發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-08-03 06:44

【摘要】：隨著海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展示范區(qū)和舟山群島新區(qū)建設(shè)上升為國家戰(zhàn)略，海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)已成為浙江省戰(zhàn)略意義增長點(diǎn)。海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)的轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)將為生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)提供廣泛的需求空間，而生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)也能為海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)提供強(qiáng)大的發(fā)展動(dòng)力。因此，在浙江省建設(shè)海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)強(qiáng)省的背景下，研究海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)與生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)互動(dòng)發(fā)展具有一定的時(shí)代意義和新穎性。 本文研究思路如下：(1)基于分工、價(jià)值鏈、共生以及競爭力等視角，論述了海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)與生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)互動(dòng)發(fā)展機(jī)理，構(gòu)建了互動(dòng)發(fā)展模型；(2)利用Granger因果檢驗(yàn)分析法和灰色關(guān)聯(lián)系數(shù)法，，探討了浙江省海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)與生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)的因果互動(dòng)關(guān)系以及關(guān)系密切程度。同時(shí)，基于浙江省海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)與生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展歷程以及互動(dòng)發(fā)展關(guān)系，從海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展三階段出發(fā)，揭示了海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)與生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)互動(dòng)發(fā)展規(guī)律；(3)構(gòu)建浙江省海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)PKNN時(shí)間序列預(yù)測模型和生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)GM(1,1)灰色預(yù)測模型，對(duì)海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)和生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展水平進(jìn)行預(yù)測，并利用彈性分析判斷海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)與生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)互動(dòng)發(fā)展趨勢；(4)基于良性互動(dòng)發(fā)展原則，針對(duì)海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)與生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)互動(dòng)發(fā)展趨勢與障礙，提出了浙江省在海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)強(qiáng)省建設(shè)背景下海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)與生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)互動(dòng)發(fā)展對(duì)策。 研究表明，浙江省現(xiàn)階段海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)與生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)還處于較低層次的互動(dòng)發(fā)展階段，海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)的拉動(dòng)作用還不明顯，商務(wù)服務(wù)業(yè)、信息服務(wù)業(yè)、金融服務(wù)業(yè)與海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)的關(guān)聯(lián)較不密切，對(duì)海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)的影響作用不大。浙江省亟需就海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)與生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)互動(dòng)發(fā)展展開一系列的發(fā)展對(duì)策研究，才能日益增強(qiáng)海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)的需求，日漸凸顯生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)對(duì)海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)的支撐作用，從而提高海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)與生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)的持續(xù)競爭力。 本研究將有助于推動(dòng)國內(nèi)外海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)與生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)互動(dòng)發(fā)展研究的深化和細(xì)化，為學(xué)術(shù)界在今后對(duì)這一問題的研究和探討打下有利基礎(chǔ)，為政府有關(guān)部門進(jìn)行科學(xué)決策提供借鑒。
[Abstract]:With the development of marine economy and the construction of Zhoushan archipelago's new area, the marine economy has become the strategic growth point of Zhejiang Province. The transformation and upgrading of marine industry will provide a wide range of demand space for producer services, and producer services can also provide a strong driving force for the development of marine industry. Therefore, under the background of constructing a strong province of marine economy in Zhejiang Province, it is of great significance and novelty to study the interactive development of marine industry and producer service industry. The research ideas of this paper are as follows: (1) based on the perspectives of division of labor, value chain, symbiosis and competitiveness, this paper discusses the interactive development mechanism of marine industry and producer services, and constructs an interactive development model; (2) using Granger causality test method and grey correlation coefficient method, the relationship between marine industry and producer service industry in Zhejiang Province is discussed. At the same time, based on the development process and interactive development relationship between marine industry and producer service industry in Zhejiang Province, the law of interactive development between marine industry and producer service industry is revealed from the three stages of marine economic development. (3) constructing the forecasting model of PKNN time series of marine industry in Zhejiang Province and GM (1 / 1) grey forecasting model of producer service industry, and forecasting the development level of marine industry and producer service industry. The interactive development trend of marine industry and producer service industry is judged by elastic analysis. (4) based on the principle of benign interactive development, the interactive development trend and obstacles between marine industry and producer service industry are pointed out. The interactive development countermeasures between marine industry and producer service industry in Zhejiang Province are put forward under the background of building a strong marine economy province. The research shows that the marine industry and producer service industry in Zhejiang Province are still in a low level of interactive development stage, the role of marine industry to producer services is not obvious, business service industry, information service industry, The relationship between financial service industry and marine industry is not close, and it has little effect on marine industry. In order to strengthen the demand of marine industry for producer service industry, Zhejiang Province needs to carry out a series of development countermeasures on the interactive development of marine industry and producer service industry, so as to highlight the supporting role of producer service industry to marine industry. In order to improve the marine industry and producer services sustainable competitiveness. This study will help to deepen and refine the research on the interactive development of marine industry and producer services at home and abroad, and lay a favorable foundation for the future research and discussion of this issue in academic circles. For the relevant government departments to provide reference for scientific decision-making.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：浙江理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號(hào)】：F719;P74

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