet played a role in optimizing the structure of the service industry. Then this paper analyzes the reasons from four aspects: the competitiveness of service trade, the intermediate demand power, the final demand power, and the input structure. Combined with the theoretical mechanism, empirical results and reasons analysis, this paper puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions to optimize China's service structure: further increase the service industry investment openness, enhance the competitiveness of service trade, and speed up the upgrading of the manufacturing industry structure. We will improve the income distribution system.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：寧波大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號(hào)】：F719

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