發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-12-09 10:56

【摘要】：在全國(guó)土地市場(chǎng)不斷發(fā)展，市場(chǎng)制度進(jìn)一步完善的大背景下，重慶土地市場(chǎng)也進(jìn)入了市場(chǎng)化發(fā)展階段。2008年世界金融危機(jī)給重慶土地出讓市場(chǎng)帶來了較大的影響，使重慶土地出讓市場(chǎng)從此進(jìn)入一個(gè)新的復(fù)蘇和發(fā)展階段。而商品住宅用地作為經(jīng)營(yíng)性用地的重要組成部分，房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)發(fā)展的重要支撐，其出讓量是由市場(chǎng)供應(yīng)和市場(chǎng)需求等因素共同作用的結(jié)果，可綜合反映商品住宅用地出讓市場(chǎng)的整體情況，因此，找出商品住宅用地出讓量的影響因素，制定合理有效的土地供應(yīng)計(jì)劃、滿足市場(chǎng)真實(shí)需求，，避免結(jié)構(gòu)性過剩，實(shí)現(xiàn)市場(chǎng)供需平衡，對(duì)處于新一輪發(fā)展模式下的重慶主城商品住宅用地出讓市場(chǎng)，是十分重要和必要的。文章從整體分析國(guó)內(nèi)外相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)入手，在深入了解土地出讓市場(chǎng)相關(guān)概念的基礎(chǔ)上，以土地可持續(xù)發(fā)展理論、土地“市場(chǎng)失靈”理論及土地“政府失靈”理論為指導(dǎo)，從土地出讓市場(chǎng)運(yùn)行機(jī)制及政府在土地出讓市場(chǎng)中的行為模式兩個(gè)方向入手，研究土地出讓市場(chǎng)在市場(chǎng)機(jī)制及政府行為共同作用下的運(yùn)行模式，找出在這種運(yùn)行模式下市場(chǎng)供應(yīng)及市場(chǎng)需求的影響因素，并由此綜合推導(dǎo)出土地出讓量的影響因素，包括宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)、制度要素、政策規(guī)劃、社會(huì)發(fā)展、房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)因素五大類。在此基礎(chǔ)上，采用主成分回歸方法對(duì)重慶市主城區(qū)商品住宅用地出讓量及其主要的影響因素指標(biāo)進(jìn)行回歸分析，其中政策規(guī)劃類因素采用專家打分法進(jìn)行量化處理。得出主要結(jié)論包括：宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展、政策規(guī)劃、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變化及人口增長(zhǎng)都對(duì)重慶主城商品住宅用地出讓量產(chǎn)生較大的影響，其中宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展影響最大，制度則是市場(chǎng)健康運(yùn)行的保障和前提，而重慶主城土地出讓價(jià)格、商品房銷售面積、商品房銷售價(jià)格指標(biāo)對(duì)土地出讓量影響較小。
[Abstract]:Under the background of the continuous development of the national land market and the further improvement of the market system, Chongqing's land market has also entered the stage of market-oriented development. The 2008 world financial crisis has had a great impact on the Chongqing land transfer market. Chongqing land transfer market has entered a new stage of recovery and development. As an important part of commercial land, commercial residential land is an important support for the development of real estate market. The amount of commercial residential land is the result of the combined effect of market supply and market demand. It can comprehensively reflect the overall situation of the commercial residential land transfer market. Therefore, we can find out the factors affecting the amount of commercial residential land transfer, formulate reasonable and effective land supply plans, meet the real demand of the market, and avoid structural excess. It is very important and necessary to realize the balance between supply and demand in the market and to sell the commercial residential land in the main city of Chongqing under the new mode of development. Based on the comprehensive analysis of domestic and foreign literature, and on the basis of deeply understanding the related concepts of land transfer market, the paper is guided by the theory of land sustainable development, the theory of land "market failure" and the theory of land "government failure". Starting with the operation mechanism of the land transfer market and the behavior mode of the government in the land transfer market, the paper studies the operation mode of the land transfer market under the joint action of the market mechanism and the government behavior. The influencing factors of market supply and market demand are found out in this mode, and the influencing factors of land transfer amount are deduced synthetically, including macroeconomic, institutional factors, policy planning, social development and real estate market factors. On this basis, the principal component regression method is used to analyze the quantity of commercial residential land transfer and its main influencing factors in the main urban area of Chongqing, and the factors of policy planning are quantified by expert scoring method. The main conclusions are as follows: macroeconomic development, policy planning, industrial structure change and population growth all have a great impact on the transfer of commercial residential land in Chongqing's main city, in which macroeconomic development has the greatest impact. The system is the guarantee and premise of the healthy operation of the market, while the land transfer price, the sale area of the commercial housing and the price index of the commercial house have little influence on the quantity of the land transfer in the main city of Chongqing.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：重慶大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F299.27

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