本文選題：服務(wù)貿(mào)易 + 服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)��； 參考：《湖南大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文

【摘要】：當(dāng)今世界，服務(wù)貿(mào)易蓬勃發(fā)展，服務(wù)業(yè)逐漸替代工、農(nóng)業(yè)成為吸收勞動(dòng)力就業(yè)的支柱產(chǎn)業(yè)，在許多發(fā)達(dá)國家，服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)占全部就業(yè)的比重接近80%，而中國到2010年為止，這一比重僅為34.6%，與發(fā)達(dá)國家存在巨大的差距。我國服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)在經(jīng)歷高速增長之后，近年來對(duì)就業(yè)的吸納能力有所下降，如果服務(wù)業(yè)不能形成新的服務(wù)需求，那么服務(wù)業(yè)進(jìn)一步擴(kuò)大就業(yè)的能力將會(huì)受到限制。基于此現(xiàn)狀，本文分別從理論和實(shí)證的角度對(duì)我國服務(wù)貿(mào)易的就業(yè)效應(yīng)進(jìn)行了分析。 本文基于傳統(tǒng)國際貿(mào)易理論和生產(chǎn)函數(shù)分別對(duì)我國服務(wù)貿(mào)易就業(yè)效應(yīng)進(jìn)行了基礎(chǔ)理論分析，在此基礎(chǔ)上，對(duì)服務(wù)貿(mào)易就業(yè)效應(yīng)的機(jī)理進(jìn)行了初步探析，結(jié)果表明：服務(wù)貿(mào)易出口有利于擴(kuò)大我國服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)；服務(wù)貿(mào)易進(jìn)口對(duì)我國服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)的影響存在不確定性，需要經(jīng)過實(shí)證分析進(jìn)行進(jìn)一步論證；服務(wù)貿(mào)易對(duì)服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)既存在直接效應(yīng)也存在間接效應(yīng)。 我國服務(wù)貿(mào)易以及服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)的現(xiàn)狀描述顯示，服務(wù)貿(mào)易與我國服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)總體變化趨勢是一樣的，都基本呈現(xiàn)穩(wěn)步增長的趨勢，但服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)的增長速度遠(yuǎn)低于服務(wù)貿(mào)易的增長速度；二者的行業(yè)分布存在一定相似性，都是以傳統(tǒng)勞動(dòng)密集型服務(wù)業(yè)為主，現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)比重逐步提升；服務(wù)貿(mào)易和服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)的主要比重都集中在東部地區(qū)，且服務(wù)貿(mào)易的地區(qū)差異更加大。 接下來，利用省際面板數(shù)據(jù)對(duì)我國服務(wù)貿(mào)易就業(yè)效應(yīng)進(jìn)行了FGLS估計(jì)，，結(jié)論如下：服務(wù)貿(mào)易出口對(duì)我國服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)具有促進(jìn)作用，且該作用大小存在地區(qū)差異，西部地區(qū)促進(jìn)作用最為明顯，東部地區(qū)次之，中部地區(qū)呈現(xiàn)反作用；服務(wù)貿(mào)易進(jìn)口的就業(yè)效應(yīng)為負(fù)，并且服務(wù)貿(mào)易越發(fā)達(dá)的地區(qū)，負(fù)作用就越小。 根據(jù)前文各部分分析所得出的結(jié)論，提出相對(duì)應(yīng)的政策建議：加強(qiáng)服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)的發(fā)展基礎(chǔ)；充分發(fā)揮服務(wù)貿(mào)易對(duì)服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)的帶動(dòng)效應(yīng)。
[Abstract]:In today's world, trade in services is booming, service industries are gradually replacing workers, and agriculture has become a pillar industry in absorbing labor force employment. In many developed countries, the proportion of service employment in total employment is close to 80%, while in China until 2010, the proportion of service employment in total employment is close to 80%. This proportion is only 34. 6%, and there is a huge gap with the developed countries. After the rapid growth of employment in China's service industry, the absorptive capacity of employment has declined in recent years. If the service industry can not form new service demand, the ability of service industry to further expand employment will be restricted. Based on the present situation, this paper analyzes the employment effect of China's service trade from both theoretical and empirical perspectives. Based on the traditional international trade theory and production function, this paper makes a theoretical analysis of the employment effect of China's service trade. On this basis, the mechanism of employment effect of service trade is preliminarily analyzed. The results show that the export of service trade is beneficial to the expansion of service employment in China, and the influence of service trade import on employment in service industry is uncertain. The service trade has both direct and indirect effects on the employment of service industry. The service trade is the same as our country service industry employment overall change trend, both basically present the steady growth trend, but the service industry employment growth speed is far lower than the service trade growth speed, the two industry distribution has the certain similarity, They are mainly traditional labor-intensive services, and the proportion of modern services is gradually increasing. The major proportions of service trade and service employment are concentrated in the eastern region, and the regional differences in service trade are even greater. Next, The FGLS estimation of employment effect of China's service trade is made by using inter-provincial panel data. The conclusions are as follows: the export of service trade can promote the employment of service industry in China, and there are regional differences in this effect. The promotion effect in the western region is the most obvious, followed by the eastern region and the central region. The employment effect of the import of service trade is negative, and the more developed the service trade is, According to the conclusions of the above analysis, the corresponding policy suggestions are put forward: strengthening the development foundation of service employment and giving full play to the driving effect of service trade on service employment.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：湖南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號(hào)】：F752.68;F719;F249.21

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 朱啟榮;孟凡艷;;中國加工貿(mào)易就業(yè)效應(yīng)的實(shí)證分析[J];商業(yè)研究;2007年10期

2 周申;廖偉兵;;服務(wù)貿(mào)易對(duì)我國就業(yè)影響的經(jīng)驗(yàn)研究[J];財(cái)貿(mào)經(jīng)濟(jì);2006年11期

3 胡昭玲;劉旭;;中國工業(yè)品貿(mào)易的就業(yè)效應(yīng)——基于32個(gè)行業(yè)面板數(shù)據(jù)的實(shí)證分析[J];財(cái)貿(mào)經(jīng)濟(jì);2007年08期

4 程大中;;中國服務(wù)業(yè)存在“成本病”問題嗎?[J];財(cái)貿(mào)經(jīng)濟(jì);2008年12期

5 楊玉華;;工業(yè)品貿(mào)易對(duì)工業(yè)就業(yè)影響的實(shí)證分析[J];財(cái)貿(mào)研究;2006年06期

6 楊玉華;;我國服務(wù)貿(mào)易的發(fā)展及對(duì)就業(yè)影響的分析[J];價(jià)格月刊;2007年06期

7 朱玉贏;;旅游服務(wù)貿(mào)易對(duì)地方就業(yè)作用探討[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)研究導(dǎo)刊;2011年28期

8 陳昊;;中國對(duì)外貿(mào)易的就業(yè)效應(yīng)——基于匹配視角的省際證據(jù)[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)與管理研究;2011年10期

9 于洋;王敏;祝曉波;;對(duì)外貿(mào)易影響就業(yè)的實(shí)證分析[J];商業(yè)時(shí)代;2010年07期

10 馬敬桂;徐飛;;固定資產(chǎn)投資對(duì)我國三大產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)影響的變動(dòng)分析[J];特區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì);2010年01期

本文編號(hào)：2008097