本文選題：服務(wù)業(yè)國際轉(zhuǎn)移 + 中國服務(wù)業(yè)增長　； 參考：《南京大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文

【摘要】：1990年以來,國際產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移的主流領(lǐng)域從制造產(chǎn)業(yè)開始轉(zhuǎn)向服務(wù)產(chǎn)業(yè),國際服務(wù)業(yè)的產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移興起于發(fā)達(dá)國家之間市場貼近性的需要,而隨著通訊技術(shù)和發(fā)展中國家開放程度的提高,發(fā)達(dá)國家和發(fā)展中國家之間的服務(wù)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移成為一種新趨勢。服務(wù)業(yè)國際產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移的四種主要方式有：服務(wù)外商直接投資、服務(wù)外包、服務(wù)離岸以及非股權(quán)安排等,服務(wù)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移帶動著人力資源、技術(shù)管理等高級要素的流動,跨國公司在全球的視角下達(dá)到了資源的合理配置以及全球產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的調(diào)整和變遷。 中國不僅僅是承接全球制造業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移的大國,同樣也是服務(wù)業(yè)國際轉(zhuǎn)移的重要承接國。中國服務(wù)業(yè)在利用外資投資中的比重是在一個不斷增加的過程中,中國服務(wù)業(yè)在整個國民經(jīng)濟中的比重,占就業(yè)人口的比重也是呈現(xiàn)不斷上升的趨勢。 中國服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展符合全球發(fā)達(dá)國家經(jīng)濟發(fā)展過程中經(jīng)濟服務(wù)化的趨勢,但參考美國以及其他發(fā)達(dá)國家的歷史發(fā)展經(jīng)驗發(fā)現(xiàn),在服務(wù)業(yè)不斷上升的過程中都遭遇到生產(chǎn)率增長率急劇下降的影響,以致直接拖累了經(jīng)濟增長的步伐。這種現(xiàn)象由鮑莫爾定義為“服務(wù)業(yè)成本病”。“服務(wù)業(yè)成本病”的本質(zhì)是服務(wù)業(yè)部門勞動生產(chǎn)率的滯后性和服務(wù)價格的缺乏彈性�！胺⻊�(wù)業(yè)成本病”的發(fā)生可能是一個國家在經(jīng)濟服務(wù)化和國民經(jīng)濟不斷發(fā)展過程中的一個普遍的必然發(fā)生的現(xiàn)象。 那么,服務(wù)業(yè)國際轉(zhuǎn)移會不會導(dǎo)致中國服務(wù)業(yè)成本病的發(fā)生?服務(wù)業(yè)國際轉(zhuǎn)移究竟會對中國服務(wù)業(yè)產(chǎn)生怎樣的影響?這是本文試圖探討的兩大問題。 本文運用1995-2010年中國服務(wù)業(yè)的數(shù)據(jù)分析了由跨國公司主導(dǎo)的國際產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移的動態(tài)傳導(dǎo)機制,并通過拓展的鮑莫爾模型著重考察了在國際產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移沖擊下中國服務(wù)業(yè)增長的效率：中國服務(wù)業(yè)的勞動生產(chǎn)率的增長和滯后情況、服務(wù)業(yè)的就業(yè)比例與增長、服務(wù)業(yè)收入彈性和價格彈性的變化、服務(wù)業(yè)占國民經(jīng)濟比例比重的變化等。結(jié)論表明： 1.服務(wù)業(yè)國際轉(zhuǎn)移并不會導(dǎo)致中國服務(wù)業(yè)成本病的發(fā)生。 2.服務(wù)業(yè)國際轉(zhuǎn)移對中國服務(wù)業(yè)產(chǎn)生的影響具體表現(xiàn)在： (1)中國服務(wù)業(yè)勞動生產(chǎn)率的滯后程度開始收窄。 (2)中國服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)比例上升。 (3)中國服務(wù)業(yè)的收入彈性與價格彈性有變小的趨勢。 (4)長期來看,中國服務(wù)業(yè)占GDP的比重隨收入水平的提高而上升。
[Abstract]:Since 1990, the mainstream field of international industrial transfer has shifted from manufacturing industry to service industry. The industrial transfer of international service industry has arisen in the need of market closeness among developed countries.With the development of communication technology and the openness of developing countries, the transfer of service industries between developed and developing countries has become a new trend.The four main ways of international industrial transfer of service industry are: foreign direct investment in service, service outsourcing, offshore service and non-equity arrangement, etc. The transfer of service industry drives the flow of high-level elements such as human resources, technology management, etc.Multinational corporations in the global perspective of the rational allocation of resources and the adjustment and change of the global industrial structure.China is not only a large country undertaking global manufacturing transfer, but also an important recipient of international service transfer.The proportion of China's service industry in the utilization of foreign investment is in a process of increasing. The proportion of China's service industry in the whole national economy and the proportion of the employed population is also showing a rising trend.The development of China's service industry is in line with the trend of service-oriented economy in the process of economic development in developed countries around the world. However, referring to the historical development experience of the United States and other developed countries, it is found thatIn the process of rising service industries, the impact of a sharp decline in productivity growth has directly dragged down the pace of economic growth.This phenomenon is defined by Baumer as "service cost sickness."The essence of service cost disease is the lag of labor productivity and the inelasticity of service price.The occurrence of "service cost disease" may be a universal and inevitable phenomenon in the process of economic service and the continuous development of national economy.So, will the international transfer of service industry lead to the occurrence of cost disease in China's service industry?What kind of impact will international transfer of service industry have on Chinese service industry?These are two major problems this paper attempts to explore.This paper analyzes the dynamic transmission mechanism of international industrial transfer, which is dominated by multinational corporations, using Chinese service industry data from 1995 to 2010.And through the expanded Baumer model, the paper focuses on the efficiency of China's service industry growth under the impact of international industrial transfer: the growth and lag of labor productivity of China's service industry, the employment ratio and growth of the service industry.The change of income elasticity and price elasticity of service industry, the change of proportion of service industry to national economy and so on.The results show that:1.International transfer of service industry will not lead to the occurrence of cost disease in China's service industry.2.The impact of international transfer of service industry on Chinese service industry is as follows:The lag of labor productivity in China's service industry has begun to narrow.Employment in China's service sector rose.The income elasticity and price elasticity of China's service industry tend to decrease.In the long run, the share of China's service industry in GDP rises with rising income levels.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：南京大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：F719

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