韓中服務(wù)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易影響因素研究
本文選題:服務(wù)貿(mào)易 + 產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易; 參考:《湖南大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文
【摘要】:隨著經(jīng)濟全球化進程的加快,國際貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)正逐步向服務(wù)貿(mào)易傾斜,國際服務(wù)貿(mào)易正以不可阻擋的趨勢向前發(fā)展,其速度已經(jīng)超過了貨物貿(mào)易。韓國是新興的工業(yè)化國家,中國是世界上最大的發(fā)展中國家,兩國間貿(mào)易聯(lián)系緊密,尤其是90年代以來,隨著兩國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平的提高和直接投資的增長,產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易已經(jīng)成為兩國貿(mào)易的重要組成部分。研究韓中服務(wù)業(yè)的產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易狀況及其影響因素,對促進發(fā)展韓中經(jīng)貿(mào)關(guān)系、提升韓中兩國經(jīng)濟結(jié)構(gòu)和資源利用效率、尤其是對維持兩國經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易的可持續(xù)增長具有重要的現(xiàn)實意義。 本文以國際貿(mào)易理論及產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易理論為基礎(chǔ),以理論分析和實證分析相結(jié)合的方法對韓中服務(wù)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易進行定量和定性分析,探討韓中服務(wù)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易的影響因素。首先,將關(guān)于產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易的文獻資料進行歸納總結(jié),其次,通過G-L指數(shù)和MIIT指數(shù)分別從靜態(tài)和動態(tài)測算近年來韓中服務(wù)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易指數(shù),并得出結(jié)論:韓國和中國服務(wù)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易發(fā)水平處于中等狀態(tài)且在小幅度不斷波動之中。其中,運輸、旅游和通訊服務(wù)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易發(fā)展水平較高,保險服務(wù)行業(yè)和政府服務(wù)業(yè)的產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易水平波動變化較大,其他行業(yè)的產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易水平較低。然后,分析了韓中服務(wù)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易的影響因素,為下文的實證研究打下基礎(chǔ);再次,建立模型計量分析,得出實證結(jié)果,,從實證角度證明影響韓中服務(wù)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易的主要因素。 實證結(jié)果表明:人均收入水平差異和對外經(jīng)濟開放程度是影響中國與韓國之間的服務(wù)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易最顯著的因素。人均收入水平差異對服務(wù)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易有負的影響,對外經(jīng)濟開放程度對產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易水平有正向的影響。但是,由于模型存在一定的缺陷,所以造成了包括外商直接投資、規(guī)模經(jīng)濟水平、貿(mào)易不平衡水平等在內(nèi)的解釋變量的系數(shù)不顯著。但是,這并不能說明這些變量對于韓中服務(wù)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易是沒有影響的,任然需要引起足夠的重視。 最后,綜合實證研究的結(jié)果,提出相關(guān)的政策建議。
[Abstract]:With the acceleration of the process of economic globalization, the international trade structure is gradually tilting towards the service trade, and the international trade in services is developing with an irresistible trend, whose speed has exceeded that of the trade in goods. South Korea is a newly industrialized country, and China is the largest developing country in the world. Trade ties between the two countries are close, especially since the 1990s, with the improvement of the level of economic development and the growth of direct investment between the two countries. Intra-industry trade has become an important part of trade between the two countries. To study the intra-industry trade situation and its influencing factors of service industry in Korea and China, to promote the development of economic and trade relations between Korea and China, and to promote the economic structure and resource utilization efficiency of South Korea and China. In particular, it is of great practical significance to maintain the sustainable growth of economic and trade between the two countries. Based on the theory of international trade and the theory of intra-industry trade, this paper makes a quantitative and qualitative analysis of intra-industry trade in service industry between Korea and China by the combination of theoretical analysis and empirical analysis, and probes into the influencing factors of intra-industry trade in service industry between South Korea and China. First of all, the literature on intra-industry trade is summarized. Secondly, through G-L index and MIIT index, the index of intra-industry trade in service industry between Korea and China in recent years is calculated from static and dynamic aspects, respectively. It is concluded that the level of intra-industry trade between South Korea and China is in a medium state and fluctuates continuously by a small margin. Among them, the level of intra-industry trade in transport, tourism and communication services is relatively high, the level of intra-industry trade in insurance services and government services fluctuates greatly, and the level of intra-industry trade in other industries is relatively low. Then, it analyzes the influential factors of intra-industry trade in service industry between South Korea and China, which lays the foundation for the empirical research below. Thirdly, the econometric model is established, and the empirical results are obtained. From the empirical point of view, the main factors that affect intra-industry trade between Korea and China are proved. The empirical results show that the difference of per capita income and the degree of foreign economic opening are the most significant factors affecting the intra-industry trade between China and South Korea. The level of per capita income has a negative impact on intra-industry trade in services, and the degree of foreign economic opening has a positive impact on the level of intra-industry trade. However, due to some defects in the model, the coefficients of the explanatory variables, including FDI, scale economy level and trade imbalance level, are not significant. However, this does not mean that these variables have no effect on intra-industry trade between South Korea and China. Finally, synthesizing the results of empirical research, put forward the relevant policy recommendations.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:湖南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2012
【分類號】:F719;F224
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